MLB Playoff Odds
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AL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays65-45 | 65 | 45 | .591 | 0.0 | 91.1 | 70.9 | .502 | [89, 94] | |
| YankeesYankees62-49 | 62 | 49 | .559 | 3.5 | 89.6 | 72.4 | .542 | [87, 92] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox59-51 | 59 | 51 | .536 | 6.0 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .513 | [83, 88] | |
| OriolesOrioles54-57 | 54 | 57 | .486 | 11.5 | 79.8 | 82.2 | .506 | [77, 82] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays52-59 | 52 | 59 | .468 | 13.5 | 77.7 | 84.3 | .503 | [75, 80] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays65-45 | 65 | 45 | .591 | 0.0 | 91.1 | 70.9 | .502 | [89, 94] | |
| YankeesYankees62-49 | 62 | 49 | .559 | 3.5 | 89.6 | 72.4 | .542 | [87, 92] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox59-51 | 59 | 51 | .536 | 6.0 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .513 | [83, 88] | |
| OriolesOrioles54-57 | 54 | 57 | .486 | 11.5 | 79.8 | 82.2 | .506 | [77, 82] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays52-59 | 52 | 59 | .468 | 13.5 | 77.7 | 84.3 | .503 | [75, 80] | |
AL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox58-52 | 58 | 52 | .527 | 0.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .467 | [80, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 3.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .504 | [79, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 3.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .489 | [78, 83] | |
| TigersTigers53-58 | 53 | 58 | .477 | 5.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .515 | [77, 82] | |
| RoyalsRoyals46-66 | 46 | 66 | .411 | 13.0 | 69.2 | 92.8 | .463 | [67, 72] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox58-52 | 58 | 52 | .527 | 0.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .467 | [80, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 3.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .504 | [79, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 3.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .489 | [78, 83] | |
| TigersTigers53-58 | 53 | 58 | .477 | 5.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .515 | [77, 82] | |
| RoyalsRoyals46-66 | 46 | 66 | .411 | 13.0 | 69.2 | 92.8 | .463 | [67, 72] | |
AL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros57-55 | 57 | 55 | .509 | 0.0 | 81.9 | 80.1 | .499 | [80, 84] | |
| MarinersMariners54-58 | 54 | 58 | .482 | 3.0 | 81.5 | 80.5 | .550 | [79, 84] | |
| RangersRangers55-56 | 55 | 56 | .495 | 1.5 | 81.4 | 80.6 | .518 | [79, 84] | |
| AthleticsAthletics45-66 | 45 | 66 | .405 | 11.5 | 67.9 | 94.1 | .449 | [65, 70] | |
| AngelsAngels42-69 | 42 | 69 | .378 | 14.5 | 64.8 | 97.2 | .447 | [62, 67] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros57-55 | 57 | 55 | .509 | 0.0 | 81.9 | 80.1 | .499 | [80, 84] | |
| MarinersMariners54-58 | 54 | 58 | .482 | 3.0 | 81.5 | 80.5 | .550 | [79, 84] | |
| RangersRangers55-56 | 55 | 56 | .495 | 1.5 | 81.4 | 80.6 | .518 | [79, 84] | |
| AthleticsAthletics45-66 | 45 | 66 | .405 | 11.5 | 67.9 | 94.1 | .449 | [65, 70] | |
| AngelsAngels42-69 | 42 | 69 | .378 | 14.5 | 64.8 | 97.2 | .447 | [62, 67] | |
NL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves66-45 | 66 | 45 | .595 | 0.0 | 92.8 | 69.2 | .525 | [90, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies58-53 | 58 | 53 | .523 | 8.0 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .543 | [83, 88] | |
| MarlinsMarlins57-55 | 57 | 55 | .509 | 9.5 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .481 | [79, 83] | |
| NationalsNationals55-57 | 55 | 57 | .491 | 11.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .457 | [75, 80] | |
| MetsMets47-65 | 47 | 65 | .420 | 19.5 | 73.2 | 88.8 | .524 | [71, 76] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves66-45 | 66 | 45 | .595 | 0.0 | 92.8 | 69.2 | .525 | [90, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies58-53 | 58 | 53 | .523 | 8.0 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .543 | [83, 88] | |
| MarlinsMarlins57-55 | 57 | 55 | .509 | 9.5 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .481 | [79, 83] | |
| NationalsNationals55-57 | 55 | 57 | .491 | 11.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .457 | [75, 80] | |
| MetsMets47-65 | 47 | 65 | .420 | 19.5 | 73.2 | 88.8 | .524 | [71, 76] | |
NL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers69-41 | 69 | 41 | .627 | 0.0 | 95.6 | 66.4 | .511 | [93, 98] | |
| CubsCubs63-48 | 63 | 48 | .568 | 6.5 | 89.3 | 72.7 | .516 | [87, 92] | |
| PiratesPirates56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 14.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .527 | [80, 85] | |
| CardinalsCardinals54-57 | 54 | 57 | .486 | 15.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .479 | [76, 81] | |
| RedsReds52-58 | 52 | 58 | .473 | 17.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .470 | [74, 79] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers69-41 | 69 | 41 | .627 | 0.0 | 95.6 | 66.4 | .511 | [93, 98] | |
| CubsCubs63-48 | 63 | 48 | .568 | 6.5 | 89.3 | 72.7 | .516 | [87, 92] | |
| PiratesPirates56-56 | 56 | 56 | .500 | 14.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .527 | [80, 85] | |
| CardinalsCardinals54-57 | 54 | 57 | .486 | 15.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .479 | [76, 81] | |
| RedsReds52-58 | 52 | 58 | .473 | 17.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .470 | [74, 79] | |
NL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers69-42 | 69 | 42 | .622 | 0.0 | 100.3 | 61.7 | .613 | [98, 103] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs59-52 | 59 | 52 | .532 | 10.0 | 84.3 | 77.7 | .496 | [82, 87] | |
| PadresPadres57-54 | 57 | 54 | .514 | 12.0 | 81.7 | 80.3 | .485 | [79, 84] | |
| GiantsGiants47-64 | 47 | 64 | .423 | 22.0 | 72.2 | 89.8 | .495 | [70, 75] | |
| RockiesRockies44-67 | 44 | 67 | .396 | 25.0 | 64.9 | 97.1 | .411 | [62, 67] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers69-42 | 69 | 42 | .622 | 0.0 | 100.3 | 61.7 | .613 | [98, 103] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs59-52 | 59 | 52 | .532 | 10.0 | 84.3 | 77.7 | .496 | [82, 87] | |
| PadresPadres57-54 | 57 | 54 | .514 | 12.0 | 81.7 | 80.3 | .485 | [79, 84] | |
| GiantsGiants47-64 | 47 | 64 | .423 | 22.0 | 72.2 | 89.8 | .495 | [70, 75] | |
| RockiesRockies44-67 | 44 | 67 | .396 | 25.0 | 64.9 | 97.1 | .411 | [62, 67] | |

