9/18/2009
| Inn | Batter | Pitcher | Outs | Bases | Score | Play | LI | RE | WE | WPA | RE24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲ 1 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 0.87 | 0.47 | 52.2% | -.022 | -0.22 |
| 2 | ▲ 1 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Kosuke Fukudome doubled to left (Liner). | 0.61 | 0.25 | 48.1% | .041 | 0.40 |
| 3 | ▲ 1 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-0 | Derrek Lee doubled to right (Liner). Kosuke Fukudome scored. | 1.24 | 0.65 | 38.0% | .101 | 1.00 |
| 4 | ▲ 1 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-1 | Aramis Ramirez doubled to center (Liner). Derrek Lee scored. | 1.10 | 0.65 | 28.9% | .091 | 1.00 |
| 5 | ▲ 1 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-2 | Micah Hoffpauir grounded out to first. Aramis Ramirez advanced to 3B. | 0.92 | 0.65 | 31.1% | -.022 | -0.30 |
| 6 | ▲ 1 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 2 | __3 | 0-2 | Geovany Soto flied out to second. | 1.04 | 0.35 | 33.9% | -.028 | -0.35 |
| 7 | ▼ 1 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Julio Lugo flied out to left. | 0.91 | 0.47 | 31.7% | -.023 | -0.22 |
| 8 | ▼ 1 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Colby Rasmus grounded out to first. | 0.63 | 0.25 | 30.1% | -.015 | -0.15 |
| 9 | ▼ 1 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to center. | 0.39 | 0.10 | 29.2% | -.010 | -0.10 |
| 10 | ▲ 2 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Jeff Baker singled to left (Liner). | 0.66 | 0.47 | 26.5% | .027 | 0.37 |
| 11 | ▲ 2 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Bobby Scales flied out to left. | 1.09 | 0.84 | 29.0% | -.025 | -0.34 |
| 12 | ▲ 2 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Ted Lilly sacrificed to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). Jeff Baker advanced to 2B. | 0.88 | 0.50 | 30.2% | -.013 | -0.19 |
| 13 | ▲ 2 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 2 | _2_ | 0-2 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 0.91 | 0.31 | 32.8% | -.025 | -0.31 |
| 14 | ▼ 2 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Matt Holliday struck out swinging. | 0.96 | 0.47 | 30.4% | -.024 | -0.22 |
| 15 | ▼ 2 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Ludwick flied out to right. | 0.66 | 0.25 | 28.7% | -.016 | -0.15 |
| 16 | ▼ 2 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Mark DeRosa flied out to right. | 0.41 | 0.10 | 27.7% | -.010 | -0.10 |
| 17 | ▲ 3 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Kosuke Fukudome walked. | 0.67 | 0.47 | 25.0% | .027 | 0.37 |
| 18 | ▲ 3 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Derrek Lee flied out to second. | 1.10 | 0.84 | 27.5% | -.025 | -0.34 |
| 19 | ▲ 3 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Aramis Ramirez flied out to second. | 0.89 | 0.50 | 29.6% | -.021 | -0.28 |
| 20 | ▲ 3 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Micah Hoffpauir flied out to center. | 0.63 | 0.22 | 31.4% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 21 | ▼ 3 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Yadier Molina flied out to second. | 1.04 | 0.47 | 28.8% | -.026 | -0.22 |
| 22 | ▼ 3 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Brendan Ryan struck out looking. | 0.72 | 0.25 | 27.0% | -.018 | -0.15 |
| 23 | ▼ 3 | J Smoltz | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | John Smoltz struck out swinging. | 0.45 | 0.10 | 25.9% | -.011 | -0.10 |
| 24 | ▲ 4 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Geovany Soto grounded out to third. | 0.67 | 0.47 | 27.6% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 25 | ▲ 4 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Jeff Baker flied out to center. | 0.49 | 0.25 | 28.7% | -.012 | -0.15 |
| 26 | ▲ 4 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Bobby Scales struck out swinging. | 0.32 | 0.10 | 29.6% | -.008 | -0.10 |
| 27 | ▼ 4 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Julio Lugo singled to right (Liner). | 1.12 | 0.47 | 34.4% | .048 | 0.37 |
| 28 | ▼ 4 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Colby Rasmus reached on fielder's choice to first. Julio Lugo out at second. | 1.95 | 0.84 | 30.0% | -.044 | -0.34 |
| 29 | ▼ 4 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to left. | 1.52 | 0.50 | 26.4% | -.036 | -0.28 |
| 30 | ▼ 4 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Matt Holliday reached on fielder's choice to third. Colby Rasmus out at second. | 1.00 | 0.22 | 23.6% | -.028 | -0.22 |
| 31 | ▲ 5 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Ted Lilly flied out to shortstop. | 0.66 | 0.47 | 25.3% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 32 | ▲ 5 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Theriot singled to center (Liner). | 0.48 | 0.25 | 23.5% | .018 | 0.25 |
| 33 | ▲ 5 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Kosuke Fukudome reached on fielder's choice to second. Ryan Theriot out at second. | 0.88 | 0.50 | 25.6% | -.021 | -0.28 |
| 34 | ▲ 5 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Derrek Lee flied out to left. | 0.63 | 0.22 | 27.3% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 35 | ▼ 5 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Ludwick singled to left (Liner). | 1.23 | 0.47 | 32.6% | .053 | 0.37 |
| 36 | ▼ 5 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Mark DeRosa tripled to left (Grounder). Ryan Ludwick scored. | 2.15 | 0.84 | 54.9% | .223 | 1.54 |
| 37 | ▼ 5 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 0 | __3 | 1-2 | Yadier Molina grounded out to shortstop. | 1.69 | 1.39 | 47.9% | -.070 | -0.47 |
| 38 | ▼ 5 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 1 | __3 | 1-2 | Brendan Ryan hit a sacrifice fly to left (Fly). Mark DeRosa scored. | 2.20 | 0.92 | 51.4% | .036 | 0.18 |
| 39 | ▼ 5 | J Smoltz | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | John Smoltz struck out looking. | 0.57 | 0.10 | 50.0% | -.014 | -0.10 |
| 40 | ▲ 6 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Aramis Ramirez walked. | 1.34 | 0.47 | 44.7% | .053 | 0.37 |
| 41 | ▲ 6 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Micah Hoffpauir flied out to center. | 2.18 | 0.84 | 49.7% | -.049 | -0.34 |
| 42 | ▲ 6 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 2-2 | Geovany Soto struck out swinging. | 1.78 | 0.50 | 53.8% | -.042 | -0.28 |
| 43 | ▲ 6 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Jeff Baker singled to right (Fly). Aramis Ramirez advanced to 2B. | 1.26 | 0.22 | 50.9% | .030 | 0.20 |
| 44 | ▲ 6 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 2 | 12_ | 2-2 | Bobby Scales was intentionally walked. Aramis Ramirez advanced to 3B. Jeff Baker advanced to 2B. | 2.56 | 0.42 | 46.7% | .042 | 0.32 |
| 45 | ▲ 6 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 2 | 123 | 2-2 | Ted Lilly grounded out to first. | 4.30 | 0.74 | 57.3% | -.106 | -0.74 |
| 46 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo was hit by a pitch. | 1.31 | 0.47 | 62.4% | .051 | 0.37 |
| 47 | ▼ 6 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Colby Rasmus struck out swinging. | 2.11 | 0.84 | 57.6% | -.048 | -0.34 |
| 48 | ▼ 6 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 1 | 1__ | 2-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to center. | 1.76 | 0.50 | 53.5% | -.041 | -0.28 |
| 49 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 1.26 | 0.22 | 55.3% | .018 | 0.09 |
| 50 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 2 | _2_ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo advanced on a stolen base to 3B. | 1.91 | 0.31 | 56.1% | .008 | 0.04 |
| 51 | ▼ 6 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 2 | __3 | 2-2 | Matt Holliday flied out to center. | 2.25 | 0.35 | 50.0% | -.061 | -0.35 |
| 52 | ▲ 7 | R Theriot | K McClellan | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 1.53 | 0.47 | 53.8% | -.038 | -0.22 |
| 53 | ▲ 7 | K Fukudome | K McClellan | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Kosuke Fukudome struck out looking. | 1.13 | 0.25 | 56.6% | -.028 | -0.15 |
| 54 | ▲ 7 | D Lee | K McClellan | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Derrek Lee struck out swinging. | 0.76 | 0.10 | 58.5% | -.019 | -0.10 |
| 55 | ▼ 7 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Ludwick struck out looking. | 1.50 | 0.47 | 54.8% | -.038 | -0.22 |
| 56 | ▼ 7 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Mark DeRosa flied out to center. | 1.13 | 0.25 | 52.0% | -.028 | -0.15 |
| 57 | ▼ 7 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Yadier Molina singled to center (Grounder). | 0.79 | 0.10 | 54.0% | .020 | 0.12 |
| 58 | ▼ 7 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Brendan Ryan lined out to shortstop. | 1.47 | 0.22 | 50.0% | -.040 | -0.22 |
| 59 | ▲ 8 | A Ramirez | K McClellan | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Aramis Ramirez walked. | 1.83 | 0.47 | 43.1% | .069 | 0.37 |
| 60 | ▲ 8 | A Miles | K McClellan | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Aaron Miles sacrificed to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). Aramis Ramirez advanced to 2B. | 2.86 | 0.84 | 45.4% | -.023 | -0.19 |
| 61 | ▲ 8 | G Soto | K McClellan | 1 | _2_ | 2-2 | Geovany Soto struck out looking. | 2.62 | 0.65 | 52.7% | -.072 | -0.34 |
| 62 | ▲ 8 | J Baker | K McClellan | 2 | _2_ | 2-2 | Jeff Baker grounded out to shortstop. | 2.76 | 0.31 | 60.3% | -.076 | -0.31 |
| 63 | ▼ 8 | S Schumaker | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Skip Schumaker grounded out to shortstop. | 1.79 | 0.47 | 55.8% | -.045 | -0.22 |
| 64 | ▼ 8 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo flied out to center. | 1.36 | 0.25 | 52.5% | -.033 | -0.15 |
| 65 | ▼ 8 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Colby Rasmus singled to center (Fly). | 1.00 | 0.10 | 54.9% | .024 | 0.12 |
| 66 | ▼ 8 | A Pujols | K Gregg | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Albert Pujols reached on fielder's choice to shortstop. Colby Rasmus out at second. | 1.77 | 0.22 | 50.0% | -.049 | -0.22 |
| 67 | ▲ 9 | B Scales | R Franklin | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Bobby Scales struck out swinging. | 2.28 | 0.47 | 55.7% | -.057 | -0.22 |
| 68 | ▲ 9 | J Fox | R Franklin | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Jake Fox struck out swinging. | 1.74 | 0.25 | 59.9% | -.042 | -0.15 |
| 69 | ▲ 9 | R Theriot | R Franklin | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot singled to center (Grounder). | 1.27 | 0.10 | 56.9% | .030 | 0.12 |
| 70 | ▲ 9 | R Theriot | R Franklin | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot picked off. | 2.27 | 0.22 | 63.1% | -.062 | -0.22 |
| 71 | ▼ 9 | M Holliday | A Heilman | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Matt Holliday homered (Fly). | 2.23 | 0.47 | 100.0% | .369 | 1.00 |
| Inn | Batter | Pitcher | Outs | Bases | Score | Play | LI | RE | WE | WPA | RE24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ▲ 1 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-0 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 0.87 | 0.47 | 52.2% | -.022 | -0.22 |
| 2 | ▲ 1 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-0 | Kosuke Fukudome doubled to left (Liner). | 0.61 | 0.25 | 48.1% | .041 | 0.40 |
| 3 | ▲ 1 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-0 | Derrek Lee doubled to right (Liner). Kosuke Fukudome scored. | 1.24 | 0.65 | 38.0% | .101 | 1.00 |
| 4 | ▲ 1 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-1 | Aramis Ramirez doubled to center (Liner). Derrek Lee scored. | 1.10 | 0.65 | 28.9% | .091 | 1.00 |
| 5 | ▲ 1 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 1 | _2_ | 0-2 | Micah Hoffpauir grounded out to first. Aramis Ramirez advanced to 3B. | 0.92 | 0.65 | 31.1% | -.022 | -0.30 |
| 6 | ▲ 1 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 2 | __3 | 0-2 | Geovany Soto flied out to second. | 1.04 | 0.35 | 33.9% | -.028 | -0.35 |
| 7 | ▼ 1 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Julio Lugo flied out to left. | 0.91 | 0.47 | 31.7% | -.023 | -0.22 |
| 8 | ▼ 1 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Colby Rasmus grounded out to first. | 0.63 | 0.25 | 30.1% | -.015 | -0.15 |
| 9 | ▼ 1 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to center. | 0.39 | 0.10 | 29.2% | -.010 | -0.10 |
| 10 | ▲ 2 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Jeff Baker singled to left (Liner). | 0.66 | 0.47 | 26.5% | .027 | 0.37 |
| 11 | ▲ 2 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Bobby Scales flied out to left. | 1.09 | 0.84 | 29.0% | -.025 | -0.34 |
| 12 | ▲ 2 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Ted Lilly sacrificed to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). Jeff Baker advanced to 2B. | 0.88 | 0.50 | 30.2% | -.013 | -0.19 |
| 13 | ▲ 2 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 2 | _2_ | 0-2 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 0.91 | 0.31 | 32.8% | -.025 | -0.31 |
| 14 | ▼ 2 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Matt Holliday struck out swinging. | 0.96 | 0.47 | 30.4% | -.024 | -0.22 |
| 15 | ▼ 2 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Ludwick flied out to right. | 0.66 | 0.25 | 28.7% | -.016 | -0.15 |
| 16 | ▼ 2 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Mark DeRosa flied out to right. | 0.41 | 0.10 | 27.7% | -.010 | -0.10 |
| 17 | ▲ 3 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Kosuke Fukudome walked. | 0.67 | 0.47 | 25.0% | .027 | 0.37 |
| 18 | ▲ 3 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Derrek Lee flied out to second. | 1.10 | 0.84 | 27.5% | -.025 | -0.34 |
| 19 | ▲ 3 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Aramis Ramirez flied out to second. | 0.89 | 0.50 | 29.6% | -.021 | -0.28 |
| 20 | ▲ 3 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Micah Hoffpauir flied out to center. | 0.63 | 0.22 | 31.4% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 21 | ▼ 3 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Yadier Molina flied out to second. | 1.04 | 0.47 | 28.8% | -.026 | -0.22 |
| 22 | ▼ 3 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Brendan Ryan struck out looking. | 0.72 | 0.25 | 27.0% | -.018 | -0.15 |
| 23 | ▼ 3 | J Smoltz | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | John Smoltz struck out swinging. | 0.45 | 0.10 | 25.9% | -.011 | -0.10 |
| 24 | ▲ 4 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Geovany Soto grounded out to third. | 0.67 | 0.47 | 27.6% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 25 | ▲ 4 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Jeff Baker flied out to center. | 0.49 | 0.25 | 28.7% | -.012 | -0.15 |
| 26 | ▲ 4 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 2 | ___ | 0-2 | Bobby Scales struck out swinging. | 0.32 | 0.10 | 29.6% | -.008 | -0.10 |
| 27 | ▼ 4 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Julio Lugo singled to right (Liner). | 1.12 | 0.47 | 34.4% | .048 | 0.37 |
| 28 | ▼ 4 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Colby Rasmus reached on fielder's choice to first. Julio Lugo out at second. | 1.95 | 0.84 | 30.0% | -.044 | -0.34 |
| 29 | ▼ 4 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to left. | 1.52 | 0.50 | 26.4% | -.036 | -0.28 |
| 30 | ▼ 4 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Matt Holliday reached on fielder's choice to third. Colby Rasmus out at second. | 1.00 | 0.22 | 23.6% | -.028 | -0.22 |
| 31 | ▲ 5 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Ted Lilly flied out to shortstop. | 0.66 | 0.47 | 25.3% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 32 | ▲ 5 | R Theriot | J Smoltz | 1 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Theriot singled to center (Liner). | 0.48 | 0.25 | 23.5% | .018 | 0.25 |
| 33 | ▲ 5 | K Fukudome | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 0-2 | Kosuke Fukudome reached on fielder's choice to second. Ryan Theriot out at second. | 0.88 | 0.50 | 25.6% | -.021 | -0.28 |
| 34 | ▲ 5 | D Lee | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 0-2 | Derrek Lee flied out to left. | 0.63 | 0.22 | 27.3% | -.017 | -0.22 |
| 35 | ▼ 5 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 0-2 | Ryan Ludwick singled to left (Liner). | 1.23 | 0.47 | 32.6% | .053 | 0.37 |
| 36 | ▼ 5 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 0-2 | Mark DeRosa tripled to left (Grounder). Ryan Ludwick scored. | 2.15 | 0.84 | 54.9% | .223 | 1.54 |
| 37 | ▼ 5 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 0 | __3 | 1-2 | Yadier Molina grounded out to shortstop. | 1.69 | 1.39 | 47.9% | -.070 | -0.47 |
| 38 | ▼ 5 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 1 | __3 | 1-2 | Brendan Ryan hit a sacrifice fly to left (Fly). Mark DeRosa scored. | 2.20 | 0.92 | 51.4% | .036 | 0.18 |
| 39 | ▼ 5 | J Smoltz | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | John Smoltz struck out looking. | 0.57 | 0.10 | 50.0% | -.014 | -0.10 |
| 40 | ▲ 6 | A Ramirez | J Smoltz | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Aramis Ramirez walked. | 1.34 | 0.47 | 44.7% | .053 | 0.37 |
| 41 | ▲ 6 | M Hoffpauir | J Smoltz | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Micah Hoffpauir flied out to center. | 2.18 | 0.84 | 49.7% | -.049 | -0.34 |
| 42 | ▲ 6 | G Soto | J Smoltz | 1 | 1__ | 2-2 | Geovany Soto struck out swinging. | 1.78 | 0.50 | 53.8% | -.042 | -0.28 |
| 43 | ▲ 6 | J Baker | J Smoltz | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Jeff Baker singled to right (Fly). Aramis Ramirez advanced to 2B. | 1.26 | 0.22 | 50.9% | .030 | 0.20 |
| 44 | ▲ 6 | B Scales | J Smoltz | 2 | 12_ | 2-2 | Bobby Scales was intentionally walked. Aramis Ramirez advanced to 3B. Jeff Baker advanced to 2B. | 2.56 | 0.42 | 46.7% | .042 | 0.32 |
| 45 | ▲ 6 | T Lilly | J Smoltz | 2 | 123 | 2-2 | Ted Lilly grounded out to first. | 4.30 | 0.74 | 57.3% | -.106 | -0.74 |
| 46 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo was hit by a pitch. | 1.31 | 0.47 | 62.4% | .051 | 0.37 |
| 47 | ▼ 6 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Colby Rasmus struck out swinging. | 2.11 | 0.84 | 57.6% | -.048 | -0.34 |
| 48 | ▼ 6 | A Pujols | T Lilly | 1 | 1__ | 2-2 | Albert Pujols flied out to center. | 1.76 | 0.50 | 53.5% | -.041 | -0.28 |
| 49 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo advanced on a stolen base to 2B. | 1.26 | 0.22 | 55.3% | .018 | 0.09 |
| 50 | ▼ 6 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 2 | _2_ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo advanced on a stolen base to 3B. | 1.91 | 0.31 | 56.1% | .008 | 0.04 |
| 51 | ▼ 6 | M Holliday | T Lilly | 2 | __3 | 2-2 | Matt Holliday flied out to center. | 2.25 | 0.35 | 50.0% | -.061 | -0.35 |
| 52 | ▲ 7 | R Theriot | K McClellan | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot struck out swinging. | 1.53 | 0.47 | 53.8% | -.038 | -0.22 |
| 53 | ▲ 7 | K Fukudome | K McClellan | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Kosuke Fukudome struck out looking. | 1.13 | 0.25 | 56.6% | -.028 | -0.15 |
| 54 | ▲ 7 | D Lee | K McClellan | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Derrek Lee struck out swinging. | 0.76 | 0.10 | 58.5% | -.019 | -0.10 |
| 55 | ▼ 7 | R Ludwick | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Ludwick struck out looking. | 1.50 | 0.47 | 54.8% | -.038 | -0.22 |
| 56 | ▼ 7 | M DeRosa | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Mark DeRosa flied out to center. | 1.13 | 0.25 | 52.0% | -.028 | -0.15 |
| 57 | ▼ 7 | Y Molina | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Yadier Molina singled to center (Grounder). | 0.79 | 0.10 | 54.0% | .020 | 0.12 |
| 58 | ▼ 7 | B Ryan | T Lilly | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Brendan Ryan lined out to shortstop. | 1.47 | 0.22 | 50.0% | -.040 | -0.22 |
| 59 | ▲ 8 | A Ramirez | K McClellan | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Aramis Ramirez walked. | 1.83 | 0.47 | 43.1% | .069 | 0.37 |
| 60 | ▲ 8 | A Miles | K McClellan | 0 | 1__ | 2-2 | Aaron Miles sacrificed to pitcher (Bunt Grounder). Aramis Ramirez advanced to 2B. | 2.86 | 0.84 | 45.4% | -.023 | -0.19 |
| 61 | ▲ 8 | G Soto | K McClellan | 1 | _2_ | 2-2 | Geovany Soto struck out looking. | 2.62 | 0.65 | 52.7% | -.072 | -0.34 |
| 62 | ▲ 8 | J Baker | K McClellan | 2 | _2_ | 2-2 | Jeff Baker grounded out to shortstop. | 2.76 | 0.31 | 60.3% | -.076 | -0.31 |
| 63 | ▼ 8 | S Schumaker | T Lilly | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Skip Schumaker grounded out to shortstop. | 1.79 | 0.47 | 55.8% | -.045 | -0.22 |
| 64 | ▼ 8 | J Lugo | T Lilly | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Julio Lugo flied out to center. | 1.36 | 0.25 | 52.5% | -.033 | -0.15 |
| 65 | ▼ 8 | C Rasmus | T Lilly | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Colby Rasmus singled to center (Fly). | 1.00 | 0.10 | 54.9% | .024 | 0.12 |
| 66 | ▼ 8 | A Pujols | K Gregg | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Albert Pujols reached on fielder's choice to shortstop. Colby Rasmus out at second. | 1.77 | 0.22 | 50.0% | -.049 | -0.22 |
| 67 | ▲ 9 | B Scales | R Franklin | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Bobby Scales struck out swinging. | 2.28 | 0.47 | 55.7% | -.057 | -0.22 |
| 68 | ▲ 9 | J Fox | R Franklin | 1 | ___ | 2-2 | Jake Fox struck out swinging. | 1.74 | 0.25 | 59.9% | -.042 | -0.15 |
| 69 | ▲ 9 | R Theriot | R Franklin | 2 | ___ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot singled to center (Grounder). | 1.27 | 0.10 | 56.9% | .030 | 0.12 |
| 70 | ▲ 9 | R Theriot | R Franklin | 2 | 1__ | 2-2 | Ryan Theriot picked off. | 2.27 | 0.22 | 63.1% | -.062 | -0.22 |
| 71 | ▼ 9 | M Holliday | A Heilman | 0 | ___ | 2-2 | Matt Holliday homered (Fly). | 2.23 | 0.47 | 100.0% | .369 | 1.00 |

