Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	17.2	1	2	22.5%	2.8%	2.55	2.42	0.5	0.5	6.4	10.5	203.2	15	9	29.9%	4.8%	2.70	2.57	6.5	6.2	80.0	123.7
2	Garrett Crochet	17.1	2	1	29.7%	5.4%	3.12	2.58	0.5	0.4	6.9	10.6	198.1	16	8	30.6%	6.4%	2.95	2.75	5.8	5.8	74.9	113.5
3	Max Fried	20.0	2	0	18.7%	6.7%	1.35	2.80	0.5	1.1	10.4	14.2	198.0	15	8	22.0%	7.0%	3.14	3.38	4.2	4.7	62.9	87.6
4	Bryan Woo	13.0	0	0	32.6%	4.3%	1.38	1.54	0.6	0.7	6.0	10.3	193.0	12	9	26.0%	5.4%	3.26	3.32	4.2	3.8	58.7	84.1
5	Framber Valdez	12.0	1	0	20.4%	6.1%	0.75	2.24	0.4	0.6	7.0	10.0	192.0	13	9	21.5%	8.0%	3.38	3.47	3.8	3.9	54.3	76.2
6	Dylan Cease	9.2	0	0	40.9%	11.4%	2.79	0.98	0.5	0.2	3.6	7.4	170.2	11	8	29.5%	9.3%	3.48	3.27	4.1	3.2	51.5	74.9
7	Kevin Gausman	17.1	0	1	40.6%	3.1%	2.08	1.25	0.8	0.7	7.3	13.5	186.1	11	10	25.8%	6.6%	3.57	3.40	4.0	3.4	50.1	72.8
8	José Soriano	20.0	3	0	29.6%	8.5%	0.45	2.60	0.5	1.4	14.1	18.3	184.0	13	10	23.2%	10.1%	3.42	3.61	3.5	4.1	52.9	71.0
9	George Kirby	20.0	1	2	21.6%	6.8%	3.60	4.40	0.0	0.4	4.6	4.8	183.0	12	11	23.7%	5.1%	3.59	3.53	3.0	2.8	48.1	67.9
10	Logan Gilbert	16.2	0	2	26.9%	4.5%	5.40	2.31	0.5	0.0	0.1	4.2	167.2	10	9	26.9%	5.9%	3.60	3.30	3.5	2.6	45.2	67.7

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	17.2	1	2	22.5%	2.8%	2.55	2.42	0.5	0.5	6.4	10.5	203.2	15	9	29.9%	4.8%	2.70	2.57	6.5	6.2	80.0	123.7
2	Garrett Crochet	17.1	2	1	29.7%	5.4%	3.12	2.58	0.5	0.4	6.9	10.6	198.1	16	8	30.6%	6.4%	2.95	2.75	5.8	5.8	74.9	113.5
3	Max Fried	20.0	2	0	18.7%	6.7%	1.35	2.80	0.5	1.1	10.4	14.2	198.0	15	8	22.0%	7.0%	3.14	3.38	4.2	4.7	62.9	87.6
4	Bryan Woo	13.0	0	0	32.6%	4.3%	1.38	1.54	0.6	0.7	6.0	10.3	193.0	12	9	26.0%	5.4%	3.26	3.32	4.2	3.8	58.7	84.1
5	Framber Valdez	12.0	1	0	20.4%	6.1%	0.75	2.24	0.4	0.6	7.0	10.0	192.0	13	9	21.5%	8.0%	3.38	3.47	3.8	3.9	54.3	76.2
6	Dylan Cease	9.2	0	0	40.9%	11.4%	2.79	0.98	0.5	0.2	3.6	7.4	170.2	11	8	29.5%	9.3%	3.48	3.27	4.1	3.2	51.5	74.9
7	Kevin Gausman	17.1	0	1	40.6%	3.1%	2.08	1.25	0.8	0.7	7.3	13.5	186.1	11	10	25.8%	6.6%	3.57	3.40	4.0	3.4	50.1	72.8
8	José Soriano	20.0	3	0	29.6%	8.5%	0.45	2.60	0.5	1.4	14.1	18.3	184.0	13	10	23.2%	10.1%	3.42	3.61	3.5	4.1	52.9	71.0
9	George Kirby	20.0	1	2	21.6%	6.8%	3.60	4.40	0.0	0.4	4.6	4.8	183.0	12	11	23.7%	5.1%	3.59	3.53	3.0	2.8	48.1	67.9
10	Logan Gilbert	16.2	0	2	26.9%	4.5%	5.40	2.31	0.5	0.0	0.1	4.2	167.2	10	9	26.9%	5.9%	3.60	3.30	3.5	2.6	45.2	67.7

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 183 results

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 183 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cristopher Sánchez	16.1	1	1	33.3%	5.8%	1.65	1.07	0.8	0.5	8.5	14.7	201.1	13	8	25.4%	6.0%	3.00	2.92	5.5	5.5	67.7	103.1
2	Paul Skenes	12.0	2	1	23.1%	11.5%	5.25	4.24	0.1	0.0	2.2	2.6	185.0	14	9	28.7%	7.2%	3.06	2.95	5.0	5.1	65.1	97.0
3	Logan Webb	18.0	1	1	19.0%	7.6%	5.00	2.65	0.4	-0.1	1.5	5.2	205.0	14	10	22.5%	5.8%	3.38	2.95	4.6	4.1	58.7	93.9
4	Chris Sale	16.0	2	1	25.4%	7.9%	3.94	5.09	-0.1	0.2	4.6	3.5	166.0	13	8	29.1%	6.9%	3.36	3.32	3.3	3.8	53.8	75.5
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	18.0	2	1	20.9%	3.0%	2.50	3.54	0.3	0.6	7.4	9.3	162.0	13	7	25.5%	6.4%	3.33	3.33	3.7	3.7	50.7	71.8
6	Jesús Luzardo	12.2	1	1	36.7%	2.0%	4.97	2.60	0.3	0.0	2.1	4.8	179.2	12	10	28.0%	7.0%	3.76	3.44	3.8	3.3	47.6	68.9
7	Sandy Alcantara	24.1	2	0	20.9%	4.7%	0.74	2.29	0.9	1.4	14.0	19.9	202.1	12	11	20.2%	6.6%	3.65	3.62	3.8	4.0	48.1	67.9
8	Tyler Glasnow	12.0	1	0	31.9%	6.4%	3.00	1.40	0.5	0.3	4.5	8.6	137.0	9	5	29.0%	8.7%	3.55	3.28	3.2	2.8	39.9	58.5
9	Nick Pivetta	13.0	1	2	35.1%	10.5%	5.54	1.46	0.6	-0.1	1.5	5.9	171.0	11	11	27.6%	7.9%	4.00	3.71	3.2	2.3	40.2	55.2
10	Aaron Nola	11.1	1	0	34.0%	6.4%	3.18	3.42	0.3	0.3	4.3	5.6	178.1	11	10	24.9%	6.2%	3.99	3.80	3.4	2.9	39.8	53.6

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Cristopher Sánchez	16.1	1	1	33.3%	5.8%	1.65	1.07	0.8	0.5	8.5	14.7	201.1	13	8	25.4%	6.0%	3.00	2.92	5.5	5.5	67.7	103.1
2	Paul Skenes	12.0	2	1	23.1%	11.5%	5.25	4.24	0.1	0.0	2.2	2.6	185.0	14	9	28.7%	7.2%	3.06	2.95	5.0	5.1	65.1	97.0
3	Logan Webb	18.0	1	1	19.0%	7.6%	5.00	2.65	0.4	-0.1	1.5	5.2	205.0	14	10	22.5%	5.8%	3.38	2.95	4.6	4.1	58.7	93.9
4	Chris Sale	16.0	2	1	25.4%	7.9%	3.94	5.09	-0.1	0.2	4.6	3.5	166.0	13	8	29.1%	6.9%	3.36	3.32	3.3	3.8	53.8	75.5
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	18.0	2	1	20.9%	3.0%	2.50	3.54	0.3	0.6	7.4	9.3	162.0	13	7	25.5%	6.4%	3.33	3.33	3.7	3.7	50.7	71.8
6	Jesús Luzardo	12.2	1	1	36.7%	2.0%	4.97	2.60	0.3	0.0	2.1	4.8	179.2	12	10	28.0%	7.0%	3.76	3.44	3.8	3.3	47.6	68.9
7	Sandy Alcantara	24.1	2	0	20.9%	4.7%	0.74	2.29	0.9	1.4	14.0	19.9	202.1	12	11	20.2%	6.6%	3.65	3.62	3.8	4.0	48.1	67.9
8	Tyler Glasnow	12.0	1	0	31.9%	6.4%	3.00	1.40	0.5	0.3	4.5	8.6	137.0	9	5	29.0%	8.7%	3.55	3.28	3.2	2.8	39.9	58.5
9	Nick Pivetta	13.0	1	2	35.1%	10.5%	5.54	1.46	0.6	-0.1	1.5	5.9	171.0	11	11	27.6%	7.9%	4.00	3.71	3.2	2.3	40.2	55.2
10	Aaron Nola	11.1	1	0	34.0%	6.4%	3.18	3.42	0.3	0.3	4.3	5.6	178.1	11	10	24.9%	6.2%	3.99	3.80	3.4	2.9	39.8	53.6

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 188 results

of 19

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 188 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG