Contract Crowdsourcing 2024-25: Ballot 10 of 10

Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent seasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract crowdsourcing project, with the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2024-25 free agent market.

In recent years, we’ve added a few features to these ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor league contract, or won’t receive one at all. If there is a player option, team option, or opt out in a player’s contract, you’ll be able to indicate whether you think he will remain with his current team or become a free agent. Numbers are prorated to full season where noted. The projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2025 Steamer600 projections.

Below are ballots for eight of this year’s potential free agents — in this case, a group of pitchers with club or player options for the coming season. Most aren’t expected to actually reach free agency, but in the event they do, we are interested in gauging their markets.

All Players: Willy AdamesPete AlonsoHarrison BaderScott BarlowJosh BellCody BellingerShane BieberMatthew BoydAlex BregmanWalker BuehlerCorbin BurnesMark CanhaAroldis ChapmanAlex CobbMichael ConfortoAnthony DeSclafaniSeranthony DomínguezAdam DuvallNathan EovaldiCarlos EstévezThairo EstradaCaleb FergusonJack FlahertyDylan FloroMax FriedLuis GarcíaYimi GarcíaKyle GibsonPaul GoldschmidtKyle HartAndrew HeaneyTeoscar HernándezEnrique HernándezJason HeywardJeff HoffmanClay HolmesDaniel HudsonDanny JansenKenley JansenEloy JiménezJakob JunisJoe KellyMerill KellyMax KeplerYusei KikuchiHa-Seong KimCraig KimbrelAndrew KittredgeJosé LeclercJonathan LoáisigaMichael LorenzenLance LynnSean ManaeaChris MartinNick MartinezJ.D. MartinezJohn MeansA.J. MinterFrankie MontasCharlie MortonRyan O'HearnTyler O'NeillMarcell OzunaEmilio PagánJoc PedersonFreddy PeraltaMartín PérezTommy PhamNick PivettaJurickson ProfarJose QuintanaBrooks RaleyAnthony RizzoDavid RobertsonMiguel RojasCarlos SantanaAnthony SantanderMax ScherzerTanner ScottLuis SeverinoPaul SewaldAustin SlaterDrew SmithWill SmithBlake SnellJuan SotoEugenio SuárezMichael A. TaylorCaleb ThielbarGleyber TorresBlake TreinenSpencer TurnbullJustin TurnerAlex VerdugoJustin VerlanderMichael WachaChristian WalkerLuke WeaverTrevor WilliamsJesse WinkerKirby YatesTravis d'Arnaud
  • Has averaged 0.5 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 58.2 IP and -0.1 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 0.5 WAR per 65 IP.
  • Is entering his age-30 season.
  • Previous Contract: 2 yr, $7.25M (2023-24), 2025 club option
  • 2024 Salary: $4.3M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 1.8 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 169.2 IP and 1.5 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 1.6 WAR per 180 IP.
  • Is entering his age-37 season.
  • Previous Contract: 1 yr, $13M (2024), 2025 club option
  • 2024 Salary: $12.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 1.9 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 67 IP and 0.8 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 1.0 WAR per 180 IP.
  • Is entering his age-32 season.
  • Previous Contract: 1 yr, $7M (2024), 2025 mutual option
  • 2024 Salary: $4.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 2.9 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 73.2 IP and 0.6 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 2.0 WAR per 180 IP.
  • Is entering his age-36 season.
  • Previous Contract: 2 yr, $18M (2023-24), 2025 club option
  • 2024 Salary: $8.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 1.6 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 117.1 IP and 1.3 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 2.0 WAR per 180 IP.
  • Is entering his age-38 season.
  • Previous Contract: 1 yr, $11M (2024), 2025 club option
  • 2024 Salary: $10.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 0.6 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 38 IP and 0.5 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 0.2 WAR per 65 IP.
  • Is entering his age-34 season.
  • Previous Contract: 2 yr, $16M (2024), 2025 player option
  • 2024 Salary: $8.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 3.2 WAR per 180 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 173.2 IP and 2.2 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 3.1 WAR per 180 IP.
  • Is entering his age-29 season.
  • Previous Contract: 5 yr, $15.5M (2020-24), 2025-26 club options
  • 2024 Salary: $5.5M
Balloting has ended for 2025
  • Has averaged 0.4 WAR per 65 IP for 2022-2024.
  • Recorded 84 IP and 1.0 WAR in 2024.
  • Is projected to record 0.4 WAR per 65 IP.
  • Is entering his age-31 season.
  • Previous Contract: 1 yr, $2M (2024), 2025 club option
  • 2024 Salary: $2.0M
Balloting has ended for 2025





Meg is the editor-in-chief of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on Bluesky @megrowler.fangraphs.com.

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scotth855Member since 2020
8 months ago

I’m surprised Kyle Hendricks wasn’t on any of these lists. It would be interest to see what the readers would think he could get.

JupiterBrandoMember since 2020
8 months ago
Reply to  scotth855

plenty of time at home with his loved ones