MLB Playoff Odds
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AL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees41-26 | 41 | 26 | .612 | +7.5 | 93.0 | 69.0 | .547 | .499 | 72.0% | 71.1% | 26.6% | 98.6% | 13.9% |
| RaysRays40-25 | 40 | 25 | .615 | +7.5 | 87.9 | 74.1 | .494 | .506 | 24.6% | 23.9% | 64.4% | 89.0% | 4.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians37-33 | 37 | 33 | .529 | +2.0 | 82.4 | 79.6 | .494 | .490 | 52.2% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 62.6% | 2.4% |
| RangersRangers34-34 | 34 | 34 | .500 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .511 | .496 | 22.7% | 15.8% | 29.4% | 52.1% | 3.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics33-35 | 33 | 35 | .485 | 1.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .504 | .495 | 13.1% | 8.7% | 25.8% | 38.9% | 2.0% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays33-36 | 33 | 36 | .478 | 1.5 | 80.8 | 81.2 | .514 | .506 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 40.2% | 42.4% | 2.5% |
| OriolesOrioles33-37 | 33 | 37 | .471 | 2.0 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .505 | .502 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 1.5% |
| AstrosAstros31-39 | 31 | 39 | .443 | 4.0 | 76.5 | 85.5 | .495 | .499 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 0.7% |
| TwinsTwins31-39 | 31 | 39 | .443 | 4.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .487 | .499 | 8.7% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 14.0% | 0.5% |
| TigersTigers29-40 | 29 | 40 | .420 | 5.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .531 | .495 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 28.0% | 2.0% |
| Red SoxRed Sox27-39 | 27 | 39 | .409 | 6.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .510 | .501 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 0.7% |
| RoyalsRoyals28-41 | 28 | 41 | .406 | 6.5 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .497 | .495 | 4.2% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| AngelsAngels27-42 | 27 | 42 | .391 | 7.5 | 68.8 | 93.2 | .449 | .506 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees41-26 | 41 | 26 | .612 | +7.5 | 93.0 | 69.0 | .547 | .499 | 72.0% | 71.1% | 26.6% | 98.6% | 13.9% |
| RaysRays40-25 | 40 | 25 | .615 | +7.5 | 87.9 | 74.1 | .494 | .506 | 24.6% | 23.9% | 64.4% | 89.0% | 4.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians37-33 | 37 | 33 | .529 | +2.0 | 82.4 | 79.6 | .494 | .490 | 52.2% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 62.6% | 2.4% |
| RangersRangers34-34 | 34 | 34 | .500 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .511 | .496 | 22.7% | 15.8% | 29.4% | 52.1% | 3.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics33-35 | 33 | 35 | .485 | 1.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .504 | .495 | 13.1% | 8.7% | 25.8% | 38.9% | 2.0% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays33-36 | 33 | 36 | .478 | 1.5 | 80.8 | 81.2 | .514 | .506 | 2.1% | 2.0% | 40.2% | 42.4% | 2.5% |
| OriolesOrioles33-37 | 33 | 37 | .471 | 2.0 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .505 | .502 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 1.5% |
| AstrosAstros31-39 | 31 | 39 | .443 | 4.0 | 76.5 | 85.5 | .495 | .499 | 3.1% | 1.9% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 0.7% |
| TwinsTwins31-39 | 31 | 39 | .443 | 4.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .487 | .499 | 8.7% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 14.0% | 0.5% |
| TigersTigers29-40 | 29 | 40 | .420 | 5.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .531 | .495 | 17.6% | 4.8% | 10.5% | 28.0% | 2.0% |
| Red SoxRed Sox27-39 | 27 | 39 | .409 | 6.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .510 | .501 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 0.7% |
| RoyalsRoyals28-41 | 28 | 41 | .406 | 6.5 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .497 | .495 | 4.2% | 0.7% | 3.2% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| AngelsAngels27-42 | 27 | 42 | .391 | 7.5 | 68.8 | 93.2 | .449 | .506 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
NL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| CardinalsCardinals37-29 | 37 | 29 | .561 | +2.5 | 83.6 | 78.4 | .485 | .498 | 9.8% | 2.4% | 40.0% | 49.8% | 1.1% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-31 | 37 | 31 | .544 | +1.5 | 87.9 | 74.1 | .541 | .504 | 13.9% | 8.9% | 67.1% | 81.1% | 6.7% |
| PadresPadres35-32 | 35 | 32 | .522 | 0.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .471 | .504 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 0.4% |
| PiratesPirates35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 83.1 | 78.9 | .517 | .501 | 9.0% | 1.6% | 35.8% | 44.8% | 2.1% |
| CubsCubs35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .508 | .500 | 6.7% | 1.3% | 32.8% | 39.6% | 1.7% |
| NationalsNationals35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .439 | .504 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs34-34 | 34 | 34 | .500 | 1.5 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .501 | .494 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 29.3% | 29.8% | 0.9% |
| MarlinsMarlins34-35 | 34 | 35 | .493 | 2.0 | 77.3 | 84.7 | .466 | .502 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 0.1% |
| RedsReds32-35 | 32 | 35 | .478 | 3.0 | 76.3 | 85.7 | .466 | .509 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| MetsMets30-38 | 30 | 38 | .441 | 5.5 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .525 | .509 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 1.0% |
| GiantsGiants28-41 | 28 | 41 | .406 | 8.0 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .507 | .496 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| RockiesRockies26-43 | 26 | 43 | .377 | 10.0 | 63.3 | 98.7 | .401 | .500 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| CardinalsCardinals37-29 | 37 | 29 | .561 | +2.5 | 83.6 | 78.4 | .485 | .498 | 9.8% | 2.4% | 40.0% | 49.8% | 1.1% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-31 | 37 | 31 | .544 | +1.5 | 87.9 | 74.1 | .541 | .504 | 13.9% | 8.9% | 67.1% | 81.1% | 6.7% |
| PadresPadres35-32 | 35 | 32 | .522 | 0.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .471 | .504 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 19.7% | 20.0% | 0.4% |
| PiratesPirates35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 83.1 | 78.9 | .517 | .501 | 9.0% | 1.6% | 35.8% | 44.8% | 2.1% |
| CubsCubs35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .508 | .500 | 6.7% | 1.3% | 32.8% | 39.6% | 1.7% |
| NationalsNationals35-34 | 35 | 34 | .507 | 1.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .439 | .504 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs34-34 | 34 | 34 | .500 | 1.5 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .501 | .494 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 29.3% | 29.8% | 0.9% |
| MarlinsMarlins34-35 | 34 | 35 | .493 | 2.0 | 77.3 | 84.7 | .466 | .502 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 0.1% |
| RedsReds32-35 | 32 | 35 | .478 | 3.0 | 76.3 | 85.7 | .466 | .509 | 0.6% | 0.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| MetsMets30-38 | 30 | 38 | .441 | 5.5 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .525 | .509 | 0.8% | 0.3% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 1.0% |
| GiantsGiants28-41 | 28 | 41 | .406 | 8.0 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .507 | .496 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| RockiesRockies26-43 | 26 | 43 | .377 | 10.0 | 63.3 | 98.7 | .401 | .500 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |

