MLB Playoff Odds
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AL
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| YankeesYankees89-64 | 89 | 64 | .582 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .517 | .517 | [93, 95] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox84-70 | 84 | 70 | .545 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .499 | .528 | [87, 89] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox78-76 | 78 | 76 | .506 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .495 | .458 | [81, 83] | |
| AstrosAstros77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .526 | .482 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .508 | .502 | [80, 82] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .520 | .486 | [79, 81] | |
| OriolesOrioles75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .462 | .533 | [78, 80] | |
| TigersTigers73-81 | 73 | 81 | .474 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .501 | .485 | [76, 78] | |
| MarinersMariners72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .601 | .448 | [76, 78] | |
| TwinsTwins72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .527 | .458 | [75, 77] | |
| RoyalsRoyals67-87 | 67 | 87 | .435 | 70.7 | 91.3 | .468 | .495 | [70, 72] | |
| AthleticsAthletics61-93 | 61 | 93 | .396 | 64.4 | 97.6 | .425 | .489 | [63, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels59-95 | 59 | 95 | .383 | 62.5 | 99.5 | .433 | .503 | [62, 63] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| YankeesYankees89-64 | 89 | 64 | .582 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .517 | .517 | [93, 95] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox84-70 | 84 | 70 | .545 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .499 | .528 | [87, 89] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox78-76 | 78 | 76 | .506 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .495 | .458 | [81, 83] | |
| AstrosAstros77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .526 | .482 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .508 | .502 | [80, 82] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .520 | .486 | [79, 81] | |
| OriolesOrioles75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .462 | .533 | [78, 80] | |
| TigersTigers73-81 | 73 | 81 | .474 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .501 | .485 | [76, 78] | |
| MarinersMariners72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .601 | .448 | [76, 78] | |
| TwinsTwins72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .527 | .458 | [75, 77] | |
| RoyalsRoyals67-87 | 67 | 87 | .435 | 70.7 | 91.3 | .468 | .495 | [70, 72] | |
| AthleticsAthletics61-93 | 61 | 93 | .396 | 64.4 | 97.6 | .425 | .489 | [63, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels59-95 | 59 | 95 | .383 | 62.5 | 99.5 | .433 | .503 | [62, 63] | |
NL
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| CubsCubs85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .557 | .491 | [89, 90] | |
| PhilliesPhillies85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .505 | .536 | [88, 90] | |
| PadresPadres85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 88.8 | 73.2 | .477 | .538 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs80-74 | 80 | 74 | .519 | 84.3 | 77.7 | .542 | .486 | [83, 85] | |
| PiratesPirates77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.3 | 80.7 | .544 | .484 | [80, 82] | |
| MarlinsMarlins76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .443 | .533 | [79, 80] | |
| CardinalsCardinals75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .464 | .521 | [78, 80] | |
| RedsReds72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .434 | .527 | [75, 76] | |
| NationalsNationals72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .471 | .500 | [75, 77] | |
| MetsMets70-84 | 70 | 84 | .455 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .521 | .503 | [73, 75] | |
| GiantsGiants64-90 | 64 | 90 | .416 | 66.9 | 95.1 | .363 | .554 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies56-98 | 56 | 98 | .364 | 59.3 | 102.7 | .418 | .506 | [58, 60] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| CubsCubs85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .557 | .491 | [89, 90] | |
| PhilliesPhillies85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .505 | .536 | [88, 90] | |
| PadresPadres85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 88.8 | 73.2 | .477 | .538 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs80-74 | 80 | 74 | .519 | 84.3 | 77.7 | .542 | .486 | [83, 85] | |
| PiratesPirates77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 81.3 | 80.7 | .544 | .484 | [80, 82] | |
| MarlinsMarlins76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .443 | .533 | [79, 80] | |
| CardinalsCardinals75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .464 | .521 | [78, 80] | |
| RedsReds72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .434 | .527 | [75, 76] | |
| NationalsNationals72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .471 | .500 | [75, 77] | |
| MetsMets70-84 | 70 | 84 | .455 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .521 | .503 | [73, 75] | |
| GiantsGiants64-90 | 64 | 90 | .416 | 66.9 | 95.1 | .363 | .554 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies56-98 | 56 | 98 | .364 | 59.3 | 102.7 | .418 | .506 | [58, 60] | |

