MLB Playoff Odds
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AL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays75-50 | 75 | 50 | .600 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 68.0 | .514 | [92, 96] | |
| YankeesYankees70-55 | 70 | 55 | .560 | 5.0 | 90.1 | 71.9 | .544 | [88, 92] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox68-58 | 68 | 58 | .540 | 7.5 | 87.3 | 74.7 | .536 | [85, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays62-65 | 62 | 65 | .488 | 14.0 | 79.6 | 82.4 | .503 | [78, 82] | |
| OriolesOrioles61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 14.5 | 78.8 | 83.2 | .495 | [77, 81] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays75-50 | 75 | 50 | .600 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 68.0 | .514 | [92, 96] | |
| YankeesYankees70-55 | 70 | 55 | .560 | 5.0 | 90.1 | 71.9 | .544 | [88, 92] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox68-58 | 68 | 58 | .540 | 7.5 | 87.3 | 74.7 | .536 | [85, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays62-65 | 62 | 65 | .488 | 14.0 | 79.6 | 82.4 | .503 | [78, 82] | |
| OriolesOrioles61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 14.5 | 78.8 | 83.2 | .495 | [77, 81] | |
AL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox65-60 | 65 | 60 | .520 | 0.0 | 82.2 | 79.8 | .466 | [80, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins62-65 | 62 | 65 | .488 | 4.0 | 79.9 | 82.1 | .512 | [78, 82] | |
| GuardiansGuardians61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 4.5 | 80.1 | 81.9 | .529 | [78, 82] | |
| TigersTigers61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 4.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .505 | [77, 81] | |
| RoyalsRoyals53-74 | 53 | 74 | .417 | 13.0 | 69.3 | 92.7 | .467 | [67, 71] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox65-60 | 65 | 60 | .520 | 0.0 | 82.2 | 79.8 | .466 | [80, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins62-65 | 62 | 65 | .488 | 4.0 | 79.9 | 82.1 | .512 | [78, 82] | |
| GuardiansGuardians61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 4.5 | 80.1 | 81.9 | .529 | [78, 82] | |
| TigersTigers61-65 | 61 | 65 | .484 | 4.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .505 | [77, 81] | |
| RoyalsRoyals53-74 | 53 | 74 | .417 | 13.0 | 69.3 | 92.7 | .467 | [67, 71] | |
AL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros63-63 | 63 | 63 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 80.5 | .513 | [79, 84] | |
| RangersRangers62-64 | 62 | 64 | .492 | 1.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .511 | [78, 82] | |
| MarinersMariners59-67 | 59 | 67 | .468 | 4.0 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .570 | [78, 82] | |
| AngelsAngels50-76 | 50 | 76 | .397 | 13.0 | 65.2 | 96.8 | .422 | [63, 67] | |
| AthleticsAthletics49-77 | 49 | 77 | .389 | 14.0 | 64.1 | 97.9 | .419 | [62, 66] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros63-63 | 63 | 63 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.5 | 80.5 | .513 | [79, 84] | |
| RangersRangers62-64 | 62 | 64 | .492 | 1.0 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .511 | [78, 82] | |
| MarinersMariners59-67 | 59 | 67 | .468 | 4.0 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .570 | [78, 82] | |
| AngelsAngels50-76 | 50 | 76 | .397 | 13.0 | 65.2 | 96.8 | .422 | [63, 67] | |
| AthleticsAthletics49-77 | 49 | 77 | .389 | 14.0 | 64.1 | 97.9 | .419 | [62, 66] | |
NL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves74-52 | 74 | 52 | .587 | 0.0 | 92.8 | 69.2 | .522 | [91, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies69-58 | 69 | 58 | .543 | 5.5 | 88.3 | 73.7 | .552 | [86, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins64-63 | 64 | 63 | .504 | 10.5 | 80.5 | 81.5 | .472 | [79, 83] | |
| NationalsNationals60-67 | 60 | 67 | .472 | 14.5 | 76.1 | 85.9 | .459 | [74, 78] | |
| MetsMets57-70 | 57 | 70 | .449 | 17.5 | 74.8 | 87.2 | .508 | [73, 77] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves74-52 | 74 | 52 | .587 | 0.0 | 92.8 | 69.2 | .522 | [91, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies69-58 | 69 | 58 | .543 | 5.5 | 88.3 | 73.7 | .552 | [86, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins64-63 | 64 | 63 | .504 | 10.5 | 80.5 | 81.5 | .472 | [79, 83] | |
| NationalsNationals60-67 | 60 | 67 | .472 | 14.5 | 76.1 | 85.9 | .459 | [74, 78] | |
| MetsMets57-70 | 57 | 70 | .449 | 17.5 | 74.8 | 87.2 | .508 | [73, 77] | |
NL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers78-48 | 78 | 48 | .619 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 65.0 | .529 | [95, 99] | |
| CubsCubs74-53 | 74 | 53 | .583 | 4.5 | 92.3 | 69.7 | .523 | [90, 94] | |
| CardinalsCardinals65-62 | 65 | 62 | .512 | 13.5 | 81.8 | 80.2 | .481 | [80, 84] | |
| PiratesPirates62-66 | 62 | 66 | .484 | 17.0 | 80.1 | 81.9 | .533 | [78, 82] | |
| RedsReds60-66 | 60 | 66 | .476 | 18.0 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .432 | [74, 78] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers78-48 | 78 | 48 | .619 | 0.0 | 97.0 | 65.0 | .529 | [95, 99] | |
| CubsCubs74-53 | 74 | 53 | .583 | 4.5 | 92.3 | 69.7 | .523 | [90, 94] | |
| CardinalsCardinals65-62 | 65 | 62 | .512 | 13.5 | 81.8 | 80.2 | .481 | [80, 84] | |
| PiratesPirates62-66 | 62 | 66 | .484 | 17.0 | 80.1 | 81.9 | .533 | [78, 82] | |
| RedsReds60-66 | 60 | 66 | .476 | 18.0 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .432 | [74, 78] | |
NL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers76-51 | 76 | 51 | .598 | 0.0 | 97.5 | 64.5 | .616 | [96, 99] | |
| PadresPadres68-59 | 68 | 59 | .535 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | .513 | [84, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs66-61 | 66 | 61 | .520 | 10.0 | 83.6 | 78.4 | .504 | [82, 86] | |
| GiantsGiants51-74 | 51 | 74 | .408 | 24.0 | 67.7 | 94.3 | .451 | [66, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies50-76 | 50 | 76 | .397 | 25.5 | 64.6 | 97.4 | .405 | [63, 67] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers76-51 | 76 | 51 | .598 | 0.0 | 97.5 | 64.5 | .616 | [96, 99] | |
| PadresPadres68-59 | 68 | 59 | .535 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | .513 | [84, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs66-61 | 66 | 61 | .520 | 10.0 | 83.6 | 78.4 | .504 | [82, 86] | |
| GiantsGiants51-74 | 51 | 74 | .408 | 24.0 | 67.7 | 94.3 | .451 | [66, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies50-76 | 50 | 76 | .397 | 25.5 | 64.6 | 97.4 | .405 | [63, 67] | |

