Sam Carlson
Philadelphia Phillies (AA)P
Age: 27
Bats/Throws: R/R
6'4" / 195
DOB: 12/3/1998
(27 years, 10 months, 13 days)
P
Player Dashboard:
Report: 2021 Updated
Org Rk
Ovr Rk
ETA
FV
21
N/A
2022
40
Fastball
55 / 60
Curveball
45 / 50
Changeup
50 / 60
Command
40 / 55
RosterResource
| Draft: | 2017, Rd: 2, Pick: 19, Ovr: 55 |
| Draft Team: | Seattle Mariners |
| Signing Bonus: | $2,000,000 |
| School: | Burnsville (MN) HS |
Rule 5 Eligible
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FG
RG
Show
Report: 2021 Updated
Org Rk
Ovr Rk
ETA
FV
21
N/A
2022
40
Fastball
55 / 60
Curveball
45 / 50
Changeup
50 / 60
Command
40 / 55
RosterResource
| Draft: | 2017, Rd: 2, Pick: 19, Ovr: 55 |
| Draft Team: | Seattle Mariners |
| Signing Bonus: | $2,000,000 |
| School: | Burnsville (MN) HS |
Rule 5 Eligible
Eligible
News
News Settings
Article Source
All
FG
RG
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Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | Age | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | GB% | HR/FB | divider | vFA | divider | ERA | xERA | FIP | xFIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3.0 | 9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | .444 | 80.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.20 | 3.70 | ||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 100.0 | 10.08 | 3.96 | 0.63 | .350 | 61.6% | 48.2% | 8.4% | 4.77 | 4.61 | 4.89 | ||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 11 | 56.2 | 9.53 | 3.81 | 0.64 | .346 | 70.3% | 51.0% | 8.0% | 4.61 | 4.75 | 5.05 | ||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 24 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 48.0 | 11.44 | 3.75 | 0.56 | .310 | 54.6% | 58.8% | 13.0% | 5.25 | 3.41 | 3.29 | ||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | .500 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | ||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 48.2 | 9.43 | 3.51 | 0.37 | .350 | 62.3% | 48.2% | 4.0% | 4.25 | 3.23 | 3.83 | ||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3.2 | 9.82 | 7.36 | 0.00 | .500 | 50.0% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 4.01 | 5.41 | ||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 26 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 59.2 | 11.77 | 5.43 | 0.60 | .354 | 67.8% | 38.8% | 7.0% | 4.22 | 5.03 | 4.44 | 5.32 | |||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7.0 | 10.29 | 5.14 | 1.29 | .278 | 100.0% | 31.6% | 10.0% | 1.29 | 5.02 | 5.69 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5.1 | 11.81 | 1.69 | 0.00 | .286 | 100.0% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.59 | 3.34 | ||||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 8.19 | 4.19 | 1.19 | .296 | 72.0% | 43.3% | 4.47 | 4.59 | 4.50 | 0.0 | ||||||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 55.3 | 9.44 | 4.07 | 0.98 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.07 | 4.18 | 0.2 | ||||||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 8.91 | 4.31 | 1.26 | .284 | 73.1% | 4.35 | 4.58 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.1 | 15.19 | 3.38 | 1.69 | .467 | 66.0% | 33.3% | 25.0% | 8.44 | 4.91 | 3.88 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 36.1 | 10.65 | 3.47 | 0.99 | .287 | 78.7% | 34.4% | 11.4% | 3.47 | 4.36 | 4.29 | 4.51 | |||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 41.2 | 11.23 | 3.46 | 1.08 | .314 | 76.0% | 34.3% | 12.8% | 4.10 | 4.36 | 4.37 | 4.43 |
| Season | Team | Level | Age | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | GB% | HR/FB | divider | vFA | divider | ERA | xERA | FIP | xFIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3.0 | 9.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | .444 | 80.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.20 | 3.70 | ||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 19 | 100.0 | 10.08 | 3.96 | 0.63 | .350 | 61.6% | 48.2% | 8.4% | 4.77 | 4.61 | 4.89 | ||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 11 | 56.2 | 9.53 | 3.81 | 0.64 | .346 | 70.3% | 51.0% | 8.0% | 4.61 | 4.75 | 5.05 | ||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 24 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 48.0 | 11.44 | 3.75 | 0.56 | .310 | 54.6% | 58.8% | 13.0% | 5.25 | 3.41 | 3.29 | ||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | .500 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | ||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 48.2 | 9.43 | 3.51 | 0.37 | .350 | 62.3% | 48.2% | 4.0% | 4.25 | 3.23 | 3.83 | ||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3.2 | 9.82 | 7.36 | 0.00 | .500 | 50.0% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 9.82 | 4.01 | 5.41 | ||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 26 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 59.2 | 11.77 | 5.43 | 0.60 | .354 | 67.8% | 38.8% | 7.0% | 4.22 | 5.03 | 4.44 | 5.32 | |||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 7.0 | 10.29 | 5.14 | 1.29 | .278 | 100.0% | 31.6% | 10.0% | 1.29 | 5.02 | 5.69 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5.1 | 11.81 | 1.69 | 0.00 | .286 | 100.0% | 46.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.59 | 3.34 | ||||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 8.19 | 4.19 | 1.19 | .296 | 72.0% | 43.3% | 4.47 | 4.59 | 4.50 | 0.0 | ||||||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 55.3 | 9.44 | 4.07 | 0.98 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.07 | 4.18 | 0.2 | ||||||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 8.91 | 4.31 | 1.26 | .284 | 73.1% | 4.35 | 4.58 | 0.0 | ||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.1 | 15.19 | 3.38 | 1.69 | .467 | 66.0% | 33.3% | 25.0% | 8.44 | 4.91 | 3.88 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 36.1 | 10.65 | 3.47 | 0.99 | .287 | 78.7% | 34.4% | 11.4% | 3.47 | 4.36 | 4.29 | 4.51 | |||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 41.2 | 11.23 | 3.46 | 1.08 | .314 | 76.0% | 34.3% | 12.8% | 4.10 | 4.36 | 4.37 | 4.43 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | W | L | ERA | G | GS | QS | CG | ShO | SV | HLD | BS | IP | TBF | H | R | ER | HR | BB | IBB | HBP | WP | BK | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2021 | SEA | A | 6 | 4 | 4.77 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 462 | 107 | 69 | 53 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 112 | |
| 2022 | SEA | A | 3 | 3 | 4.61 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 56.2 | 251 | 57 | 31 | 29 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 60 | |
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 0 | 2 | 5.25 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 48.0 | 200 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 61 | |
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 4 | 2 | 4.25 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 48.2 | 217 | 51 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 51 | |
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 0 | 0 | 9.82 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.2 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 4 | 2 | 4.22 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 59.2 | 273 | 56 | 36 | 28 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 78 | |
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 0 | 0 | 1.29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.0 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 4.47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 3 | 3 | 4.07 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 55.3 | 245 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 58 | ||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 4.35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 2 | 0 | 8.44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 4 | 1 | 3.47 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36.1 | 150 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 43 | |
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 6 | 1 | 4.10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 41.2 | 179 | 37 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 52 |
| Season | Team | Level | W | L | ERA | G | GS | QS | CG | ShO | SV | HLD | BS | IP | TBF | H | R | ER | HR | BB | IBB | HBP | WP | BK | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 0 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2021 | SEA | A | 6 | 4 | 4.77 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 462 | 107 | 69 | 53 | 7 | 44 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 112 | |
| 2022 | SEA | A | 3 | 3 | 4.61 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 56.2 | 251 | 57 | 31 | 29 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 60 | |
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 0 | 2 | 5.25 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 48.0 | 200 | 38 | 30 | 28 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 61 | |
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 4 | 2 | 4.25 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 48.2 | 217 | 51 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 51 | |
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 0 | 0 | 9.82 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3.2 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 4 | 2 | 4.22 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 59.2 | 273 | 56 | 36 | 28 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 78 | |
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 0 | 0 | 1.29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.0 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 4.47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 3 | 3 | 4.07 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 55.3 | 245 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 58 | ||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 4.35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 2 | 0 | 8.44 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.1 | 29 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 4 | 1 | 3.47 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36.1 | 150 | 29 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 43 | |
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 6 | 1 | 4.10 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 41.2 | 179 | 37 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 52 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingAverages
| Season | Team | Level | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | K% | BB% | K-BB% | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA- | FIP- | divider | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 9.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 23.1% | .333 | 1.33 | .444 | 80.0% | 72 | 75 | 3.20 | ||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 10.08 | 3.96 | 2.55 | 0.63 | 24.2% | 9.5% | 14.7% | .264 | 1.51 | .350 | 61.6% | 102 | 101 | 4.61 | ||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 9.53 | 3.81 | 2.50 | 0.64 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | .263 | 1.43 | .346 | 70.3% | 93 | 97 | 4.75 | ||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 11.44 | 3.75 | 3.05 | 0.56 | 30.5% | 10.0% | 20.5% | .215 | 1.21 | .310 | 54.6% | 112 | 73 | 3.41 | ||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 18.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | .250 | 1.00 | .500 | 100.0% | 0 | -4 | -0.19 | ||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 9.43 | 3.51 | 2.68 | 0.37 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | .264 | 1.44 | .350 | 62.3% | 112 | 83 | 3.23 | ||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 9.82 | 7.36 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 4.8% | .389 | 2.73 | .500 | 50.0% | 204 | 82 | 4.01 | ||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 11.77 | 5.43 | 2.17 | 0.60 | 28.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | .245 | 1.54 | .354 | 67.8% | 81 | 84 | 4.44 | ||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 10.29 | 5.14 | 2.00 | 1.29 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | .222 | 1.43 | .278 | 100.0% | 27 | 104 | 5.02 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 11.81 | 1.69 | 7.00 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 4.5% | 27.3% | .190 | 0.94 | .286 | 100.0% | 0 | 33 | 1.59 | ||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 8.19 | 4.19 | 1.96 | 1.19 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | .250 | 1.43 | .296 | 72.0% | 4.59 | ||||||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 9.44 | 4.07 | 2.32 | 0.98 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | .230 | 1.34 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.18 | ||||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 8.91 | 4.31 | 2.07 | 1.26 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | .238 | 1.43 | .284 | 73.1% | 4.58 | ||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 15.19 | 3.38 | 4.50 | 1.69 | 31.0% | 6.9% | 24.1% | .320 | 1.88 | .467 | 66.0% | 169 | 97 | 4.91 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 10.65 | 3.47 | 3.07 | 0.99 | 28.7% | 9.3% | 19.3% | .216 | 1.18 | .287 | 78.7% | 72 | 84 | 4.29 | ||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 11.23 | 3.46 | 3.25 | 1.08 | 29.1% | 8.9% | 20.1% | .233 | 1.27 | .314 | 76.0% | 85 | 86 | 4.37 |
| Season | Team | Level | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | K% | BB% | K-BB% | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA- | FIP- | divider | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 9.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 23.1% | .333 | 1.33 | .444 | 80.0% | 72 | 75 | 3.20 | ||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 10.08 | 3.96 | 2.55 | 0.63 | 24.2% | 9.5% | 14.7% | .264 | 1.51 | .350 | 61.6% | 102 | 101 | 4.61 | ||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 9.53 | 3.81 | 2.50 | 0.64 | 23.9% | 9.6% | 14.3% | .263 | 1.43 | .346 | 70.3% | 93 | 97 | 4.75 | ||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 11.44 | 3.75 | 3.05 | 0.56 | 30.5% | 10.0% | 20.5% | .215 | 1.21 | .310 | 54.6% | 112 | 73 | 3.41 | ||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 18.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | .250 | 1.00 | .500 | 100.0% | 0 | -4 | -0.19 | ||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 9.43 | 3.51 | 2.68 | 0.37 | 23.5% | 8.8% | 14.7% | .264 | 1.44 | .350 | 62.3% | 112 | 83 | 3.23 | ||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 9.82 | 7.36 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 19.0% | 14.3% | 4.8% | .389 | 2.73 | .500 | 50.0% | 204 | 82 | 4.01 | ||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 11.77 | 5.43 | 2.17 | 0.60 | 28.6% | 13.2% | 15.4% | .245 | 1.54 | .354 | 67.8% | 81 | 84 | 4.44 | ||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 10.29 | 5.14 | 2.00 | 1.29 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | .222 | 1.43 | .278 | 100.0% | 27 | 104 | 5.02 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 11.81 | 1.69 | 7.00 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 4.5% | 27.3% | .190 | 0.94 | .286 | 100.0% | 0 | 33 | 1.59 | ||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 8.19 | 4.19 | 1.96 | 1.19 | 20.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | .250 | 1.43 | .296 | 72.0% | 4.59 | ||||||
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 9.44 | 4.07 | 2.32 | 0.98 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | .230 | 1.34 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.18 | ||||||
| 2026 | OOPSY | PROJ | 8.91 | 4.31 | 2.07 | 1.26 | 21.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | .238 | 1.43 | .284 | 73.1% | 4.58 | ||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 15.19 | 3.38 | 4.50 | 1.69 | 31.0% | 6.9% | 24.1% | .320 | 1.88 | .467 | 66.0% | 169 | 97 | 4.91 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 10.65 | 3.47 | 3.07 | 0.99 | 28.7% | 9.3% | 19.3% | .216 | 1.18 | .287 | 78.7% | 72 | 84 | 4.29 | ||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 11.23 | 3.46 | 3.25 | 1.08 | 29.1% | 8.9% | 20.1% | .233 | 1.27 | .314 | 76.0% | 85 | 86 | 4.37 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | Age | divider | W | L | G | GS | IP | divider | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 27 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 55.3 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 58 | 9.44 | 4.07 | 2.32 | 0.98 | .230 | 1.34 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.07 | 4.18 | 0.2 | |||||
| 2027 | ZiPS | PROJ | 28 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 55.0 | 48 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 24 | 57 | 9.33 | 3.93 | 2.38 | 0.98 | .227 | 1.31 | .284 | 70.8% | 4.09 | 4.17 | 0.2 | |||||
| 2028 | ZiPS | PROJ | 29 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 55.3 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 24 | 56 | 9.11 | 3.91 | 2.33 | 0.98 | .229 | 1.32 | .283 | 71.2% | 4.07 | 4.20 | 0.2 |
| Season | Team | Level | Age | divider | W | L | G | GS | IP | divider | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | ZiPS | PROJ | 27 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 55.3 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 25 | 58 | 9.44 | 4.07 | 2.32 | 0.98 | .230 | 1.34 | .289 | 71.6% | 4.07 | 4.18 | 0.2 | |||||
| 2027 | ZiPS | PROJ | 28 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 55.0 | 48 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 24 | 57 | 9.33 | 3.93 | 2.38 | 0.98 | .227 | 1.31 | .284 | 70.8% | 4.09 | 4.17 | 0.2 | |||||
| 2028 | ZiPS | PROJ | 29 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 55.3 | 49 | 27 | 25 | 6 | 24 | 56 | 9.11 | 3.91 | 2.33 | 0.98 | .229 | 1.32 | .283 | 71.2% | 4.07 | 4.20 | 0.2 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | GB/FB | LD% | GB% | FB% | IFFB% | HR/FB | IFH% | BUH% | divider | Pull% | Cent% | Oppo% | divider | Soft% | Med% | Hard% | divider | SIERA | xFIP- | xFIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 3.00 | 0.0% | 75.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 85 | 3.70 | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 1.61 | 21.9% | 48.2% | 29.9% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 44.4% | 22.0% | 33.6% | 101 | 4.89 | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 1.56 | 16.3% | 51.0% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 8.0% | 41.4% | 25.5% | 33.1% | 98 | 5.05 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 2.91 | 21.1% | 58.8% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 13.0% | 30.2% | 24.1% | 45.7% | 74 | 3.29 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 1.00 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4 | -0.19 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 1.32 | 15.3% | 48.2% | 36.5% | 24.0% | 4.0% | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | 103 | 3.83 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 1.67 | 38.5% | 38.5% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 13.3% | 46.7% | 117 | 5.41 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 1.00 | 22.4% | 38.8% | 38.8% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 38.0% | 26.7% | 35.3% | 98 | 5.32 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 0.60 | 15.8% | 31.6% | 52.6% | 30.0% | 10.0% | 26.3% | 42.1% | 31.6% | 116 | 5.69 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 1.20 | 15.4% | 46.2% | 38.5% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 71.4% | 68 | 3.34 | |||||||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 20.8% | 43.3% | 35.9% | 4.50 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 1.25 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 82 | 3.88 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 0.89 | 26.7% | 34.4% | 38.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 34.1% | 31.9% | 34.1% | 84 | 4.51 | |||||||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 0.92 | 28.6% | 34.3% | 37.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 36.4% | 30.8% | 32.7% | 84 | 4.43 |
| Season | Team | Level | GB/FB | LD% | GB% | FB% | IFFB% | HR/FB | IFH% | BUH% | divider | Pull% | Cent% | Oppo% | divider | Soft% | Med% | Hard% | divider | SIERA | xFIP- | xFIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 3.00 | 0.0% | 75.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 66.7% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 85 | 3.70 | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 1.61 | 21.9% | 48.2% | 29.9% | 16.9% | 8.4% | 44.4% | 22.0% | 33.6% | 101 | 4.89 | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 1.56 | 16.3% | 51.0% | 32.7% | 20.0% | 8.0% | 41.4% | 25.5% | 33.1% | 98 | 5.05 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 2.91 | 21.1% | 58.8% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 13.0% | 30.2% | 24.1% | 45.7% | 74 | 3.29 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 1.00 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | -4 | -0.19 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 1.32 | 15.3% | 48.2% | 36.5% | 24.0% | 4.0% | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% | 103 | 3.83 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 1.67 | 38.5% | 38.5% | 23.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40.0% | 13.3% | 46.7% | 117 | 5.41 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 1.00 | 22.4% | 38.8% | 38.8% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 38.0% | 26.7% | 35.3% | 98 | 5.32 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 0.60 | 15.8% | 31.6% | 52.6% | 30.0% | 10.0% | 26.3% | 42.1% | 31.6% | 116 | 5.69 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 1.20 | 15.4% | 46.2% | 38.5% | 40.0% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 21.4% | 71.4% | 68 | 3.34 | |||||||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 20.8% | 43.3% | 35.9% | 4.50 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 1.25 | 40.0% | 33.3% | 26.7% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 82 | 3.88 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 0.89 | 26.7% | 34.4% | 38.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 34.1% | 31.9% | 34.1% | 84 | 4.51 | |||||||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 0.92 | 28.6% | 34.3% | 37.1% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 36.4% | 30.8% | 32.7% | 84 | 4.43 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | GB | FB | LD | IFFB | IFH | BU | BUH | RS | Balls | Strikes | Pitches | divider | EV | LA | Barrels | Barrel% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 134 | 83 | 61 | 14 | 657 | 1068 | 1725 | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 78 | 50 | 25 | 10 | 365 | 618 | 983 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 67 | 23 | 24 | 5 | 301 | 504 | 805 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 66 | 50 | 21 | 12 | 303 | 528 | 831 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 33 | 55 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 57 | 57 | 33 | 8 | 443 | 684 | 1127 | 86.7 | 15.0 | 9 | 6.0% | |||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 69 | 99 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 66 | 97 | 87.4 | 20.9 | 0 | 0.0% | |||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 39 | 76 | 115 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 31 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 252 | 401 | 653 | 89.2 | 17.3 | 5 | 5.5% | |||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 36 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 291 | 477 | 768 | 89.2 | 17.3 | 5 | 5.5% |
| Season | Team | Level | GB | FB | LD | IFFB | IFH | BU | BUH | RS | Balls | Strikes | Pitches | divider | EV | LA | Barrels | Barrel% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 21 | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 134 | 83 | 61 | 14 | 657 | 1068 | 1725 | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 78 | 50 | 25 | 10 | 365 | 618 | 983 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 67 | 23 | 24 | 5 | 301 | 504 | 805 | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 66 | 50 | 21 | 12 | 303 | 528 | 831 | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 33 | 55 | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 57 | 57 | 33 | 8 | 443 | 684 | 1127 | 86.7 | 15.0 | 9 | 6.0% | |||||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 69 | 99 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 66 | 97 | 87.4 | 20.9 | 0 | 0.0% | |||||
| 2026 | Steamer | PROJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 39 | 76 | 115 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 31 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 252 | 401 | 653 | 89.2 | 17.3 | 5 | 5.5% | |||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 36 | 39 | 30 | 6 | 291 | 477 | 768 | 89.2 | 17.3 | 5 | 5.5% |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
| Season | Team | Level | divider | FA% | vFA | divider | divider | FC% | vFC | divider | divider | divider | SI% | vSI | divider | SL% | vSL | divider | CU% | vCU | divider | divider | divider | CH% | vCH | divider | divider | divider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 5.9% | 92.0 | 44.6% | 90.0 | 30.3% | 93.3 | 18.8% | 79.6 | 0.4% | 79.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 4.1% | 90.3 | 54.6% | 87.6 | 23.7% | 90.6 | 15.5% | 76.9 | 2.1% | 76.7 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 6.7% | 90.2 | 57.8% | 88.0 | 16.1% | 91.2 | 19.2% | 77.7 | 0.2% | 81.9 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 6.7% | 90.2 | 57.8% | 88.0 | 16.1% | 91.2 | 19.2% | 77.7 | 0.2% | 81.9 |
| Season | Team | Level | divider | FA% | vFA | divider | divider | FC% | vFC | divider | divider | divider | SI% | vSI | divider | SL% | vSL | divider | CU% | vCU | divider | divider | divider | CH% | vCH | divider | divider | divider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 5.9% | 92.0 | 44.6% | 90.0 | 30.3% | 93.3 | 18.8% | 79.6 | 0.4% | 79.6 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 4.1% | 90.3 | 54.6% | 87.6 | 23.7% | 90.6 | 15.5% | 76.9 | 2.1% | 76.7 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 6.7% | 90.2 | 57.8% | 88.0 | 16.1% | 91.2 | 19.2% | 77.7 | 0.2% | 81.9 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 6.7% | 90.2 | 57.8% | 88.0 | 16.1% | 91.2 | 19.2% | 77.7 | 0.2% | 81.9 |
MLB F-Strike%, SwStr%, CStr%, CSW% are from the Sports Info Solution data source.
All MiLB and Pace data are from Statcast.
All MiLB and Pace data are from Statcast.
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring TrainingAverages
| Season | Team | Level | O-Swing% | Z-Swing% | Swing% | divider | O-Contact% | Z-Contact% | Contact% | Zone% | divider | F-Strike% | SwStr% | CStr% | CSW% | divider | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 85.7% | 50.0% | 23.1% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 45.4% | 72.5% | 43.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 28.8% | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 42.5% | 76.8% | 51.0% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 30.0% | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 38.9% | 73.8% | 56.5% | 10.2% | 23.4% | 33.5% | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 75.0% | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 45.8% | 74.3% | 52.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 29.4% | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 50.9% | 71.4% | 33.3% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 21.8% | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 21.9% | 63.9% | 43.1% | 56.6% | 79.1% | 73.5% | 50.6% | 49.1% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 28.8% | 19.7 | |||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 50.5% | 72.0% | 51.6% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 33.3% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 37.0% | 66.7% | 52.6% | 58.8% | 82.4% | 74.5% | 52.6% | 59.1% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 28.9% | 18.9 | |||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 54.8% | 74.6% | 48.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 25.2% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 23.0% | 59.7% | 42.4% | 62.9% | 83.6% | 78.3% | 53.2% | 52.7% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 28.0% | 19.0 | |||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 23.0% | 59.7% | 44.3% | 62.9% | 83.6% | 77.6% | 53.2% | 52.0% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 27.6% | 19.0 |
| Season | Team | Level | O-Swing% | Z-Swing% | Swing% | divider | O-Contact% | Z-Contact% | Contact% | Zone% | divider | F-Strike% | SwStr% | CStr% | CSW% | divider | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | SEA | R | 85.7% | 50.0% | 23.1% | 42.9% | 0.0% | 42.9% | |||||||||
| 2021 | SEA | A | 45.4% | 72.5% | 43.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 28.8% | |||||||||
| 2022 | SEA | A | 42.5% | 76.8% | 51.0% | 9.9% | 20.1% | 30.0% | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | A+ | 38.9% | 73.8% | 56.5% | 10.2% | 23.4% | 33.5% | |||||||||
| 2023 | SEA | ST | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 75.0% | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | AA | 45.8% | 74.3% | 52.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 29.4% | |||||||||
| 2024 | MIL | ST | 50.9% | 71.4% | 33.3% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 21.8% | |||||||||
| 2025 | LAD | AAA | 21.9% | 63.9% | 43.1% | 56.6% | 79.1% | 73.5% | 50.6% | 49.1% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 28.8% | 19.7 | |||
| 2025 | LAD | ST | 50.5% | 72.0% | 51.6% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 33.3% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | ST | 37.0% | 66.7% | 52.6% | 58.8% | 82.4% | 74.5% | 52.6% | 59.1% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 28.9% | 18.9 | |||
| 2026 | PHI | AA | 54.8% | 74.6% | 48.3% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 25.2% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | AAA | 23.0% | 59.7% | 42.4% | 62.9% | 83.6% | 78.3% | 53.2% | 52.7% | 9.2% | 18.8% | 28.0% | 19.0 | |||
| 2026 | --- | MiLB | 23.0% | 59.7% | 44.3% | 62.9% | 83.6% | 77.6% | 53.2% | 52.0% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 27.6% | 19.0 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesSpring Training
