Jesus Carrera
Houston Astros (A)P
Age: 21
Bats/Throws: R/R
5'11" / 160
DOB: 11/27/2004
(21 years, 11 months, 18 days)
P
Player Dashboard:
| Season | 2026 |
| Team | HOU |
| Level | MiLB |
| G | 23 |
| GS | 6 |
| IP | 85.1 |
| K% | 19.9% |
| BB% | 9.7% |
| GB% | 31.7% |
| ERA | 4.43 |
| FIP | 5.19 |
| WAR |
RosterResource
| How Acquired: | Amateur FA (MEX) Apr'23 |
| Birthplace: | Mexico |
Rule 5 Eligible
Dec'27
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| Season | 2026 |
| Team | HOU |
| Level | MiLB |
| G | 23 |
| GS | 6 |
| IP | 85.1 |
| K% | 19.9% |
| BB% | 9.7% |
| GB% | 31.7% |
| ERA | 4.43 |
| FIP | 5.19 |
| WAR |
RosterResource
| How Acquired: | Amateur FA (MEX) Apr'23 |
| Birthplace: | Mexico |
Rule 5 Eligible
Dec'27
News Settings
Article Source
All
FG
RG
Show
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Stats
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Preseason ProjectionsMinor Leagues
| Season | Team | Level | Age | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | GB% | HR/FB | divider | vFA | divider | ERA | xERA | FIP | xFIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19.0 | 12.79 | 2.84 | 0.00 | .176 | 53.3% | 38.2% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 2.56 | 3.21 | ||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 26.1 | 10.25 | 2.39 | 0.34 | .299 | 61.6% | 52.2% | 3.7% | 3.76 | 2.95 | 3.32 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 18.1 | 16.20 | 1.47 | 0.00 | .306 | 86.7% | 32.1% | 0.0% | 0.98 | 0.62 | 1.15 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 22.0 | 11.86 | 3.27 | 0.41 | .333 | 65.2% | 42.6% | 5.0% | 4.50 | 2.89 | 3.03 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 40.1 | 13.83 | 2.45 | 0.22 | .322 | 72.8% | 39.0% | 3.1% | 2.90 | 1.86 | 2.18 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 6 | 85.1 | 7.80 | 3.80 | 1.27 | .287 | 74.4% | 31.7% | 10.4% | 4.43 | 5.19 | 5.25 | ||||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 5.26 | 5.11 | 1.72 | .291 | 68.1% | 37.6% | 6.19 | 6.27 | 5.94 | 0.0 |
| Season | Team | Level | Age | W | L | SV | G | GS | IP | divider | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | GB% | HR/FB | divider | vFA | divider | ERA | xERA | FIP | xFIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19.0 | 12.79 | 2.84 | 0.00 | .176 | 53.3% | 38.2% | 0.0% | 3.32 | 2.56 | 3.21 | ||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 26.1 | 10.25 | 2.39 | 0.34 | .299 | 61.6% | 52.2% | 3.7% | 3.76 | 2.95 | 3.32 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 18.1 | 16.20 | 1.47 | 0.00 | .306 | 86.7% | 32.1% | 0.0% | 0.98 | 0.62 | 1.15 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 20 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 22.0 | 11.86 | 3.27 | 0.41 | .333 | 65.2% | 42.6% | 5.0% | 4.50 | 2.89 | 3.03 | ||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 40.1 | 13.83 | 2.45 | 0.22 | .322 | 72.8% | 39.0% | 3.1% | 2.90 | 1.86 | 2.18 | ||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 21 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 6 | 85.1 | 7.80 | 3.80 | 1.27 | .287 | 74.4% | 31.7% | 10.4% | 4.43 | 5.19 | 5.25 | ||||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 5.26 | 5.11 | 1.72 | .291 | 68.1% | 37.6% | 6.19 | 6.27 | 5.94 | 0.0 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor Leagues
| Season | Team | Level | W | L | ERA | G | GS | QS | CG | ShO | SV | HLD | BS | IP | TBF | H | R | ER | HR | BB | IBB | HBP | WP | BK | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 2 | 0 | 3.32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.0 | 70 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | |
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 1 | 2 | 3.76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26.1 | 106 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | |
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 2 | 0 | 0.98 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18.1 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | |
| 2025 | HOU | A | 0 | 1 | 4.50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22.0 | 94 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | |
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 2 | 1 | 2.90 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 40.1 | 167 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 62 | |
| 2026 | HOU | A | 2 | 4 | 4.43 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 85.1 | 371 | 82 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 74 | |
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 6.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Season | Team | Level | W | L | ERA | G | GS | QS | CG | ShO | SV | HLD | BS | IP | TBF | H | R | ER | HR | BB | IBB | HBP | WP | BK | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 2 | 0 | 3.32 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19.0 | 70 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | |
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 1 | 2 | 3.76 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26.1 | 106 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | |
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 2 | 0 | 0.98 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18.1 | 73 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 33 | |
| 2025 | HOU | A | 0 | 1 | 4.50 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22.0 | 94 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | |
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 2 | 1 | 2.90 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 40.1 | 167 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 62 | |
| 2026 | HOU | A | 2 | 4 | 4.43 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 85.1 | 371 | 82 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 36 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 74 | |
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 0 | 0 | 6.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesAverages
| Season | Team | Level | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | K% | BB% | K-BB% | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA- | FIP- | divider | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 12.79 | 2.84 | 4.50 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 8.6% | 30.0% | .098 | 0.63 | .176 | 53.3% | 68 | 53 | 2.56 | ||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 10.25 | 2.39 | 4.29 | 0.34 | 28.3% | 6.6% | 21.7% | .214 | 1.06 | .299 | 61.6% | 86 | 62 | 2.95 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 16.20 | 1.47 | 11.00 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 4.1% | 41.1% | .159 | 0.76 | .306 | 86.7% | 24 | 14 | 0.62 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 11.86 | 3.27 | 3.63 | 0.41 | 30.9% | 8.5% | 22.3% | .226 | 1.23 | .333 | 65.2% | 115 | 72 | 2.89 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 13.83 | 2.45 | 5.64 | 0.22 | 37.1% | 6.6% | 30.5% | .196 | 1.02 | .322 | 72.8% | 74 | 46 | 1.86 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 7.80 | 3.80 | 2.06 | 1.27 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | .248 | 1.38 | .287 | 74.4% | 96 | 110 | 5.19 | ||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 5.26 | 5.11 | 1.03 | 1.72 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 0.4% | .282 | 1.71 | .291 | 68.1% | 6.27 |
| Season | Team | Level | K/9 | BB/9 | K/BB | HR/9 | divider | K% | BB% | K-BB% | divider | AVG | WHIP | BABIP | LOB% | divider | ERA- | FIP- | divider | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 12.79 | 2.84 | 4.50 | 0.00 | 38.6% | 8.6% | 30.0% | .098 | 0.63 | .176 | 53.3% | 68 | 53 | 2.56 | ||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 10.25 | 2.39 | 4.29 | 0.34 | 28.3% | 6.6% | 21.7% | .214 | 1.06 | .299 | 61.6% | 86 | 62 | 2.95 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 16.20 | 1.47 | 11.00 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 4.1% | 41.1% | .159 | 0.76 | .306 | 86.7% | 24 | 14 | 0.62 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 11.86 | 3.27 | 3.63 | 0.41 | 30.9% | 8.5% | 22.3% | .226 | 1.23 | .333 | 65.2% | 115 | 72 | 2.89 | ||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 13.83 | 2.45 | 5.64 | 0.22 | 37.1% | 6.6% | 30.5% | .196 | 1.02 | .322 | 72.8% | 74 | 46 | 1.86 | ||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 7.80 | 3.80 | 2.06 | 1.27 | 19.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | .248 | 1.38 | .287 | 74.4% | 96 | 110 | 5.19 | ||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 5.26 | 5.11 | 1.03 | 1.72 | 12.6% | 12.2% | 0.4% | .282 | 1.71 | .291 | 68.1% | 6.27 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor Leagues
| Season | Team | Level | GB/FB | LD% | GB% | FB% | IFFB% | HR/FB | IFH% | BUH% | divider | Pull% | Cent% | Oppo% | divider | Soft% | Med% | Hard% | divider | SIERA | xFIP- | xFIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 0.76 | 11.8% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 38.2% | 17.6% | 44.1% | 66 | 3.21 | |||||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 1.30 | 7.5% | 52.2% | 40.3% | 29.6% | 3.7% | 42.6% | 25.0% | 32.4% | 72 | 3.32 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 0.75 | 25.0% | 32.1% | 42.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 44.8% | 44.8% | 10.3% | 27 | 1.15 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 1.15 | 20.4% | 42.6% | 37.0% | 20.0% | 5.0% | 34.5% | 18.2% | 47.3% | 76 | 3.03 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 1.00 | 22.0% | 39.0% | 39.0% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 38.1% | 27.4% | 34.5% | 54 | 2.18 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 0.70 | 22.6% | 31.7% | 45.6% | 32.2% | 10.4% | 45.3% | 26.6% | 28.1% | 112 | 5.25 | |||||||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 20.7% | 37.6% | 41.6% | 5.94 |
| Season | Team | Level | GB/FB | LD% | GB% | FB% | IFFB% | HR/FB | IFH% | BUH% | divider | Pull% | Cent% | Oppo% | divider | Soft% | Med% | Hard% | divider | SIERA | xFIP- | xFIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 0.76 | 11.8% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 17.6% | 0.0% | 38.2% | 17.6% | 44.1% | 66 | 3.21 | |||||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 1.30 | 7.5% | 52.2% | 40.3% | 29.6% | 3.7% | 42.6% | 25.0% | 32.4% | 72 | 3.32 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 0.75 | 25.0% | 32.1% | 42.9% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 44.8% | 44.8% | 10.3% | 27 | 1.15 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 1.15 | 20.4% | 42.6% | 37.0% | 20.0% | 5.0% | 34.5% | 18.2% | 47.3% | 76 | 3.03 | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 1.00 | 22.0% | 39.0% | 39.0% | 15.6% | 3.1% | 38.1% | 27.4% | 34.5% | 54 | 2.18 | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 0.70 | 22.6% | 31.7% | 45.6% | 32.2% | 10.4% | 45.3% | 26.6% | 28.1% | 112 | 5.25 | |||||||||
| 2027 | Steamer | PROJ | 20.7% | 37.6% | 41.6% | 5.94 |
Preseason ProjectionsMinor Leagues
MLB F-Strike%, SwStr%, CStr%, CSW% are from the Sports Info Solution data source.
All MiLB and Pace data are from Statcast.
All MiLB and Pace data are from Statcast.
Preseason ProjectionsMinor LeaguesAverages
| Season | Team | Level | O-Swing% | Z-Swing% | Swing% | divider | O-Contact% | Z-Contact% | Contact% | Zone% | divider | F-Strike% | SwStr% | CStr% | CSW% | divider | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 73.0% | 31.5% | 35.7% | 50.0% | 4.7% | 54.7% | |||||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 48.3% | 64.8% | 32.1% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 38.7% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 48.5% | 50.9% | 42.5% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 42.9% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 44.5% | 69.2% | 52.1% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 34.2% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 46.1% | 61.6% | 47.9% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 37.6% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 45.2% | 76.3% | 50.4% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 27.3% |
| Season | Team | Level | O-Swing% | Z-Swing% | Swing% | divider | O-Contact% | Z-Contact% | Contact% | Zone% | divider | F-Strike% | SwStr% | CStr% | CSW% | divider | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | HOU | DSL | 73.0% | 31.5% | 35.7% | 50.0% | 4.7% | 54.7% | |||||||||
| 2024 | HOU | CPX | 48.3% | 64.8% | 32.1% | 17.0% | 21.7% | 38.7% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | CPX | 48.5% | 50.9% | 42.5% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 42.9% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | A | 44.5% | 69.2% | 52.1% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 34.2% | |||||||||
| 2025 | HOU | MiLB | 46.1% | 61.6% | 47.9% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 37.6% | |||||||||
| 2026 | HOU | A | 45.2% | 76.3% | 50.4% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 27.3% |
