Rafael Arias

New York Yankees (A)

Age: 22

Bats/Throws: R/R

6'2" / 190

DOB: 11/5/2003

(22 years, 10 months, 14 days)

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Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor Leagues

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2024	NYY	DSL	20	0	2	0	9	7.2	11.74	4.70	1.17	.294	75.5%	35.3%	14.3%	2.35		5.41	4.23
2024	NYY	DSL	20	1	0	0	4	7.1	13.50	2.45	0.00	.267	83.3%	60.0%	0.0%	1.23		1.79	2.10
2024	NYY	MiLB	20	1	2	0	13	15.0	12.60	3.60	0.60	.281	78.3%	46.9%	9.1%	1.80		3.64	3.19
2025	NYY	DSL	21	5	0	3	20	40.0	11.93	3.60	0.00	.393	60.0%	39.0%	0.0%	4.05		2.73	3.43
2026	Steamer	PROJ	22	0	0	0	1	1.0	5.15	8.43	1.48	.298	68.4%	40.6%		6.93		7.09	6.99	0.0
2026	NYY	CPX	22	1	0	1	18	24.1	10.73	5.55	2.96	.344	64.2%	50.8%	42.1%	8.14		8.35	5.11
2026	NYY	A	22	1	0	0	8	14.0	12.86	2.57	0.64	.286	75.3%	51.7%	12.5%	3.21	3.59	3.34	3.37
2026	NYY	MiLB	22	2	0	1	26	38.1	11.50	4.46	2.11	.326	67.5%	51.1%	33.3%	6.34	3.59	6.52	4.48
2026	Steamer	ROS	22	0	0	0	1	1.0	6.31	6.23	1.43	.290	70.6%			5.67		5.99		0.0
2026	OOPSY	ROS	22	0	0	0	1	1.5	6.67	4.65	1.49	.280	68.0%			5.35		5.52		0.0

Season	Team	Level	Age	W	L	SV	G	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2024	NYY	DSL	20	0	2	0	9	7.2	11.74	4.70	1.17	.294	75.5%	35.3%	14.3%	2.35		5.41	4.23
2024	NYY	DSL	20	1	0	0	4	7.1	13.50	2.45	0.00	.267	83.3%	60.0%	0.0%	1.23		1.79	2.10
2024	NYY	MiLB	20	1	2	0	13	15.0	12.60	3.60	0.60	.281	78.3%	46.9%	9.1%	1.80		3.64	3.19
2025	NYY	DSL	21	5	0	3	20	40.0	11.93	3.60	0.00	.393	60.0%	39.0%	0.0%	4.05		2.73	3.43
2026	Steamer	PROJ	22	0	0	0	1	1.0	5.15	8.43	1.48	.298	68.4%	40.6%		6.93		7.09	6.99	0.0
2026	NYY	CPX	22	1	0	1	18	24.1	10.73	5.55	2.96	.344	64.2%	50.8%	42.1%	8.14		8.35	5.11
2026	NYY	A	22	1	0	0	8	14.0	12.86	2.57	0.64	.286	75.3%	51.7%	12.5%	3.21	3.59	3.34	3.37
2026	NYY	MiLB	22	2	0	1	26	38.1	11.50	4.46	2.11	.326	67.5%	51.1%	33.3%	6.34	3.59	6.52	4.48
2026	Steamer	ROS	22	0	0	0	1	1.0	6.31	6.23	1.43	.290	70.6%			5.67		5.99		0.0
2026	OOPSY	ROS	22	0	0	0	1	1.5	6.67	4.65	1.49	.280	68.0%			5.35		5.52		0.0

Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor Leagues

Season	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	QS	CG	ShO	SV	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2024	NYY	DSL	0	2	2.35	9		0	0	0	0	0	7.2	34	6	4	2	1	4	1	2	2	0	10
2024	NYY	DSL	1	0	1.23	4		0	0	0	1	0	7.1	28	4	1	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	11
2024	NYY	MiLB	1	2	1.80	13		0	0	0	1	0	15.0	62	10	5	3	1	6	1	2	4	0	21
2025	NYY	DSL	5	0	4.05	20		0	0	3	1	1	40.0	178	42	24	18	0	16	0	2	15	0	53
2026	Steamer	PROJ	0	0	6.93	1	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	0			1
2026	NYY	CPX	1	0	8.14	18		0	0	1	3	2	24.1	116	29	24	22	8	15	0	3	8	2	29
2026	NYY	A	1	0	3.21	8		0	0	0	0	0	14.0	56	9	5	5	1	4	0	3	1	0	20
2026	NYY	MiLB	2	0	6.34	26		0	0	1	3	2	38.1	172	38	29	27	9	19	0	6	9	2	49
2026	Steamer	ROS	0	0	5.67	1	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	5	1	1	1	0	1		0			1
2026	OOPSY	ROS	0	0	5.35	1	0			0	0		1.5	7	2	1	1	0	1	0	0			1

Season	Team	Level	W	L	ERA	G	QS	CG	ShO	SV	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2024	NYY	DSL	0	2	2.35	9		0	0	0	0	0	7.2	34	6	4	2	1	4	1	2	2	0	10
2024	NYY	DSL	1	0	1.23	4		0	0	0	1	0	7.1	28	4	1	1	0	2	0	0	2	0	11
2024	NYY	MiLB	1	2	1.80	13		0	0	0	1	0	15.0	62	10	5	3	1	6	1	2	4	0	21
2025	NYY	DSL	5	0	4.05	20		0	0	3	1	1	40.0	178	42	24	18	0	16	0	2	15	0	53
2026	Steamer	PROJ	0	0	6.93	1	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	5	1	1	1	0	1	0	0			1
2026	NYY	CPX	1	0	8.14	18		0	0	1	3	2	24.1	116	29	24	22	8	15	0	3	8	2	29
2026	NYY	A	1	0	3.21	8		0	0	0	0	0	14.0	56	9	5	5	1	4	0	3	1	0	20
2026	NYY	MiLB	2	0	6.34	26		0	0	1	3	2	38.1	172	38	29	27	9	19	0	6	9	2	49
2026	Steamer	ROS	0	0	5.67	1	0	0	0	0	0		1.0	5	1	1	1	0	1		0			1
2026	OOPSY	ROS	0	0	5.35	1	0			0	0		1.5	7	2	1	1	0	1	0	0			1

Preseason ProjectionsIn-Season ProjectionsMinor LeaguesAverages

Season	Team	Level	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2024	NYY	DSL	11.74	4.70	2.50	1.17	29.4%	11.8%	17.6%	.214	1.30	.294	75.5%	47	109	5.41
2024	NYY	DSL	13.50	2.45	5.50	0.00	39.3%	7.1%	32.1%	.154	0.82	.267	83.3%	24	36	1.79
2024	NYY	MiLB	12.60	3.60	3.50	0.60	33.9%	9.7%	24.2%	.185	1.07	.281	78.3%	36	73	3.64
2025	NYY	DSL	11.93	3.60	3.31	0.00	29.8%	9.0%	20.8%	.263	1.45	.393	60.0%	74	51	2.73
2026	Steamer	PROJ	5.15	8.43	0.61	1.48	11.5%	18.8%	-7.3%	.284	2.07	.298	68.4%			7.09
2026	NYY	CPX	10.73	5.55	1.93	2.96	25.0%	12.9%	12.1%	.296	1.81	.344	64.2%	135	141	8.35
2026	NYY	A	12.86	2.57	5.00	0.64	35.7%	7.1%	28.6%	.184	0.93	.286	75.3%	65	69	3.34
2026	NYY	MiLB	11.50	4.46	2.58	2.11	28.5%	11.0%	17.4%	.259	1.49	.326	67.5%	109	115	6.52
2026	Steamer	ROS	6.31	6.23	1.01	1.43	14.9%	14.7%	0.2%	.267	1.75	.290	70.6%			5.99
2026	OOPSY	ROS	6.67	4.65	1.43	1.49	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	.258	1.53	.280	68.0%			5.52

Season	Team	Level	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2024	NYY	DSL	11.74	4.70	2.50	1.17	29.4%	11.8%	17.6%	.214	1.30	.294	75.5%	47	109	5.41
2024	NYY	DSL	13.50	2.45	5.50	0.00	39.3%	7.1%	32.1%	.154	0.82	.267	83.3%	24	36	1.79
2024	NYY	MiLB	12.60	3.60	3.50	0.60	33.9%	9.7%	24.2%	.185	1.07	.281	78.3%	36	73	3.64
2025	NYY	DSL	11.93	3.60	3.31	0.00	29.8%	9.0%	20.8%	.263	1.45	.393	60.0%	74	51	2.73
2026	Steamer	PROJ	5.15	8.43	0.61	1.48	11.5%	18.8%	-7.3%	.284	2.07	.298	68.4%			7.09
2026	NYY	CPX	10.73	5.55	1.93	2.96	25.0%	12.9%	12.1%	.296	1.81	.344	64.2%	135	141	8.35
2026	NYY	A	12.86	2.57	5.00	0.64	35.7%	7.1%	28.6%	.184	0.93	.286	75.3%	65	69	3.34
2026	NYY	MiLB	11.50	4.46	2.58	2.11	28.5%	11.0%	17.4%	.259	1.49	.326	67.5%	109	115	6.52
2026	Steamer	ROS	6.31	6.23	1.01	1.43	14.9%	14.7%	0.2%	.267	1.75	.290	70.6%			5.99
2026	OOPSY	ROS	6.67	4.65	1.43	1.49	16.4%	11.4%	5.0%	.258	1.53	.280	68.0%			5.52