| J Arrieta | J Bautista | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Jose Bautista fouled out to first (Fly). | 0.87 | 0.52 | 52.2% | -.022 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Donaldson | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Josh Donaldson flied out to center (Fly). | 0.62 | 0.28 | 53.8% | -.016 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Smoak | 1 | 2 | ___ | 0-0 | Justin Smoak doubled to right (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.40 | 0.11 | 51.7% | .021 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | S Pearce | 1 | 2 | _2_ | 0-1 | Steve Pearce singled to right (Grounder). Justin Smoak scored. | 1.11 | 0.33 | 42.8% | .088 | 0.91 | 1 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | M Montero | 1 | 2 | 1__ | 0-1 | Miguel Montero grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.72 | 0.24 | 44.9% | -.021 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | A Almora Jr. | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-1 | Albert Almora Jr. struck out swinging. | 0.92 | 0.52 | 42.5% | -.024 | -0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | K Bryant | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-1 | Kris Bryant struck out swinging. | 0.65 | 0.28 | 40.9% | -.017 | -0.17 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | A Rizzo | 1 | 2 | ___ | 0-1 | Anthony Rizzo grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.42 | 0.11 | 39.8% | -.011 | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | K Pillar | 2 | 0 | ___ | 0-1 | Kevin Pillar struck out swinging. | 0.82 | 0.52 | 41.9% | -.021 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | R Goins | 2 | 1 | ___ | 0-1 | Ryan Goins struck out swinging. | 0.60 | 0.28 | 43.4% | -.015 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | D Barney | 2 | 2 | ___ | 0-1 | Darwin Barney flied out to center (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.39 | 0.11 | 44.5% | -.010 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | B Zobrist | 2 | 0 | ___ | 0-1 | Ben Zobrist walked. | 0.99 | 0.52 | 48.5% | .040 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | I Happ | 2 | 0 | 1__ | 0-1 | Ian Happ struck out swinging. | 1.62 | 0.91 | 44.7% | -.038 | -0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | V Caratini | 2 | 1 | 1__ | 0-1 | Victor Caratini doubled to right (Fliner (Liner)). Ben Zobrist advanced to 3B. | 1.31 | 0.54 | 54.0% | .093 | 0.89 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Heyward | 2 | 1 | _23 | 1-1 | Jason Heyward singled to first (Grounder). Ben Zobrist scored. Victor Caratini advanced to 3B. | 1.69 | 1.43 | 61.9% | .080 | 0.78 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Baez | 2 | 1 | 1_3 | 2-1 | Javier Baez singled to right (Fliner (Fly)). Victor Caratini scored. Jason Heyward advanced to 2B. | 1.86 | 1.21 | 68.8% | .068 | 0.73 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Arrieta | 2 | 1 | 12_ | 2-1 | Jake Arrieta flied out to right (Fly). | 1.68 | 0.94 | 64.9% | -.039 | -0.49 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | A Almora Jr. | 2 | 2 | 12_ | 3-1 | Albert Almora Jr. singled to right (Fliner (Fly)). Jason Heyward scored. Javier Baez out at home. Albert Almora Jr. | 1.47 | 0.45 | 71.0% | .061 | 0.55 | 1 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | J Happ | 3 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | J.A. Happ struck out swinging. | 0.97 | 0.52 | 73.5% | -.025 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Bautista | 3 | 1 | ___ | 3-1 | Jose Bautista singled to pitcher (Grounder). | 0.68 | 0.28 | 70.7% | .028 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Donaldson | 3 | 1 | 1__ | 3-1 | Josh Donaldson struck out swinging. | 1.29 | 0.54 | 73.9% | -.031 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Bautista | 3 | 2 | 1__ | 3-1 | Jose Bautista was caught stealing. | 0.85 | 0.24 | 76.3% | -.024 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | K Bryant | 3 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | Kris Bryant grounded out to third (Grounder). | 0.62 | 0.52 | 74.7% | -.016 | -0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | A Rizzo | 3 | 1 | ___ | 3-1 | Anthony Rizzo singled to left (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.46 | 0.28 | 76.4% | .017 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | B Zobrist | 3 | 1 | 1__ | 3-1 | Ben Zobrist flied out to center (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.83 | 0.54 | 74.4% | -.020 | -0.31 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | I Happ | 3 | 2 | 1__ | 3-1 | Ian Happ struck out swinging. | 0.59 | 0.24 | 72.7% | -.017 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | J Smoak | 4 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | Justin Smoak singled to center (Grounder). | 1.04 | 0.52 | 68.3% | .044 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | S Pearce | 4 | 0 | 1__ | 3-1 | Steve Pearce flied out to second (Fly). | 1.76 | 0.91 | 72.4% | -.041 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | M Montero | 4 | 1 | 1__ | 3-1 | Miguel Montero singled to right (Liner). Justin Smoak advanced to 2B. | 1.38 | 0.54 | 68.0% | .044 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | K Pillar | 4 | 1 | 12_ | 3-1 | Kevin Pillar flied out to center (Fly). | 2.36 | 0.94 | 73.4% | -.055 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | R Goins | 4 | 2 | 12_ | 3-1 | Ryan Goins flied out to center (Fly). | 1.91 | 0.45 | 78.4% | -.050 | -0.45 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | V Caratini | 4 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | Victor Caratini singled to left (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.61 | 0.52 | 80.8% | .024 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Heyward | 4 | 0 | 1__ | 3-1 | Jason Heyward grounded out to first (Grounder). Victor Caratini advanced to 2B. | 0.95 | 0.91 | 79.8% | -.011 | -0.21 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Baez | 4 | 1 | _2_ | 3-1 | Javier Baez struck out swinging. | 0.84 | 0.70 | 77.3% | -.024 | -0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Arrieta | 4 | 2 | _2_ | 3-1 | Jake Arrieta struck out swinging. | 0.85 | 0.33 | 74.9% | -.025 | -0.33 | 0 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | D Barney | 5 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | Darwin Barney flied out to first (Fly). | 1.13 | 0.52 | 77.8% | -.029 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Happ | 5 | 1 | ___ | 3-1 | J.A. Happ lined out to second (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.80 | 0.28 | 79.8% | -.020 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Bautista | 5 | 2 | ___ | 3-1 | Jose Bautista grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.48 | 0.11 | 81.1% | -.013 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |
| J Happ | A Almora Jr. | 5 | 0 | ___ | 3-1 | Albert Almora Jr. singled to center (Grounder). | 0.59 | 0.52 | 83.3% | .022 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | K Bryant | 5 | 0 | 1__ | 3-1 | Kris Bryant doubled to left (Fliner (Liner)). Albert Almora Jr. advanced to 3B. | 0.91 | 0.91 | 89.6% | .063 | 1.11 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | A Rizzo | 5 | 0 | _23 | 5-1 | Anthony Rizzo singled to left (Grounder). Albert Almora Jr. scored. Kris Bryant scored. | 0.77 | 2.02 | 93.9% | .042 | 0.90 | 1 | 1 |
| J Happ | B Zobrist | 5 | 0 | 1__ | 5-1 | Ben Zobrist flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.36 | 0.91 | 93.0% | -.009 | -0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | I Happ | 5 | 1 | 1__ | 5-1 | Ian Happ struck out looking. | 0.31 | 0.54 | 92.3% | -.008 | -0.31 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | A Rizzo | 5 | 2 | 1__ | 5-1 | Anthony Rizzo advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 0.23 | 0.24 | 92.6% | .003 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | V Caratini | 5 | 2 | _2_ | 5-1 | Victor Caratini was intentionally walked. | 0.34 | 0.33 | 92.8% | .002 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 |
| J Happ | J Heyward | 5 | 2 | 12_ | 5-1 | Jason Heyward struck out swinging. | 0.44 | 0.45 | 91.6% | -.012 | -0.45 | 0 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | J Donaldson | 6 | 0 | ___ | 5-1 | Josh Donaldson walked. | 0.66 | 0.52 | 88.7% | .029 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | J Smoak | 6 | 0 | 1__ | 5-1 | Justin Smoak struck out looking. | 1.20 | 0.91 | 91.4% | -.028 | -0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | S Pearce | 6 | 1 | 1__ | 5-1 | Steve Pearce struck out looking. | 0.86 | 0.54 | 93.6% | -.021 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | M Montero | 6 | 2 | 1__ | 5-1 | Miguel Montero flied out to third (Fly). | 0.50 | 0.24 | 95.0% | -.014 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| A Loup | J Baez | 6 | 0 | ___ | 5-1 | Javier Baez flied out to second (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.17 | 0.52 | 94.5% | -.005 | -0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| A Loup | J Arrieta | 6 | 1 | ___ | 5-1 | Jake Arrieta singled to left (Grounder). | 0.14 | 0.28 | 95.0% | .005 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| A Loup | A Almora Jr. | 6 | 1 | 1__ | 5-1 | Albert Almora Jr. struck out swinging. | 0.24 | 0.54 | 94.4% | -.006 | -0.31 | 0 | 1 |
| A Loup | K Bryant | 6 | 2 | 1__ | 5-1 | Kris Bryant flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.17 | 0.24 | 93.9% | -.005 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| J Arrieta | K Pillar | 7 | 0 | ___ | 5-1 | Kevin Pillar doubled to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.62 | 0.52 | 90.2% | .038 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | R Goins | 7 | 0 | _2_ | 5-1 | Ryan Goins grounded out to second (Grounder). Kevin Pillar advanced to 3B. | 1.04 | 1.15 | 92.4% | -.022 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
| J Arrieta | E Carrera | 7 | 1 | __3 | 5-1 | Ezequiel Carrera walked. | 0.81 | 0.96 | 89.7% | .027 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| C Edwards Jr. | K Morales | 7 | 1 | 1_3 | 5-1 | Kendrys Morales reached on fielder's choice to first (Grounder). Kevin Pillar out at home. Ezequiel Carrera advanced to 3B. | 1.46 | 1.21 | 94.1% | -.044 | -0.70 | 0 | 0 |
| C Edwards Jr. | J Bautista | 7 | 2 | 1_3 | 5-1 | Jose Bautista struck out swinging. | 1.02 | 0.51 | 97.0% | -.029 | -0.51 | 0 | 0 |
| T Mayza | A Rizzo | 7 | 0 | ___ | 5-1 | Anthony Rizzo struck out swinging. | 0.12 | 0.52 | 96.7% | -.003 | -0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| T Mayza | B Zobrist | 7 | 1 | ___ | 5-1 | Ben Zobrist doubled to left (Liner). | 0.09 | 0.28 | 97.3% | .006 | 0.42 | 0 | 1 |
| T Mayza | B Zobrist | 7 | 1 | _2_ | 5-1 | Ben Zobrist was caught stealing. | 0.16 | 0.70 | 96.5% | -.008 | -0.59 | 0 | 1 |
| T Mayza | I Happ | 7 | 2 | ___ | 5-1 | Ian Happ struck out swinging. | 0.06 | 0.11 | 96.3% | -.002 | -0.11 | 0 | 1 |
| P Strop | J Donaldson | 8 | 0 | ___ | 5-1 | Josh Donaldson flied out to right (Fly). | 0.52 | 0.52 | 97.6% | -.014 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| P Strop | J Smoak | 8 | 1 | ___ | 5-1 | Justin Smoak grounded out to second (Grounder). | 0.30 | 0.28 | 98.4% | -.008 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| P Strop | S Pearce | 8 | 2 | ___ | 5-1 | Steve Pearce singled to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.13 | 0.11 | 97.8% | .006 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| P Strop | M Montero | 8 | 2 | 1__ | 5-1 | Miguel Montero singled to center (Fliner (Liner)). Steve Pearce advanced to 2B. | 0.31 | 0.24 | 96.7% | .012 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| P Strop | K Pillar | 8 | 2 | 12_ | 5-2 | Kevin Pillar doubled to left (Fliner (Liner)). Steve Pearce scored. Miguel Montero advanced to 3B. | 0.79 | 0.45 | 91.6% | .051 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 |
| P Strop | R Goins | 8 | 2 | _23 | 5-4 | Ryan Goins singled to right (Grounder). Miguel Montero scored. Kevin Pillar scored. | 1.82 | 0.62 | 80.6% | .109 | 1.62 | 1 | 0 |
| P Strop | E Carrera | 8 | 2 | 1__ | 5-4 | Ezequiel Carrera flied out to center (Fly). | 2.05 | 0.24 | 86.5% | -.059 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| T Mayza | V Caratini | 8 | 0 | ___ | 5-4 | Victor Caratini singled to center (Liner). | 0.55 | 0.52 | 88.5% | .020 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 |
| T Mayza | J Heyward | 8 | 0 | 1__ | 5-4 | Jason Heyward reached on fielder's choice to first (Grounder). Victor Caratini out at second. | 0.82 | 0.91 | 86.6% | -.020 | -0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| T Mayza | J Baez | 8 | 1 | 1__ | 7-4 | Javier Baez homered (Fly). Jason Heyward scored. | 0.73 | 0.54 | 96.9% | .103 | 1.73 | 1 | 1 |
| T Mayza | J Jay | 8 | 1 | ___ | 7-4 | Jon Jay walked. | 0.09 | 0.28 | 97.2% | .003 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 |
| R Tepera | A Almora Jr. | 8 | 1 | 1__ | 7-4 | Albert Almora Jr. flied out to center (Fly). | 0.16 | 0.54 | 96.8% | -.004 | -0.31 | 0 | 1 |
| R Tepera | K Bryant | 8 | 2 | 1__ | 7-4 | Kris Bryant flied out to right (Fly). | 0.12 | 0.24 | 96.5% | -.003 | -0.24 | 0 | 1 |
| W Davis | N Aoki | 9 | 0 | ___ | 7-4 | Nori Aoki grounded out to pitcher (Grounder). | 0.78 | 0.52 | 98.5% | -.020 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 |
| W Davis | J Bautista | 9 | 1 | ___ | 7-4 | Jose Bautista grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.42 | 0.28 | 99.6% | -.011 | -0.17 | 0 | 0 |
| W Davis | J Donaldson | 9 | 2 | ___ | 7-4 | Josh Donaldson struck out swinging. | 0.15 | 0.11 | 100.0% | -.004 | -0.11 | 0 | 0 |