| D Cease | I Happ | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Ian Happ flied out to shortstop (Fly). | 0.87 | 0.46 | 52.2% | -.022 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | K Tucker | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Kyle Tucker struck out swinging. | 0.61 | 0.24 | 53.6% | -.015 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | J Turner | 1 | 2 | ___ | 0-0 | Justin Turner flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.39 | 0.10 | 54.6% | -.010 | -0.10 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | F Tatis Jr. | 1 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Fernando Tatis Jr. lined out to third (Liner). | 0.87 | 0.46 | 52.5% | -.021 | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | L Arraez | 1 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Luis Arraez singled to center (Liner). | 0.61 | 0.24 | 54.9% | .024 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | M Machado | 1 | 1 | 1__ | 0-0 | Manny Machado flied out to left (Fliner (Fly)). | 1.17 | 0.49 | 52.2% | -.027 | -0.28 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | G Sheets | 1 | 2 | 1__ | 0-0 | Gavin Sheets flied out to right (Fly). | 0.80 | 0.21 | 50.0% | -.022 | -0.21 | 0 | 1 |
| D Cease | M Busch | 2 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Michael Busch flied out to right (Fly). | 0.93 | 0.46 | 52.3% | -.023 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | D Swanson | 2 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Dansby Swanson struck out swinging. | 0.64 | 0.24 | 53.9% | -.016 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | N Hoerner | 2 | 2 | ___ | 0-0 | Nico Hoerner singled to center (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.41 | 0.10 | 52.6% | .013 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | P Crow-Armstrong | 2 | 2 | 1__ | 0-0 | Pete Crow-Armstrong struck out swinging. | 0.85 | 0.21 | 54.9% | -.023 | -0.21 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | X Bogaerts | 2 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Xander Bogaerts flied out to right (Fly). | 0.92 | 0.46 | 52.6% | -.023 | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | J Iglesias | 2 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Jose Iglesias out on a dropped third strike. | 0.66 | 0.24 | 51.1% | -.016 | -0.15 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | J Heyward | 2 | 2 | ___ | 0-0 | Jason Heyward flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.42 | 0.10 | 50.0% | -.011 | -0.10 | 0 | 1 |
| D Cease | M Amaya | 3 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Miguel Amaya doubled to left (Grounder). | 0.99 | 0.46 | 43.0% | .070 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | M Shaw | 3 | 0 | _2_ | 0-0 | Matt Shaw struck out swinging. | 1.43 | 1.07 | 47.7% | -.048 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | I Happ | 3 | 1 | _2_ | 0-0 | Ian Happ struck out swinging. | 1.43 | 0.64 | 51.6% | -.039 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | K Tucker | 3 | 2 | _2_ | 0-0 | Kyle Tucker flied out to center (Fly). | 1.33 | 0.31 | 55.3% | -.037 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | T Wade | 3 | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Tyler Wade struck out looking. | 0.99 | 0.46 | 52.9% | -.024 | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | M Maldonado | 3 | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Martin Maldonado struck out swinging. | 0.71 | 0.24 | 51.2% | -.017 | -0.15 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | F Tatis Jr. | 3 | 2 | ___ | 1-0 | Fernando Tatis Jr. homered (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.46 | 0.10 | 64.3% | .131 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| J Taillon | L Arraez | 3 | 2 | ___ | 1-0 | Luis Arraez flied out to left (Fliner (Liner)). | 0.38 | 0.10 | 63.3% | -.009 | -0.10 | 0 | 1 |
| D Cease | J Turner | 4 | 0 | ___ | 1-0 | Justin Turner reached on error to third (Grounder). Error by Manny Machado. | 1.15 | 0.46 | 58.5% | .048 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | M Busch | 4 | 0 | 1__ | 1-2 | Michael Busch homered (Fly). Justin Turner scored. | 1.96 | 0.83 | 36.7% | .218 | 1.63 | 1 | 0 |
| D Cease | D Swanson | 4 | 0 | ___ | 1-2 | Dansby Swanson grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.88 | 0.46 | 38.9% | -.022 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | N Hoerner | 4 | 1 | ___ | 1-2 | Nico Hoerner doubled to left (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.64 | 0.24 | 34.6% | .042 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | P Crow-Armstrong | 4 | 1 | _2_ | 1-3 | Pete Crow-Armstrong doubled to right (Fliner (Liner)). Nico Hoerner scored. | 1.26 | 0.64 | 24.0% | .107 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Cease | P Crow-Armstrong | 4 | 1 | _2_ | 1-3 | Pete Crow-Armstrong was caught stealing. | 0.94 | 0.64 | 28.3% | -.044 | -0.55 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | M Amaya | 4 | 2 | ___ | 1-3 | Miguel Amaya grounded out to third (Grounder). | 0.32 | 0.10 | 29.1% | -.008 | -0.10 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | M Machado | 4 | 0 | ___ | 1-3 | Manny Machado flied out to right (Fliner (Fly)). | 1.12 | 0.46 | 26.3% | -.028 | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | G Sheets | 4 | 1 | ___ | 1-3 | Gavin Sheets fouled out to third (Fly). | 0.78 | 0.24 | 24.5% | -.019 | -0.15 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | X Bogaerts | 4 | 2 | ___ | 1-3 | Xander Bogaerts struck out swinging. | 0.48 | 0.10 | 23.3% | -.012 | -0.10 | 0 | 1 |
| D Cease | M Shaw | 5 | 0 | ___ | 1-3 | Matt Shaw singled to second (Grounder). | 0.65 | 0.46 | 20.7% | .026 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | I Happ | 5 | 0 | 1__ | 1-3 | Ian Happ grounded out to first (Grounder). Matt Shaw advanced to 2B. | 1.06 | 0.83 | 21.7% | -.010 | -0.19 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | K Tucker | 5 | 1 | _2_ | 1-3 | Kyle Tucker was intentionally walked. | 0.93 | 0.64 | 20.6% | .011 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | J Turner | 5 | 1 | 12_ | 1-3 | Justin Turner flied out to right (Fly). Matt Shaw advanced to 3B. | 1.41 | 0.87 | 23.2% | -.026 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | M Busch | 5 | 2 | 1_3 | 1-3 | Michael Busch struck out swinging. | 1.36 | 0.47 | 26.8% | -.037 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | J Iglesias | 5 | 0 | ___ | 1-3 | Jose Iglesias singled to third (Grounder). | 1.23 | 0.46 | 32.2% | .053 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | J Heyward | 5 | 0 | 1__ | 1-3 | Jason Heyward grounded out to pitcher (Grounder). Jose Iglesias advanced to 2B. | 2.16 | 0.83 | 29.4% | -.028 | -0.19 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | T Wade | 5 | 1 | _2_ | 1-3 | Tyler Wade singled to first (Grounder). Jose Iglesias advanced to 3B. | 1.74 | 0.64 | 36.3% | .069 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | M Maldonado | 5 | 1 | 1_3 | 1-3 | Martin Maldonado flied out to first (Bunt Fly). | 2.70 | 1.14 | 27.1% | -.092 | -0.67 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | F Tatis Jr. | 5 | 2 | 1_3 | 1-3 | Fernando Tatis Jr. flied out to shortstop (Fly). | 2.46 | 0.47 | 20.5% | -.066 | -0.47 | 0 | 1 |
| D Cease | D Swanson | 6 | 0 | ___ | 1-3 | Dansby Swanson flied out to center (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.62 | 0.46 | 22.0% | -.015 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | N Hoerner | 6 | 1 | ___ | 1-3 | Nico Hoerner grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 0.45 | 0.24 | 23.1% | -.011 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| D Cease | P Crow-Armstrong | 6 | 2 | ___ | 1-3 | Pete Crow-Armstrong singled to left (Liner). | 0.30 | 0.10 | 22.2% | .008 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| A Jacob | M Amaya | 6 | 2 | 1__ | 1-3 | Miguel Amaya singled to right (Liner). Pete Crow-Armstrong advanced to 3B. | 0.59 | 0.21 | 20.4% | .019 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
| A Jacob | M Shaw | 6 | 2 | 1_3 | 1-3 | Matt Shaw flied out to first (Fliner (Fly)). | 1.30 | 0.47 | 23.9% | -.035 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |
| J Taillon | L Arraez | 6 | 0 | ___ | 1-3 | Luis Arraez grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 1.35 | 0.46 | 20.5% | -.033 | -0.22 | 0 | 1 |
| J Taillon | M Machado | 6 | 1 | ___ | 1-3 | Manny Machado walked. | 0.92 | 0.24 | 24.5% | .040 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 |
| B Keller | G Sheets | 6 | 1 | 1__ | 1-3 | Gavin Sheets singled to left (Fly). Manny Machado advanced to 2B. | 1.83 | 0.49 | 30.5% | .060 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 |
| B Keller | X Bogaerts | 6 | 1 | 12_ | 1-3 | Xander Bogaerts walked. Manny Machado advanced to 3B. Gavin Sheets advanced to 2B. | 3.22 | 0.87 | 40.5% | .100 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 |
| B Keller | J Iglesias | 6 | 1 | 123 | 2-3 | Jose Iglesias singled to pitcher (Grounder). Manny Machado scored. Gavin Sheets advanced to 3B. Xander Bogaerts advanced to 2B. | 4.55 | 1.52 | 55.4% | .150 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| B Keller | J Heyward | 6 | 1 | 123 | 3-3 | Jason Heyward singled to shortstop (Grounder). Gavin Sheets scored. Xander Bogaerts advanced to 3B. Jose Iglesias advanced to 2B. | 4.60 | 1.52 | 71.1% | .157 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| B Keller | T Wade | 6 | 1 | 123 | 3-3 | Tyler Wade struck out looking. | 3.71 | 1.52 | 60.3% | -.108 | -0.78 | 0 | 1 |
| B Keller | O Gonzalez | 6 | 2 | 123 | 3-3 | Oscar Gonzalez struck out swinging. | 4.20 | 0.74 | 50.0% | -.103 | -0.74 | 0 | 1 |
| A Morejon | I Happ | 7 | 0 | ___ | 3-3 | Ian Happ walked. | 1.53 | 0.46 | 44.0% | .060 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| A Morejon | K Tucker | 7 | 0 | 1__ | 3-3 | Kyle Tucker struck out swinging. | 2.47 | 0.83 | 49.6% | -.056 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| A Morejon | I Happ | 7 | 1 | 1__ | 3-3 | Ian Happ advanced on a wild pitch to 2B. | 2.05 | 0.49 | 46.2% | .034 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 |
| A Morejon | J Turner | 7 | 1 | _2_ | 3-3 | Justin Turner grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 2.20 | 0.64 | 52.3% | -.060 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| A Morejon | M Busch | 7 | 2 | _2_ | 3-3 | Michael Busch grounded out to first (Grounder). | 2.23 | 0.31 | 58.4% | -.061 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| N Pearson | F Tatis Jr. | 7 | 0 | ___ | 3-3 | Fernando Tatis Jr. walked. | 1.50 | 0.46 | 64.1% | .057 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| N Pearson | L Arraez | 7 | 0 | 1__ | 3-3 | Luis Arraez doubled to second (Grounder). Fernando Tatis Jr. advanced to 3B. | 2.39 | 0.83 | 80.9% | .168 | 1.09 | 0 | 1 |
| N Pearson | M Machado | 7 | 0 | _23 | 3-3 | Manny Machado was intentionally walked. | 1.94 | 1.92 | 82.9% | .019 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 |
| N Pearson | F Tatis Jr. | 7 | 0 | 123 | 4-3 | Manny Machado advanced on a wild pitch to 2B. Fernando Tatis Jr. scored. Luis Arraez advanced to 3B. | 2.55 | 2.28 | 90.5% | .077 | 0.64 | 1 | 1 |
| N Pearson | G Sheets | 7 | 0 | _23 | 6-3 | Gavin Sheets singled to right (Liner). Luis Arraez scored. Manny Machado scored. | 0.95 | 1.92 | 95.6% | .050 | 0.91 | 1 | 1 |
| N Pearson | X Bogaerts | 7 | 0 | 1__ | 6-3 | Xander Bogaerts walked. Gavin Sheets advanced to 2B. | 0.30 | 0.83 | 96.6% | .010 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 |
| N Pearson | J Iglesias | 7 | 0 | 12_ | 6-3 | Jose Iglesias grounded out to second (Grounder). Gavin Sheets advanced to 3B. Xander Bogaerts advanced to 2B. | 0.34 | 1.43 | 96.7% | .001 | -0.07 | 0 | 1 |
| E Morgan | J Heyward | 7 | 1 | _23 | 6-3 | Jason Heyward flied out to right (Fly). | 0.33 | 1.35 | 95.0% | -.017 | -0.78 | 0 | 1 |
| E Morgan | T Wade | 7 | 2 | _23 | 6-3 | Tyler Wade grounded out to pitcher (Grounder). | 0.42 | 0.57 | 93.8% | -.012 | -0.57 | 0 | 1 |
| J Adam | D Swanson | 8 | 0 | ___ | 6-3 | Dansby Swanson struck out looking. | 0.81 | 0.46 | 95.8% | -.020 | -0.22 | 0 | 0 |
| J Adam | N Hoerner | 8 | 1 | ___ | 6-3 | Nico Hoerner flied out to center (Fliner (Fly)). | 0.49 | 0.24 | 97.0% | -.012 | -0.15 | 0 | 0 |
| J Adam | P Crow-Armstrong | 8 | 2 | ___ | 6-3 | Pete Crow-Armstrong singled to right (Grounder). | 0.23 | 0.10 | 96.0% | .010 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| J Adam | P Crow-Armstrong | 8 | 2 | 1__ | 6-3 | Pete Crow-Armstrong advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 0.56 | 0.21 | 95.6% | .004 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 |
| J Adam | M Amaya | 8 | 2 | _2_ | 6-4 | Miguel Amaya doubled to left (Fliner (Liner)). Pete Crow-Armstrong scored. | 0.70 | 0.31 | 90.5% | .052 | 1.00 | 1 | 0 |
| J Adam | J Berti | 8 | 2 | _2_ | 6-4 | Jon Berti grounded out to shortstop (Grounder). | 1.45 | 0.31 | 94.5% | -.040 | -0.31 | 0 | 0 |
| E Morgan | E Diaz | 8 | 0 | ___ | 6-4 | Elias Diaz walked. | 0.21 | 0.46 | 95.3% | .008 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| E Morgan | F Tatis Jr. | 8 | 0 | 1__ | 8-4 | Fernando Tatis Jr. homered (Fliner (Fly)). Elias Diaz scored. | 0.33 | 0.83 | 99.0% | .037 | 1.63 | 1 | 1 |
| E Morgan | L Arraez | 8 | 0 | ___ | 9-4 | Luis Arraez homered (Fly). | 0.04 | 0.46 | 99.6% | .006 | 1.00 | 1 | 1 |
| E Morgan | M Machado | 8 | 0 | ___ | 9-4 | Manny Machado singled to center (Grounder). | 0.02 | 0.46 | 99.6% | .001 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 |
| E Roberts | G Sheets | 8 | 0 | 1__ | 9-4 | Gavin Sheets walked. Manny Machado advanced to 2B. | 0.02 | 0.83 | 99.7% | .001 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 |
| E Roberts | X Bogaerts | 8 | 0 | 12_ | 9-4 | Xander Bogaerts reached on fielder's choice to shortstop (Grounder). Manny Machado advanced to 3B. Gavin Sheets out at second. | 0.03 | 1.43 | 99.7% | .000 | -0.29 | 0 | 1 |
| E Roberts | J Iglesias | 8 | 1 | 1_3 | 10-4 | Jose Iglesias reached on fielder's choice to catcher (Grounder). Manny Machado scored. Xander Bogaerts out at second. | 0.03 | 1.14 | 99.8% | .001 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 |
| E Roberts | J Heyward | 8 | 2 | 1__ | 10-4 | Jason Heyward grounded out to first (Grounder). | 0.01 | 0.21 | 99.8% | .000 | -0.21 | 0 | 1 |
| W Peralta | I Happ | 9 | 0 | ___ | 10-4 | Ian Happ singled to pitcher (Grounder). | 0.06 | 0.46 | 99.5% | .003 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 |
| W Peralta | K Tucker | 9 | 0 | 1__ | 10-4 | Kyle Tucker reached on fielder's choice to second (Grounder). Ian Happ out at second. | 0.14 | 0.83 | 99.8% | -.003 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| W Peralta | J Turner | 9 | 1 | 1__ | 10-4 | Justin Turner struck out swinging. | 0.05 | 0.49 | 100.0% | -.001 | -0.28 | 0 | 0 |
| W Peralta | K Tucker | 9 | 2 | 1__ | 10-4 | Kyle Tucker advanced on defensive indifference to 3B. | 0.01 | 0.21 | 100.0% | .000 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| W Peralta | M Busch | 9 | 2 | __3 | 10-4 | Michael Busch walked. | 0.01 | 0.34 | 99.9% | .001 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 |
| W Peralta | D Swanson | 9 | 2 | 1_3 | 10-4 | Dansby Swanson grounded out to third (Grounder). | 0.04 | 0.47 | 100.0% | -.001 | -0.47 | 0 | 0 |