Cy Young Award Projections

Projection System

About the Cy Young Award Projections:

These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)

Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W

Data Export [Members Only]

American League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	152.1	11	3	32.7%	4.0%	2.42	2.26	5.5	5.6	65.2	103.1	197.1	14	5	32.2%	4.2%	2.51	2.44	6.9	6.9	82.1	127.2
2	Garrett Crochet	152.1	13	5	30.8%	6.5%	2.48	2.54	4.9	5.4	66.0	99.1	200.1	17	7	30.7%	6.6%	2.70	2.68	6.2	6.5	81.9	122.4
3	Hunter Brown	143.0	10	5	29.4%	7.7%	2.45	2.92	4.0	5.3	58.9	84.1	188.0	13	8	28.8%	7.9%	2.78	3.11	4.9	6.1	70.5	99.6
4	Nathan Eovaldi	116.0	10	3	25.6%	4.7%	1.71	2.77	3.3	5.1	57.4	79.7	161.0	14	5	24.8%	5.2%	2.29	3.14	4.1	5.8	69.1	93.4
5	Framber Valdez	152.1	11	6	24.2%	8.0%	3.01	3.00	3.9	4.3	51.3	76.7	197.1	14	9	24.1%	8.0%	3.15	3.15	4.8	5.1	63.3	92.9
6	Max Fried	144.0	12	5	22.8%	6.1%	2.94	3.17	3.3	2.9	50.5	71.8	191.0	16	7	22.7%	6.4%	3.06	3.27	4.3	3.9	64.4	90.5
7	Joe Ryan	139.0	12	5	28.2%	5.0%	2.72	3.23	3.4	4.4	54.8	74.5	183.0	14	8	27.8%	5.1%	2.95	3.43	4.3	5.1	65.5	87.2
8	Jacob deGrom	140.1	10	5	27.3%	5.5%	2.76	3.47	3.0	4.6	52.0	68.1	177.1	13	7	27.2%	5.6%	2.94	3.53	3.9	5.3	62.5	81.5
9	Bryan Woo	146.0	10	6	25.3%	4.5%	3.08	3.68	2.6	3.4	47.5	60.8	190.0	13	9	24.8%	4.6%	3.22	3.75	3.5	4.2	58.7	74.6
10	Drew Rasmussen	117.2	10	5	22.5%	5.5%	2.60	3.33	2.8	4.1	45.0	60.3	154.2	12	8	22.2%	5.6%	2.85	3.45	3.5	4.7	53.7	71.8

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Tarik Skubal	152.1	11	3	32.7%	4.0%	2.42	2.26	5.5	5.6	65.2	103.1	197.1	14	5	32.2%	4.2%	2.51	2.44	6.9	6.9	82.1	127.2
2	Garrett Crochet	152.1	13	5	30.8%	6.5%	2.48	2.54	4.9	5.4	66.0	99.1	200.1	17	7	30.7%	6.6%	2.70	2.68	6.2	6.5	81.9	122.4
3	Hunter Brown	143.0	10	5	29.4%	7.7%	2.45	2.92	4.0	5.3	58.9	84.1	188.0	13	8	28.8%	7.9%	2.78	3.11	4.9	6.1	70.5	99.6
4	Nathan Eovaldi	116.0	10	3	25.6%	4.7%	1.71	2.77	3.3	5.1	57.4	79.7	161.0	14	5	24.8%	5.2%	2.29	3.14	4.1	5.8	69.1	93.4
5	Framber Valdez	152.1	11	6	24.2%	8.0%	3.01	3.00	3.9	4.3	51.3	76.7	197.1	14	9	24.1%	8.0%	3.15	3.15	4.8	5.1	63.3	92.9
6	Max Fried	144.0	12	5	22.8%	6.1%	2.94	3.17	3.3	2.9	50.5	71.8	191.0	16	7	22.7%	6.4%	3.06	3.27	4.3	3.9	64.4	90.5
7	Joe Ryan	139.0	12	5	28.2%	5.0%	2.72	3.23	3.4	4.4	54.8	74.5	183.0	14	8	27.8%	5.1%	2.95	3.43	4.3	5.1	65.5	87.2
8	Jacob deGrom	140.1	10	5	27.3%	5.5%	2.76	3.47	3.0	4.6	52.0	68.1	177.1	13	7	27.2%	5.6%	2.94	3.53	3.9	5.3	62.5	81.5
9	Bryan Woo	146.0	10	6	25.3%	4.5%	3.08	3.68	2.6	3.4	47.5	60.8	190.0	13	9	24.8%	4.6%	3.22	3.75	3.5	4.2	58.7	74.6
10	Drew Rasmussen	117.2	10	5	22.5%	5.5%	2.60	3.33	2.8	4.1	45.0	60.3	154.2	12	8	22.2%	5.6%	2.85	3.45	3.5	4.7	53.7	71.8

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 160 results

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 160 results

National League

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Paul Skenes	148.0	7	9	28.6%	6.2%	2.13	2.51	4.7	6.1	62.6	95.3	193.0	10	12	28.4%	6.3%	2.38	2.66	6.1	7.2	77.2	116.6
2	Cristopher Sánchez	150.2	11	4	25.8%	5.9%	2.45	2.73	4.3	5.7	61.0	90.7	194.2	14	6	25.1%	6.0%	2.68	2.91	5.3	6.6	73.1	107.4
3	Zack Wheeler	149.2	10	5	33.3%	5.6%	2.71	2.98	4.0	5.1	59.3	84.6	197.2	14	7	32.3%	5.9%	2.87	3.12	5.2	6.2	74.9	105.2
4	Logan Webb	153.2	10	9	26.2%	5.5%	3.34	2.62	4.0	3.1	46.6	78.8	201.2	13	12	25.1%	5.5%	3.39	2.81	5.2	4.0	58.9	96.7
5	Matthew Boyd	142.2	11	6	22.6%	5.4%	2.46	3.17	3.5	4.8	55.9	76.9	185.2	14	9	22.7%	5.6%	2.76	3.33	4.4	5.5	66.5	90.6
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	126.2	10	8	28.3%	8.6%	2.84	3.06	3.4	3.7	47.8	68.0	171.2	14	10	27.6%	8.1%	3.04	3.21	4.5	4.5	61.1	85.7
7	Nick Pivetta	141.1	12	4	25.9%	6.5%	2.87	3.26	3.3	4.0	52.1	71.5	185.1	15	7	25.9%	6.5%	3.21	3.54	4.0	4.5	60.8	80.4
8	Freddy Peralta	136.2	14	5	26.1%	8.8%	2.90	3.74	2.6	4.2	53.1	64.7	182.2	16	9	26.0%	8.8%	3.15	3.84	3.4	5.0	63.0	76.4
9	Chris Sale	89.1	5	4	30.8%	7.0%	2.52	2.69	2.6	3.1	36.1	54.1	119.1	8	5	30.6%	6.9%	2.79	2.81	3.4	3.7	45.8	68.2
10	Robbie Ray	148.0	9	6	25.3%	9.3%	2.98	3.73	2.0	3.9	49.2	61.9	194.0	11	9	25.2%	9.3%	3.39	3.91	2.6	4.3	55.1	67.8

#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
		Season Stats											Projected Stats
#	Name	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP	IP	W	L	K%	BB%	ERA	FIP	WAR	RA9- WAR	CYP	FIP CYP
1	Paul Skenes	148.0	7	9	28.6%	6.2%	2.13	2.51	4.7	6.1	62.6	95.3	193.0	10	12	28.4%	6.3%	2.38	2.66	6.1	7.2	77.2	116.6
2	Cristopher Sánchez	150.2	11	4	25.8%	5.9%	2.45	2.73	4.3	5.7	61.0	90.7	194.2	14	6	25.1%	6.0%	2.68	2.91	5.3	6.6	73.1	107.4
3	Zack Wheeler	149.2	10	5	33.3%	5.6%	2.71	2.98	4.0	5.1	59.3	84.6	197.2	14	7	32.3%	5.9%	2.87	3.12	5.2	6.2	74.9	105.2
4	Logan Webb	153.2	10	9	26.2%	5.5%	3.34	2.62	4.0	3.1	46.6	78.8	201.2	13	12	25.1%	5.5%	3.39	2.81	5.2	4.0	58.9	96.7
5	Matthew Boyd	142.2	11	6	22.6%	5.4%	2.46	3.17	3.5	4.8	55.9	76.9	185.2	14	9	22.7%	5.6%	2.76	3.33	4.4	5.5	66.5	90.6
6	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	126.2	10	8	28.3%	8.6%	2.84	3.06	3.4	3.7	47.8	68.0	171.2	14	10	27.6%	8.1%	3.04	3.21	4.5	4.5	61.1	85.7
7	Nick Pivetta	141.1	12	4	25.9%	6.5%	2.87	3.26	3.3	4.0	52.1	71.5	185.1	15	7	25.9%	6.5%	3.21	3.54	4.0	4.5	60.8	80.4
8	Freddy Peralta	136.2	14	5	26.1%	8.8%	2.90	3.74	2.6	4.2	53.1	64.7	182.2	16	9	26.0%	8.8%	3.15	3.84	3.4	5.0	63.0	76.4
9	Chris Sale	89.1	5	4	30.8%	7.0%	2.52	2.69	2.6	3.1	36.1	54.1	119.1	8	5	30.6%	6.9%	2.79	2.81	3.4	3.7	45.8	68.2
10	Robbie Ray	148.0	9	6	25.3%	9.3%	2.98	3.73	2.0	3.9	49.2	61.9	194.0	11	9	25.2%	9.3%	3.39	3.91	2.6	4.3	55.1	67.8

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 157 results

of 16

Page Size:

1 - 10 of 157 results

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX

ATL	CHC	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
NYM	MIL	LAD
PHI	PIT	SDP
WSN	STL	SFG