Merrill Kelly

Age: 31

Bats/Throws: R/R

6' 2" / 190

Birthdate: 10/14/1988 (31 y, 3 m, 3 d)
Drafted: 2010 June Amateur Draft - Round: 8, Pick: 16, Overall: 251, Team: Tampa Bay Rays
Contract: 2 yr, $5.5M (2019-20), 2021-22 club options AAV: $2.75M

Service Time: 1.000

Reported as the pre-2020 value.
1 year and 0 days days of service time.

MiLB Options: 3

Reported as the pre-2019 season number of waiver options remaining.

RotoWire News: Kelly (13-14) allowed five earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out seven across six innings to earn the win Wednesday against the Cardinals. (9/25/2019)

1/9/2020	RG	The Sleeper and the Bust Episode: 765 – SP Ranking Review by Paul Sporer
1/8/2020	RG	Top 125 SP for 2020 by Paul Sporer
12/18/2019	RG	Projection Busting Research Updated by Jeff Zimmerman
10/23/2019	RG	Why We Missed: Breakout Pitchers by Jeff Zimmerman
9/24/2019	RG	Streaming Starters: September 25th, 2019 by Paul Sporer

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Dashboard Customize

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	G	GS	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	BABIP	LOB%	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	FIP	xFIP	WAR
2010	Rays (A-)	1	1	7	1	21.1	8.02	2.11	0.00	.262	68.2 %	61.4 %	0.0 %	2.11	2.54	3.07
2010	Rays (A)	0	1	5	2	16.1	5.51	4.41	0.55	.275	42.4 %	40.8 %	5.0 %	7.16	5.05	5.29
2011	Rays (A+)	8	7	25	23	129.0	4.88	3.56	0.42	.271	73.8 %	48.5 %	4.3 %	3.28	4.26	4.54
2012	Rays (AA)	8	3	32	9	88.1	6.22	2.85	0.41	.294	67.9 %	41.5 %	3.3 %	3.57	3.44	4.06
2013	Rays (AA)	5	6	13	12	73.2	5.01	3.79	0.37	.231	64.4 %	41.3 %	3.2 %	4.15	3.71	4.42
2013	Rays (AAA)	8	4	15	14	84.2	7.44	3.61	0.43	.281	70.2 %	39.8 %	4.0 %	3.19	3.48	4.13
2014	Rays (AAA)	9	4	28	15	114.0	8.53	2.92	0.79	.298	81.6 %	47.9 %	9.1 %	2.76	3.74	3.57
2019	Diamondbacks	13	14	32	32	183.1	7.76	2.80	1.42	.292	73.1 %	42.0 %	14.8 %	4.42	4.51	4.58	2.0
2020	Depth Charts	6	7	48	13	110.0	8.36	2.80	1.42	.314	71.0 %			4.57	4.44		1.0
2020	Steamer	6	7	48	13	109.0	8.36	2.80	1.42	.302	71.0 %	43.1 %		4.57	4.44	4.52	1.0
Total	- - -	13	14	32	32	183.1	7.76	2.80	1.42	.292	73.1 %	42.0 %	14.8 %	4.42	4.51	4.58	2.0

Standard

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	CG	ShO	HLD	BS	IP	TBF	H	R	ER	HR	BB	IBB	HBP	WP	BK	SO
2010	Rays (A-)	1	1	2.11	7	1	0	0	1	0	21.1	86	16	7	5	0	5	0	1	1	1	19
2010	Rays (A)	0	1	7.16	5	2	0	0	0	0	16.1	72	15	15	13	1	8	0	2	0	1	10
2011	Rays (A+)	8	7	3.28	25	23	0	0	0	0	129.0	543	117	52	47	6	51	1	7	4	3	70
2012	Rays (AA)	8	3	3.57	32	9	0	0	2	0	88.1	369	84	41	35	4	28	0	4	6	1	61
2013	Rays (AA)	5	6	4.15	13	12	0	0	0	0	73.2	299	54	34	34	3	31	1	3	3	0	41
2013	Rays (AAA)	8	4	3.19	15	14	0	0	0	0	84.2	360	74	37	30	4	34	0	3	4	1	70
2014	Rays (AAA)	9	4	2.76	28	15	0	0	1	0	114.0	487	107	39	35	10	37	0	6	8	1	108
2019	Diamondbacks	13	14	4.42	32	32	0	0	0	0	183.1	777	184	95	90	29	57	4	2	4	0	158
2020	Depth Charts	6	7	4.57	48	13			3		110.0		113	60	56	17	34		4			102
2020	Steamer	6	7	4.57	48	13	0	0	3		109.0	470	112	59	55	17	34		4			101
Total	- - -	13	14	4.42	32	32	0	0	0	0	183.1	777	184	95	90	29	57	4	2	4	0	158

Advanced

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	K%	BB%	K-BB%	AVG	WHIP	BABIP	LOB%	ERA-	FIP-	FIP
2010	Rays (A-)	8.02	2.11	3.80	0.00	22.1 %	5.8 %	16.3 %	.200	0.98	.262	68.2 %			2.54
2010	Rays (A)	5.51	4.41	1.25	0.55	13.9 %	11.1 %	2.8 %	.242	1.41	.275	42.4 %			5.05
2011	Rays (A+)	4.88	3.56	1.37	0.42	12.9 %	9.4 %	3.5 %	.241	1.30	.271	73.8 %			4.26
2012	Rays (AA)	6.22	2.85	2.18	0.41	16.5 %	7.6 %	8.9 %	.249	1.27	.294	67.9 %			3.44
2013	Rays (AA)	5.01	3.79	1.32	0.37	13.7 %	10.4 %	3.3 %	.204	1.15	.231	64.4 %			3.71
2013	Rays (AAA)	7.44	3.61	2.06	0.43	19.4 %	9.4 %	10.0 %	.229	1.28	.281	70.2 %			3.48
2014	Rays (AAA)	8.53	2.92	2.92	0.79	22.2 %	7.6 %	14.6 %	.241	1.26	.298	81.6 %			3.74
2019	Diamondbacks	7.76	2.80	2.77	1.42	20.3 %	7.3 %	13.0 %	.256	1.31	.292	73.1 %	100	103	4.51
2019	Average	8.88	3.29	2.69	1.40	23.0 %	8.5 %	14.4 %	.249	1.33	.296	72.3 %			4.49
2020	Depth Charts	8.36	2.80	2.99	1.42				.266	1.33	.314	71.0 %			4.44
2020	Steamer	8.36	2.80	2.99	1.42	21.6 %	7.2 %	14.4 %	.259	1.33	.302	71.0 %			4.44
Total	- - -	7.76	2.80	2.77	1.42	20.3 %	7.3 %	13.0 %	.256	1.31	.292	73.1 %	100	103	4.51

Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB/FB	LD%	GB%	FB%	IFFB%	HR/FB	IFH%	BUH%	Pull%	Cent%	Oppo%	Soft%	Med%	Hard%	SIERA	xFIP-	xFIP
2010	Rays (A-)	2.06	8.8 %	61.4 %	29.8 %	23.5 %	0.0 %			45.9 %	16.4 %	37.7 %						3.07
2010	Rays (A)	1.00	18.4 %	40.8 %	40.8 %	30.0 %	5.0 %			38.5 %	28.9 %	32.7 %						5.29
2011	Rays (A+)	1.40	16.8 %	48.5 %	34.7 %	17.4 %	4.3 %			49.0 %	21.3 %	29.7 %						4.54
2012	Rays (AA)	0.92	13.3 %	41.5 %	45.2 %	20.5 %	3.3 %			42.6 %	25.3 %	32.1 %						4.06
2013	Rays (AA)	0.97	16.1 %	41.3 %	42.7 %	20.4 %	3.2 %			42.7 %	26.2 %	31.1 %						4.42
2013	Rays (AAA)	0.97	19.1 %	39.8 %	41.1 %	22.8 %	4.0 %			42.1 %	30.7 %	27.2 %						4.13
2014	Rays (AAA)	1.42	18.4 %	47.9 %	33.7 %	14.5 %	9.1 %			44.5 %	24.8 %	30.8 %						3.57
2019	Diamondbacks	1.18	22.4 %	42.0 %	35.6 %	6.6 %	14.8 %	6.1 %	37.5 %	45.7 %	31.0 %	23.3 %	12.7 %	44.6 %	42.7 %	4.73	103	4.58
Total	- - -	1.18	22.4 %	42.0 %	35.6 %	6.6 %	14.8 %	6.1 %	37.5 %	45.7 %	31.0 %	23.3 %	12.7 %	44.6 %	42.7 %	4.73	103	4.58

More Batted Ball

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	GB	FB	LD	IFFB	IFH	BU	BUH	RS	Balls	Strikes	Pitches
2010	Rays (A-)	35	17	5	4					37	137	174
2010	Rays (A)	20	20	9	6					39	83	122
2011	Rays (A+)	193	138	67	24					229	634	863
2012	Rays (AA)	112	122	36	25					529	809	1338
2013	Rays (AA)	90	93	35	19					398	683	1081
2013	Rays (AAA)	98	101	47	23					481	891	1372
2014	Rays (AAA)	156	110	60	16					669	1226	1895
2019	Diamondbacks	231	196	123	13	14	8	3	99	1064	1898	2962
Total	- - -	231	196	123	13	14	8	3	99	1064	1898	2962

Win Probability

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	WPA	-WPA	+WPA	RE24	REW	pLI	inLI	gmLI	exLI	Pulls	WPA/LI	Clutch	SD	MD
2019	Diamondbacks	-0.47	-12.73	12.26	-7.81	-0.84	0.89	0.87	0.87	0.93	32	0.05	-0.58	0	0
Total	- - -	-0.47	-12.73	12.26	-7.81	-0.84	0.89	0.87	0.87	0.93	32	0.05	-0.58	0	0

Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FB%	SL%	CT%	CB%	CH%	SF%	KN%	XX%
2019	Diamondbacks	46.7% (91.9)		18.5% (90.0)	21.4% (80.6)	13.4% (86.0)			0.4%
Total	- - -	46.7% (91.9)		18.5% (90.0)	21.4% (80.6)	13.4% (86.0)			0.4%

PITCHf/x Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	FT%	FC%	FS%	FO%	SI%	SL%	CU%	KC%	EP%	CH%	SC%	KN%	UN%
2019	Diamondbacks	39.0 %		16.6 %			10.1 %	0.2 %	21.3 %			12.8 %
Total	- - -	39.0 %		16.6 %			10.1 %	0.2 %	21.3 %			12.8 %

PITCHf/x Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vFT	vFC	vFS	vFO	vSI	vSL	vCU	vKC	vEP	vCH	vSC	vKN
2019	Diamondbacks	91.9		89.8			91.5	88.9	80.6			85.9
Total	- - -	91.9		89.8			91.5	88.9	80.6			85.9

Pitch Info Pitch Type

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	FA%	FC%	FS%	SI%	CH%	SL%	CU%	CS%	KN%	SB%	XX%
2019	Diamondbacks	36.0 %	19.2 %		10.2 %	13.2 %	0.0 %	21.4 %
Total	- - -	36.0 %	19.2 %		10.2 %	13.2 %	0.0 %	21.4 %

Pitch Info Pitch Velocity

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	vFA	vFC	vFS	vSI	vCH	vSL	vCU	vCS	vKN	vSB
2019	Diamondbacks	92.3	90.2		91.7	86.2	90.3	80.8
Total	- - -	92.3	90.2		91.7	86.2	90.3	80.8

Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFB	wSL	wCT	wCB	wCH	wSF	wKN	wFB/C	wSL/C	wCT/C	wCB/C	wCH/C	wSF/C	wKN/C
2019	Diamondbacks	4.1		2.4	0.6	-4.3			0.29		0.44	0.09	-1.08
Total	- - -	4.1		2.4	0.6	-4.3			0.29		0.44	0.09	-1.08

PITCHf/x Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wFT	wFC	wFS	wFO	wSI	wSL	wCU	wKC	wEP	wCH	wSC	wKN
2019	Diamondbacks	4.9		3.5			-1.8	1.4	0.8			-5.1
Total	- - -	4.9		3.5			-1.8	1.4	0.8			-5.1

PITCHf/x Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wFT/C	wFC/C	wFS/C	wFO/C	wSI/C	wSL/C	wCU/C	wKC/C	wEP/C	wCH/C	wSC/C	wKN/C
2019	Diamondbacks	0.42		0.72			-0.62	28.76	0.12			-1.33
Total	- - -	0.42		0.72			-0.62	28.76	0.12			-1.33

Pitch Info Pitch Values

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA	wFC	wFS	wSI	wCH	wSL	wCU	wCS	wKN	wSB
2019	Diamondbacks	5.8	4.0		-1.8	-4.5	0.1	0.9
Total	- - -	5.8	4.0		-1.8	-4.5	0.1	0.9

Pitch Info Pitch Values / 100

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	wFA/C	wFC/C	wFS/C	wSI/C	wCH/C	wSL/C	wCU/C	wCS/C	wKN/C	wSB/C
2019	Diamondbacks	0.54	0.70		-0.58	-1.14	5.49	0.14
Total	- - -	0.54	0.70		-0.58	-1.14	5.49	0.14

Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	F-Strike%	SwStr%
2019	Diamondbacks	30.8 %	69.5 %	46.8 %	67.9 %	86.1 %	79.1 %	41.4 %	58.3 %	9.8 %
2019	Average	31.6 %	68.5 %	47.0 %	62.7 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	41.8 %	60.9 %	11.1 %
Total	- - -	30.8 %	69.5 %	46.8 %	67.9 %	86.1 %	79.1 %	41.4 %	58.3 %	9.8 %

PITCHf/x Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2019	Diamondbacks	29.5 %	65.1 %	46.9 %	66.5 %	85.1 %	79.1 %	48.7 %	25.5
2019	Average	30.6 %	65.2 %	47.0 %	59.4 %	84.9 %	76.2 %	47.4 %	24.4
Total	- - -	29.5 %	65.1 %	46.9 %	66.5 %	85.1 %	79.1 %	48.7 %	25.5

Pitch Info Plate Discipline

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season | Averages

Season	Team	O-Swing%	Z-Swing%	Swing%	O-Contact%	Z-Contact%	Contact%	Zone%	Pace
2019	Diamondbacks	28.5 %	65.4 %	46.9 %	65.6 %	85.1 %	79.1 %	49.8 %	26.2
Total	- - -	28.5 %	65.4 %	46.9 %	65.6 %	85.1 %	79.1 %	49.8 %	26.2

Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	G	GS	Inn	PO	A	E	FE	TE	DP	DPS	DPT	DPF	Scp	SB	CS	PB	WP	FP	TZ
2019	Diamondbacks	P	32	32	183.1	21	14	4	1	3	1	1	0	1		3				.897
Total	- - -	P	32	32	183.1	21	14	4	1	3	1	1	0	1		3				.897

Advanced Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	rSZ	rCERA	rSB	rGDP	rARM	rGFP	rPM	DRS	BIZ	Plays	RZR	OOZ	FSR	FRM	ARM	DPR	RngR	ErrR	UZR	UZR/150
2019	Diamondbacks	P	183.1	-1		1			0	-3	-3						0.6
Total	- - -	P	183.1	-1		1			0	-3	-3						0.6

Inside Edge Fielding

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	Pos	Inn	Impossible (0%)	Remote (1-10%)	Unlikely (10-40%)	Even (40-60%)	Likely (60-90%)	Routine (90-100%)
2019	Diamondbacks	P	183.1	0.0% (1)	0.0% (1)	0.0% (1)	100.0% (3)	100.0% (1)	81.8% (11)
Total	- - -	P	183.1	0.0% (1)	0.0% (1)	0.0% (1)	100.0% (3)	100.0% (1)	81.8% (11)

Value

Projections | Minor Leagues | Regular Season

Season	Team	RA9-WAR	BIP-Wins	LOB-Wins	FDP-Wins	RAR	WAR	Dollars	Salary
2019	Diamondbacks	2.6	0.1	0.5	0.6	20.8	2.0	$16.1
Total	- - -	2.6	0.1	0.5	0.6	20.8	2.0	$16.1

Drafts

2010 June Amateur Draft - Round: 8, Pick: 16, Overall: 251

Team: Tampa Bay Rays
School: Arizona State

2009 June Amateur Draft - Round: 22, Pick: 14, Overall: 665

Team: Cleveland Indians
School: Yavapai Col

2007 June Amateur Draft - Round: 37, Pick: 5, Overall: 1112

Team: Baltimore Orioles
School: Desert Mountain (AZ) HS

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