Paul Goldschmidt Adds Dimension in Desert

Back in May, and June, and even July, the Arizona Diamondbacks had their doubters. The San Francisco Giants were healthy and right in the race. San Francisco had a flawed offense, but one of the best pitching staffs in the league. And here were the Diamondbacks, a team relying on unproven pitchers like Ian Kennedy and Josh Collmenter, with a good offense but by no means an irresistable force, with holes in multiple places.

They still have a hole at shortstop, and I don’t know if anybody is convinced by Aaron Hill’s imitation of Dustin Pedroia — even with a .384 wOBA with the snakes, he sits at .292 on the season. But the real hole came at first base, and when teams have holes at first base, they tend to be exceptionally noticeable. Kevin Towers tried to fill it with Russell Branyan and Juan Miranda and Xavier Nady (and simply tossed aside Brandon Allen), but it was excessively clear neither could fill the role. The triumvirate limped to a combined -0.1 WAR as none of them managed to even touch an average wOBA — a cardinal sin when it comes to first base.

Enter Paul Goldschmidt

What Paul Goldschmidt is doing right now is merely good if you only put it in the context of “being a first baseman in Arizona.” The Diamondbacks play in a very hitter-friendly environment, and so Goldschmidt’s line of .260/.347/.500 is good, not great. Over 167 plate appearances, Goldschmidt has a WAR of 0.7, meaning his performance this year is worth roughly 2-3 WAR over the course of a season.

But Goldschmidt is so much more than just a first baseman in Arizona right now. He’s a 24-year-old (as of September 10) rookie who saw all of 457 plate appearances in the upper minors, all of them coming at the Double-A level. Forget Triple-A, it’s straight to the show. Right now, it feels as if the Diamondbacks have had a stranglehold on the division for months, but when Goldschmidt made his first start on August 1st, the Diamondbacks actually trailed the Giants by one game.

Goldschmidt didn’t make much of an impact in that first game, going 1-for-4 with a run scored in a Diamondbacks win to tie atop the division, but his presence was felt in the following game, as he clubbed his first MLB home run to give the Diamondbacks the lead in the game and eventually the division as well. Goldschmidt has remained strong throughout the dog days, and getting such a performance out of a rookie with zero alternatives on the roster (Lyle Overbay doesn’t count) goes far beyond a WAR number.

The addition of Goldschmidt to the Diamondbacks lineup has gives them a strong lineup one-through-six when at full strength, along with Justin Upton, Chris Young, Miguel Montero, Gerardo Parra, and Ryan Roberts, with Aaron Hill chipping in so far as well. Although the Diamondbacks are still far from the perfect team — and every team in the playoff field, from the Yankees to the Braves and inbetween — the extra dimension Paul Goldschimdt adds to this lineup makes them a much more formidable foe for any potential playoff opponent.





Jack Moore's work can be seen at VICE Sports and anywhere else you're willing to pay him to write. Buy his e-book.

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BirdStackmember
12 years ago

Would like to see the DBacks make a go at Jose Reyes this offseason. With what could be a filthy rotation in the near future (Kennedy, Hudson, Bauer, Skaggs, Parker), they should be contenders in the nl west for the near future.

BirdStackmember
12 years ago
Reply to  BirdStack

oh and josh collmenter

sean
12 years ago
Reply to  BirdStack

to build on this, people have criticized arizona in the past for the dan haren trade, but if they are able to sign reyes because they cleared enough money from the haren trade(i know i’m simplifying), they’d have gotten saunders, skaggs, and reyes for haren and a #1 pick, and be setup for the future better then they would with haren but ONLY if skaggs pans out.

Bill
12 years ago
Reply to  sean

But, they barely cleared any money in the Haren trade. Perhaps if they had traded Haren properly, they could have traded him for a young first baseman or shortstop; maybe Jesus Montero last winter.

Dreamin
12 years ago
Reply to  BirdStack

This, a million times this.

Now that they’ve mostly dug themselves out of the financial hole from the Colangelo deferred payroll, they’ve got extra money to spend. Stephen Drew is an above average shortstop, but they don’t know what they’ll have defensively from him coming back from that horrifying ankle injury, and a shift to 2B or 3B may be needed. The team has 3 near MLB ready potentially TOR type pitchers to fill out the rotation if needed, they just don’t have the bats right now.

They can be a force the next few years if they bring in a bat or two, and Reyes is a great place to start.

Dan
12 years ago
Reply to  BirdStack

I know I’m the dissenter here, but for the love of all that is holy, Arizona needs to avoid the mistakes that have killed the team that currently trails them. For all his skill, a 28/29-year-old Reyes (what he’ll be in 2012) has had the wear and tear on his body resembling a 30+-year-old at other positions, and has past injury concerns to boot.

For all the money he’ll make in free agency for how dynamic he can be, people are dramatically underestimating the possibility that Reyes under-performs in the early part of his next contract. That’s not a mistake Arizona can afford to make with its low payroll.

What has made Arizona so successful this year is that they have been able to overcome horrible performances (i.e. Mora, Nady, Branyan, Galarraga, Duke, Miranda) by letting those guys go and turning to other alternatives, whether internal or on the bench. Signing Reyes for five years and $90MM or whatever he’ll command means that if Reyes sucks, Arizona has to keep playing him. If Reyes gets hurt, Arizona has to try to win games with a $45MM-$50MM payroll club.

If, on the other hand, Arizona signs Marco Scutaro for a year or two and $5-6MM per season and Scutaro turns into a negative WAR guy, Arizona can cast aside Scutaro without crippling the club and turn to some veteran stopgap like Bloomquist for a season of replacement-level mediocrity that at least won’t suck away value from another club.

BirdStackmember
12 years ago
Reply to  Dan

there is obviously always risk, and reyes is definitely a health risk, but they have a lot of cost controlled talent at or near the MLB level and while those players are still at a good cost they should take advantage and fill a hole in their team with a legitimate star. If he chokes and they have to eat a shit contract, they won’t contend. But if they don’t get that added strength to their lineup, Reyes or someone else, they could waste a really good chance to be great and simply be above average until they can’t afford to pay the pitching or upton.

BlackOps
12 years ago
Reply to  BirdStack

(Team) should make a huge push for Reyes!

Let’s stop the shenanigans, he’s going to remain a Met.