MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 96.4 +2.7 | 65.6 -2.7 | .582 +.002 | .492 -.002 | 90.9% +19.3% | 83.1% +20.1% | 8.2% -13.5% | 99.1% +5.8% | 18.7% +3.1% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 95.9 +8.5 | 66.1 -8.5 | .549 +.010 | .501 -.001 | 71.1% +34.7% | 69.6% +39.3% | 27.1% -8.4% | 98.3% +26.3% | 13.2% +6.4% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 95.9 -2.2 | 66.1 +2.2 | .587 -.019 | .489 -.005 | 50.6% -38.2% | 48.9% -35.0% | 48.0% +38.4% | 98.6% +0.2% | 16.4% -9.1% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 96.0 +11.1 | 66.0 -11.1 | .536 +.012 | .505 +.006 | 49.3% +42.4% | 47.8% +41.9% | 49.5% +1.7% | 98.7% +44.1% | 9.4% +6.7% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 85.8 +5.4 | 76.2 -5.4 | .507 +.011 | .494 -.005 | 47.5% +29.4% | 7.8% +4.1% | 19.5% +7.6% | 67.0% +37.0% | 2.5% +1.5% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 84.3 -1.0 | 77.7 +1.0 | .521 -.006 | .497 -.002 | 45.0% +21.4% | 12.5% -6.4% | 12.0% -24.5% | 57.0% -3.1% | 3.5% -0.7% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.1 -6.4 | 77.9 +6.4 | .551 -.008 | .497 .000 | 42.7% -19.1% | 12.4% -40.1% | 13.0% -11.0% | 55.7% -30.1% | 5.6% -5.4% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 87.6 +7.3 | 74.4 -7.3 | .483 -.013 | .501 +.005 | 40.3% +18.9% | 30.8% +23.7% | 32.5% +20.5% | 72.8% +39.4% | 2.9% +1.6% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 84.3 +2.0 | 77.7 -2.0 | .516 +.008 | .491 -.007 | 34.6% +7.8% | 4.4% -1.7% | 20.5% +5.9% | 55.0% +13.7% | 1.9% +0.2% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 86.3 +10.4 | 75.7 -10.4 | .485 +.016 | .500 +.001 | 29.0% +21.5% | 22.0% +20.2% | 35.3% +29.6% | 64.4% +51.1% | 2.2% +1.9% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 86.1 +1.1 | 75.9 -1.1 | .528 +.003 | .497 +.003 | 27.4% -26.4% | 21.0% -2.3% | 35.6% +24.0% | 62.9% -2.4% | 4.6% +0.3% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 90.9 +6.7 | 71.1 -6.7 | .530 +.010 | .508 +.005 | 26.1% +7.4% | 25.3% +10.3% | 62.1% +28.0% | 88.2% +35.3% | 7.4% +4.0% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 80.2 -3.2 | 81.8 +3.2 | .506 -.009 | .496 -.001 | 11.3% -21.9% | 0.8% -7.5% | 13.5% -1.4% | 24.8% -23.4% | 0.9% -1.1% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 78.9 -3.0 | 83.1 +3.0 | .499 -.006 | .503 +.003 | 10.7% 0.0% | 1.9% -6.0% | 7.0% -20.1% | 17.7% -20.2% | 0.7% -1.1% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.1 +1.3 | 77.9 -1.3 | .529 +.018 | .495 -.004 | 4.8% -2.9% | 3.6% -2.3% | 49.1% +15.2% | 53.9% +12.3% | 2.6% +0.8% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 76.7 -0.8 | 85.3 +0.8 | .479 +.001 | .503 +.003 | 3.7% -5.1% | 0.2% -1.3% | 6.1% -1.3% | 9.8% -6.4% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 79.0 -0.2 | 83.0 +0.2 | .495 +.006 | .497 .000 | 3.3% -13.8% | 2.0% -3.3% | 11.4% +0.4% | 14.7% -13.4% | 0.5% -0.3% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 75.6 -3.3 | 86.4 +3.3 | .492 +.005 | .494 -.005 | 2.9% -10.2% | 0.1% -2.2% | 3.9% -6.1% | 6.8% -16.3% | 0.2% -0.4% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 82.0 -2.3 | 80.0 +2.3 | .523 +.002 | .497 -.002 | 2.4% -9.3% | 1.8% -7.4% | 34.6% -4.8% | 37.0% -14.2% | 1.6% -0.9% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 82.0 -1.2 | 80.0 +1.2 | .509 -.004 | .501 +.003 | 1.9% -7.0% | 1.4% -5.3% | 35.2% +0.7% | 37.1% -6.3% | 1.4% -0.6% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 72.3 -5.3 | 89.7 +5.3 | .471 -.008 | .501 -.002 | 1.4% -2.1% | 0.1% -2.2% | 0.7% -12.6% | 2.1% -14.7% | 0.0% -0.4% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 81.4 -3.8 | 80.6 +3.8 | .513 -.013 | .512 +.009 | 1.1% -22.2% | 1.0% -18.1% | 26.2% -10.0% | 27.3% -32.3% | 1.5% -2.7% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 80.0 -3.6 | 82.0 +3.6 | .509 -.007 | .506 +.002 | 0.9% -15.2% | 0.8% -11.7% | 18.0% -14.9% | 18.9% -30.1% | 0.9% -2.1% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 80.2 +1.1 | 81.8 -1.1 | .488 .000 | .511 +.005 | 0.7% -4.7% | 0.6% -3.2% | 18.9% +1.4% | 19.6% -3.3% | 0.7% -0.1% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 68.2 -2.6 | 93.8 +2.6 | .433 -.004 | .511 +.004 | 0.2% -0.2% | 0.0% -0.2% | 0.1% -2.0% | 0.3% -2.2% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 77.5 -3.3 | 84.5 +3.3 | .504 +.005 | .494 -.007 | 0.1% -2.1% | 0.1% -1.7% | 11.3% -16.3% | 11.5% -18.4% | 0.4% -0.5% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 69.0 -11.6 | 93.0 +11.6 | .464 -.034 | .502 +.001 | 0.0% -2.2% | 0.0% -1.7% | 0.4% -26.3% | 0.4% -28.4% | 0.0% -1.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 68.9 +4.3 | 93.1 -4.3 | .415 +.016 | .504 -.004 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.4% +0.2% | 0.4% +0.2% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 61.1 -0.9 | 100.9 +0.9 | .393 +.011 | .508 -.002 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 59.4 -6.9 | 102.6 +6.9 | .404 -.005 | .503 .000 | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 96.4 +2.7 | 65.6 -2.7 | .582 +.002 | .492 -.002 | 90.9% +19.3% | 83.1% +20.1% | 8.2% -13.5% | 99.1% +5.8% | 18.7% +3.1% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 95.9 +8.5 | 66.1 -8.5 | .549 +.010 | .501 -.001 | 71.1% +34.7% | 69.6% +39.3% | 27.1% -8.4% | 98.3% +26.3% | 13.2% +6.4% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 95.9 -2.2 | 66.1 +2.2 | .587 -.019 | .489 -.005 | 50.6% -38.2% | 48.9% -35.0% | 48.0% +38.4% | 98.6% +0.2% | 16.4% -9.1% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 96.0 +11.1 | 66.0 -11.1 | .536 +.012 | .505 +.006 | 49.3% +42.4% | 47.8% +41.9% | 49.5% +1.7% | 98.7% +44.1% | 9.4% +6.7% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 85.8 +5.4 | 76.2 -5.4 | .507 +.011 | .494 -.005 | 47.5% +29.4% | 7.8% +4.1% | 19.5% +7.6% | 67.0% +37.0% | 2.5% +1.5% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 84.3 -1.0 | 77.7 +1.0 | .521 -.006 | .497 -.002 | 45.0% +21.4% | 12.5% -6.4% | 12.0% -24.5% | 57.0% -3.1% | 3.5% -0.7% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.1 -6.4 | 77.9 +6.4 | .551 -.008 | .497 .000 | 42.7% -19.1% | 12.4% -40.1% | 13.0% -11.0% | 55.7% -30.1% | 5.6% -5.4% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 87.6 +7.3 | 74.4 -7.3 | .483 -.013 | .501 +.005 | 40.3% +18.9% | 30.8% +23.7% | 32.5% +20.5% | 72.8% +39.4% | 2.9% +1.6% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 84.3 +2.0 | 77.7 -2.0 | .516 +.008 | .491 -.007 | 34.6% +7.8% | 4.4% -1.7% | 20.5% +5.9% | 55.0% +13.7% | 1.9% +0.2% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 86.3 +10.4 | 75.7 -10.4 | .485 +.016 | .500 +.001 | 29.0% +21.5% | 22.0% +20.2% | 35.3% +29.6% | 64.4% +51.1% | 2.2% +1.9% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 86.1 +1.1 | 75.9 -1.1 | .528 +.003 | .497 +.003 | 27.4% -26.4% | 21.0% -2.3% | 35.6% +24.0% | 62.9% -2.4% | 4.6% +0.3% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 90.9 +6.7 | 71.1 -6.7 | .530 +.010 | .508 +.005 | 26.1% +7.4% | 25.3% +10.3% | 62.1% +28.0% | 88.2% +35.3% | 7.4% +4.0% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 80.2 -3.2 | 81.8 +3.2 | .506 -.009 | .496 -.001 | 11.3% -21.9% | 0.8% -7.5% | 13.5% -1.4% | 24.8% -23.4% | 0.9% -1.1% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 78.9 -3.0 | 83.1 +3.0 | .499 -.006 | .503 +.003 | 10.7% 0.0% | 1.9% -6.0% | 7.0% -20.1% | 17.7% -20.2% | 0.7% -1.1% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.1 +1.3 | 77.9 -1.3 | .529 +.018 | .495 -.004 | 4.8% -2.9% | 3.6% -2.3% | 49.1% +15.2% | 53.9% +12.3% | 2.6% +0.8% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 76.7 -0.8 | 85.3 +0.8 | .479 +.001 | .503 +.003 | 3.7% -5.1% | 0.2% -1.3% | 6.1% -1.3% | 9.8% -6.4% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 79.0 -0.2 | 83.0 +0.2 | .495 +.006 | .497 .000 | 3.3% -13.8% | 2.0% -3.3% | 11.4% +0.4% | 14.7% -13.4% | 0.5% -0.3% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 75.6 -3.3 | 86.4 +3.3 | .492 +.005 | .494 -.005 | 2.9% -10.2% | 0.1% -2.2% | 3.9% -6.1% | 6.8% -16.3% | 0.2% -0.4% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 82.0 -2.3 | 80.0 +2.3 | .523 +.002 | .497 -.002 | 2.4% -9.3% | 1.8% -7.4% | 34.6% -4.8% | 37.0% -14.2% | 1.6% -0.9% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 82.0 -1.2 | 80.0 +1.2 | .509 -.004 | .501 +.003 | 1.9% -7.0% | 1.4% -5.3% | 35.2% +0.7% | 37.1% -6.3% | 1.4% -0.6% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 72.3 -5.3 | 89.7 +5.3 | .471 -.008 | .501 -.002 | 1.4% -2.1% | 0.1% -2.2% | 0.7% -12.6% | 2.1% -14.7% | 0.0% -0.4% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 81.4 -3.8 | 80.6 +3.8 | .513 -.013 | .512 +.009 | 1.1% -22.2% | 1.0% -18.1% | 26.2% -10.0% | 27.3% -32.3% | 1.5% -2.7% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 80.0 -3.6 | 82.0 +3.6 | .509 -.007 | .506 +.002 | 0.9% -15.2% | 0.8% -11.7% | 18.0% -14.9% | 18.9% -30.1% | 0.9% -2.1% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 80.2 +1.1 | 81.8 -1.1 | .488 .000 | .511 +.005 | 0.7% -4.7% | 0.6% -3.2% | 18.9% +1.4% | 19.6% -3.3% | 0.7% -0.1% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 68.2 -2.6 | 93.8 +2.6 | .433 -.004 | .511 +.004 | 0.2% -0.2% | 0.0% -0.2% | 0.1% -2.0% | 0.3% -2.2% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 77.5 -3.3 | 84.5 +3.3 | .504 +.005 | .494 -.007 | 0.1% -2.1% | 0.1% -1.7% | 11.3% -16.3% | 11.5% -18.4% | 0.4% -0.5% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 69.0 -11.6 | 93.0 +11.6 | .464 -.034 | .502 +.001 | 0.0% -2.2% | 0.0% -1.7% | 0.4% -26.3% | 0.4% -28.4% | 0.0% -1.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 68.9 +4.3 | 93.1 -4.3 | .415 +.016 | .504 -.004 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.4% +0.2% | 0.4% +0.2% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 61.1 -0.9 | 100.9 +0.9 | .393 +.011 | .508 -.002 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 59.4 -6.9 | 102.6 +6.9 | .404 -.005 | .503 .000 | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |
