MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 98.1 +1.0 | 63.9 -1.0 | .598 -.004 | .492 -.002 | 93.9% +10.9% | 88.8% +11.0% | 5.7% -8.8% | 99.6% +2.1% | 22.3% +1.7% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 96.3 +7.5 | 65.7 -7.5 | .553 +.005 | .498 -.003 | 80.6% +36.4% | 78.6% +41.1% | 17.9% -16.8% | 98.6% +19.7% | 14.2% +6.0% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 97.1 -2.1 | 64.9 +2.1 | .597 -.015 | .488 -.006 | 61.0% -27.2% | 59.1% -25.2% | 38.3% +27.7% | 99.3% +0.4% | 17.4% -7.7% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 85.6 +4.6 | 76.4 -4.6 | .505 +.005 | .496 -.004 | 45.8% +24.5% | 5.5% +2.6% | 18.8% +7.0% | 64.5% +31.5% | 2.0% +1.0% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 85.0 +0.1 | 77.0 -0.1 | .527 +.003 | .496 -.003 | 45.1% +23.0% | 16.4% -0.8% | 15.6% -19.2% | 60.8% +3.8% | 4.0% +0.7% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.8 -5.4 | 77.2 +5.4 | .557 .000 | .495 .000 | 43.5% -16.8% | 16.1% -34.5% | 16.1% -8.4% | 59.6% -25.2% | 5.9% -4.0% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 95.1 +7.9 | 66.9 -7.9 | .528 -.010 | .507 +.008 | 39.0% +30.0% | 37.5% +29.5% | 59.3% +0.9% | 98.2% +31.0% | 7.4% +3.8% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 86.7 +7.9 | 75.3 -7.9 | .475 -.012 | .500 +.004 | 38.5% +22.8% | 26.5% +22.1% | 29.7% +19.5% | 68.1% +42.4% | 2.0% +1.4% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 84.3 +2.5 | 77.7 -2.5 | .516 +.011 | .491 -.007 | 34.4% +9.0% | 3.1% -0.3% | 19.8% +7.7% | 54.2% +16.7% | 2.0% +0.9% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 85.6 +9.5 | 76.4 -9.5 | .478 +.008 | .499 +.002 | 29.2% +21.0% | 19.8% +17.9% | 31.1% +25.0% | 60.2% +46.0% | 1.8% +1.6% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 85.6 +0.1 | 76.4 -0.1 | .523 -.005 | .496 +.003 | 28.5% -29.2% | 20.0% -5.3% | 31.5% +20.9% | 59.9% -8.3% | 4.0% -0.2% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 88.4 +4.3 | 73.6 -4.3 | .508 -.011 | .508 +.006 | 15.3% -1.5% | 14.5% +1.1% | 62.8% +27.3% | 78.2% +25.8% | 4.3% +1.3% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 81.1 -2.0 | 80.9 +2.0 | .514 +.001 | .496 -.001 | 14.2% -19.2% | 1.0% -4.2% | 15.7% +2.8% | 29.9% -16.4% | 1.0% -0.5% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 79.1 -3.4 | 82.9 +3.4 | .501 -.008 | .503 +.003 | 10.2% -2.9% | 2.4% -7.3% | 9.0% -20.8% | 19.2% -23.8% | 1.0% -0.9% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 78.7 -0.9 | 83.3 +0.9 | .493 +.002 | .494 -.001 | 3.9% -14.5% | 2.0% -3.3% | 10.6% -1.0% | 14.5% -15.5% | 0.5% -0.3% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.1 +2.1 | 77.9 -2.1 | .529 +.023 | .495 -.006 | 3.1% -0.3% | 2.5% -0.3% | 48.8% +17.8% | 51.9% +17.5% | 2.3% +1.1% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 75.5 -2.9 | 86.5 +2.9 | .491 +.007 | .496 -.004 | 2.9% -8.8% | 0.0% -1.1% | 3.5% -4.3% | 6.4% -13.1% | 0.1% -0.2% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 76.0 -1.0 | 86.0 +1.0 | .473 -.002 | .507 +.006 | 2.6% -5.5% | 0.1% -0.6% | 4.6% -1.7% | 7.2% -7.1% | 0.1% -0.1% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 82.5 -2.9 | 79.5 +2.9 | .523 -.004 | .508 +.006 | 2.0% -20.9% | 1.8% -17.3% | 34.3% -3.2% | 36.3% -24.1% | 2.2% -1.8% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 82.5 -2.8 | 79.5 +2.8 | .527 +.001 | .498 -.003 | 1.8% -6.4% | 1.3% -5.6% | 37.2% -10.1% | 38.9% -16.6% | 1.8% -0.8% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 81.3 -1.2 | 80.7 +1.2 | .521 +.011 | .503 -.001 | 1.4% -10.4% | 1.2% -8.0% | 26.1% -4.5% | 27.5% -14.9% | 1.4% -0.7% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 82.4 -1.4 | 79.6 +1.4 | .513 -.004 | .503 +.003 | 1.3% -4.2% | 1.0% -3.5% | 37.2% -2.7% | 38.5% -6.9% | 1.4% -0.4% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 72.2 -5.9 | 89.8 +5.9 | .471 -.012 | .501 -.001 | 1.1% -3.2% | 0.1% -2.9% | 0.6% -14.2% | 1.7% -17.5% | 0.0% -0.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 79.0 +0.1 | 83.0 -0.1 | .478 -.010 | .511 +.005 | 0.6% -3.7% | 0.5% -2.5% | 14.7% -3.4% | 15.3% -7.1% | 0.4% -0.3% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 77.4 -3.1 | 84.6 +3.1 | .503 +.006 | .494 -.008 | 0.1% -1.5% | 0.0% -1.2% | 10.4% -14.0% | 10.4% -15.5% | 0.3% -0.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 66.7 -2.4 | 95.3 +2.4 | .420 -.007 | .512 +.005 | 0.1% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -1.0% | 0.1% -1.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 66.6 +4.5 | 95.4 -4.5 | .395 +.012 | .507 -.003 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.1% +0.1% | 0.1% +0.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 60.4 -1.1 | 101.6 +1.1 | .388 +.008 | .510 -.001 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 71.0 -9.1 | 91.0 +9.1 | .482 -.012 | .501 .000 | 0.0% -1.3% | 0.0% -1.0% | 0.8% -22.4% | 0.8% -23.6% | 0.0% -0.5% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 60.7 -4.5 | 101.3 +4.5 | .415 +.013 | .501 -.001 | 0.0% -0.2% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.4% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 98.1 +1.0 | 63.9 -1.0 | .598 -.004 | .492 -.002 | 93.9% +10.9% | 88.8% +11.0% | 5.7% -8.8% | 99.6% +2.1% | 22.3% +1.7% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 96.3 +7.5 | 65.7 -7.5 | .553 +.005 | .498 -.003 | 80.6% +36.4% | 78.6% +41.1% | 17.9% -16.8% | 98.6% +19.7% | 14.2% +6.0% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 97.1 -2.1 | 64.9 +2.1 | .597 -.015 | .488 -.006 | 61.0% -27.2% | 59.1% -25.2% | 38.3% +27.7% | 99.3% +0.4% | 17.4% -7.7% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 85.6 +4.6 | 76.4 -4.6 | .505 +.005 | .496 -.004 | 45.8% +24.5% | 5.5% +2.6% | 18.8% +7.0% | 64.5% +31.5% | 2.0% +1.0% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 85.0 +0.1 | 77.0 -0.1 | .527 +.003 | .496 -.003 | 45.1% +23.0% | 16.4% -0.8% | 15.6% -19.2% | 60.8% +3.8% | 4.0% +0.7% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.8 -5.4 | 77.2 +5.4 | .557 .000 | .495 .000 | 43.5% -16.8% | 16.1% -34.5% | 16.1% -8.4% | 59.6% -25.2% | 5.9% -4.0% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 95.1 +7.9 | 66.9 -7.9 | .528 -.010 | .507 +.008 | 39.0% +30.0% | 37.5% +29.5% | 59.3% +0.9% | 98.2% +31.0% | 7.4% +3.8% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 86.7 +7.9 | 75.3 -7.9 | .475 -.012 | .500 +.004 | 38.5% +22.8% | 26.5% +22.1% | 29.7% +19.5% | 68.1% +42.4% | 2.0% +1.4% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 84.3 +2.5 | 77.7 -2.5 | .516 +.011 | .491 -.007 | 34.4% +9.0% | 3.1% -0.3% | 19.8% +7.7% | 54.2% +16.7% | 2.0% +0.9% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 85.6 +9.5 | 76.4 -9.5 | .478 +.008 | .499 +.002 | 29.2% +21.0% | 19.8% +17.9% | 31.1% +25.0% | 60.2% +46.0% | 1.8% +1.6% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 85.6 +0.1 | 76.4 -0.1 | .523 -.005 | .496 +.003 | 28.5% -29.2% | 20.0% -5.3% | 31.5% +20.9% | 59.9% -8.3% | 4.0% -0.2% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 88.4 +4.3 | 73.6 -4.3 | .508 -.011 | .508 +.006 | 15.3% -1.5% | 14.5% +1.1% | 62.8% +27.3% | 78.2% +25.8% | 4.3% +1.3% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 81.1 -2.0 | 80.9 +2.0 | .514 +.001 | .496 -.001 | 14.2% -19.2% | 1.0% -4.2% | 15.7% +2.8% | 29.9% -16.4% | 1.0% -0.5% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 79.1 -3.4 | 82.9 +3.4 | .501 -.008 | .503 +.003 | 10.2% -2.9% | 2.4% -7.3% | 9.0% -20.8% | 19.2% -23.8% | 1.0% -0.9% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 78.7 -0.9 | 83.3 +0.9 | .493 +.002 | .494 -.001 | 3.9% -14.5% | 2.0% -3.3% | 10.6% -1.0% | 14.5% -15.5% | 0.5% -0.3% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.1 +2.1 | 77.9 -2.1 | .529 +.023 | .495 -.006 | 3.1% -0.3% | 2.5% -0.3% | 48.8% +17.8% | 51.9% +17.5% | 2.3% +1.1% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 75.5 -2.9 | 86.5 +2.9 | .491 +.007 | .496 -.004 | 2.9% -8.8% | 0.0% -1.1% | 3.5% -4.3% | 6.4% -13.1% | 0.1% -0.2% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 76.0 -1.0 | 86.0 +1.0 | .473 -.002 | .507 +.006 | 2.6% -5.5% | 0.1% -0.6% | 4.6% -1.7% | 7.2% -7.1% | 0.1% -0.1% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 82.5 -2.9 | 79.5 +2.9 | .523 -.004 | .508 +.006 | 2.0% -20.9% | 1.8% -17.3% | 34.3% -3.2% | 36.3% -24.1% | 2.2% -1.8% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 82.5 -2.8 | 79.5 +2.8 | .527 +.001 | .498 -.003 | 1.8% -6.4% | 1.3% -5.6% | 37.2% -10.1% | 38.9% -16.6% | 1.8% -0.8% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 81.3 -1.2 | 80.7 +1.2 | .521 +.011 | .503 -.001 | 1.4% -10.4% | 1.2% -8.0% | 26.1% -4.5% | 27.5% -14.9% | 1.4% -0.7% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 82.4 -1.4 | 79.6 +1.4 | .513 -.004 | .503 +.003 | 1.3% -4.2% | 1.0% -3.5% | 37.2% -2.7% | 38.5% -6.9% | 1.4% -0.4% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 72.2 -5.9 | 89.8 +5.9 | .471 -.012 | .501 -.001 | 1.1% -3.2% | 0.1% -2.9% | 0.6% -14.2% | 1.7% -17.5% | 0.0% -0.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 79.0 +0.1 | 83.0 -0.1 | .478 -.010 | .511 +.005 | 0.6% -3.7% | 0.5% -2.5% | 14.7% -3.4% | 15.3% -7.1% | 0.4% -0.3% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 77.4 -3.1 | 84.6 +3.1 | .503 +.006 | .494 -.008 | 0.1% -1.5% | 0.0% -1.2% | 10.4% -14.0% | 10.4% -15.5% | 0.3% -0.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 66.7 -2.4 | 95.3 +2.4 | .420 -.007 | .512 +.005 | 0.1% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -1.0% | 0.1% -1.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 66.6 +4.5 | 95.4 -4.5 | .395 +.012 | .507 -.003 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.1% +0.1% | 0.1% +0.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 60.4 -1.1 | 101.6 +1.1 | .388 +.008 | .510 -.001 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 71.0 -9.1 | 91.0 +9.1 | .482 -.012 | .501 .000 | 0.0% -1.3% | 0.0% -1.0% | 0.8% -22.4% | 0.8% -23.6% | 0.0% -0.5% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 60.7 -4.5 | 101.3 +4.5 | .415 +.013 | .501 -.001 | 0.0% -0.2% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.4% | 0.0% 0.0% |

