MLB Playoff Odds
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AL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays98-64 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 64.0 | .000 | [98, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees93-68 | 93 | 68 | .578 | 4.5 | 93.0 | 68.0 | .000 | [93, 93] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox87-75 | 87 | 75 | .537 | 11.0 | 87.0 | 75.0 | .000 | [87, 87] | |
| OriolesOrioles79-82 | 79 | 82 | .491 | 18.5 | 79.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [79, 79] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays79-83 | 79 | 83 | .488 | 19.0 | 79.0 | 83.0 | .000 | [79, 79] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays98-64 | 98 | 64 | .605 | 0.0 | 98.0 | 64.0 | .000 | [98, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees93-68 | 93 | 68 | .578 | 4.5 | 93.0 | 68.0 | .000 | [93, 93] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox87-75 | 87 | 75 | .537 | 11.0 | 87.0 | 75.0 | .000 | [87, 87] | |
| OriolesOrioles79-82 | 79 | 82 | .491 | 18.5 | 79.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [79, 79] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays79-83 | 79 | 83 | .488 | 19.0 | 79.0 | 83.0 | .000 | [79, 79] | |
AL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| GuardiansGuardians85-77 | 85 | 77 | .525 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 77.0 | .000 | [85, 85] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox84-78 | 84 | 78 | .519 | 1.0 | 84.0 | 78.0 | .000 | [84, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 8.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| TigersTigers76-86 | 76 | 86 | .469 | 9.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .000 | [76, 76] | |
| RoyalsRoyals69-93 | 69 | 93 | .426 | 16.0 | 69.0 | 93.0 | .000 | [69, 69] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| GuardiansGuardians85-77 | 85 | 77 | .525 | 0.0 | 85.0 | 77.0 | .000 | [85, 85] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox84-78 | 84 | 78 | .519 | 1.0 | 84.0 | 78.0 | .000 | [84, 84] | |
| TwinsTwins77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 8.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| TigersTigers76-86 | 76 | 86 | .469 | 9.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .000 | [76, 76] | |
| RoyalsRoyals69-93 | 69 | 93 | .426 | 16.0 | 69.0 | 93.0 | .000 | [69, 69] | |
AL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros81-81 | 81 | 81 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .000 | [81, 81] | |
| RangersRangers80-82 | 80 | 82 | .494 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [80, 80] | |
| MarinersMariners76-86 | 76 | 86 | .469 | 5.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .000 | [76, 76] | |
| AthleticsAthletics64-98 | 64 | 98 | .395 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | .000 | [64, 64] | |
| AngelsAngels62-100 | 62 | 100 | .383 | 19.0 | 62.0 | 100.0 | .000 | [62, 62] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros81-81 | 81 | 81 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .000 | [81, 81] | |
| RangersRangers80-82 | 80 | 82 | .494 | 1.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [80, 80] | |
| MarinersMariners76-86 | 76 | 86 | .469 | 5.0 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .000 | [76, 76] | |
| AthleticsAthletics64-98 | 64 | 98 | .395 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 98.0 | .000 | [64, 64] | |
| AngelsAngels62-100 | 62 | 100 | .383 | 19.0 | 62.0 | 100.0 | .000 | [62, 62] | |
NL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves94-68 | 94 | 68 | .580 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 68.0 | .000 | [94, 94] | |
| PhilliesPhillies88-74 | 88 | 74 | .543 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .000 | [88, 88] | |
| MarlinsMarlins80-82 | 80 | 82 | .494 | 14.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [80, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 17.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| MetsMets74-88 | 74 | 88 | .457 | 20.0 | 74.0 | 88.0 | .000 | [74, 74] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves94-68 | 94 | 68 | .580 | 0.0 | 94.0 | 68.0 | .000 | [94, 94] | |
| PhilliesPhillies88-74 | 88 | 74 | .543 | 6.0 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .000 | [88, 88] | |
| MarlinsMarlins80-82 | 80 | 82 | .494 | 14.0 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .000 | [80, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 17.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| MetsMets74-88 | 74 | 88 | .457 | 20.0 | 74.0 | 88.0 | .000 | [74, 74] | |
NL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers103-59 | 103 | 59 | .636 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 59.0 | .000 | [103, 103] | |
| CubsCubs89-73 | 89 | 73 | .549 | 14.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .000 | [89, 89] | |
| PiratesPirates82-80 | 82 | 80 | .506 | 21.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .000 | [82, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 26.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| RedsReds75-87 | 75 | 87 | .463 | 28.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 | .000 | [75, 75] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers103-59 | 103 | 59 | .636 | 0.0 | 103.0 | 59.0 | .000 | [103, 103] | |
| CubsCubs89-73 | 89 | 73 | .549 | 14.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .000 | [89, 89] | |
| PiratesPirates82-80 | 82 | 80 | .506 | 21.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .000 | [82, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals77-85 | 77 | 85 | .475 | 26.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .000 | [77, 77] | |
| RedsReds75-87 | 75 | 87 | .463 | 28.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 | .000 | [75, 75] | |
NL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers100-62 | 100 | 62 | .617 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 62.0 | .000 | [100, 100] | |
| PadresPadres91-71 | 91 | 71 | .562 | 9.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | .000 | [91, 91] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs86-76 | 86 | 76 | .531 | 14.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | .000 | [86, 86] | |
| GiantsGiants65-97 | 65 | 97 | .401 | 35.0 | 65.0 | 97.0 | .000 | [65, 65] | |
| RockiesRockies58-104 | 58 | 104 | .358 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | .000 | [58, 58] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers100-62 | 100 | 62 | .617 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 62.0 | .000 | [100, 100] | |
| PadresPadres91-71 | 91 | 71 | .562 | 9.0 | 91.0 | 71.0 | .000 | [91, 91] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs86-76 | 86 | 76 | .531 | 14.0 | 86.0 | 76.0 | .000 | [86, 86] | |
| GiantsGiants65-97 | 65 | 97 | .401 | 35.0 | 65.0 | 97.0 | .000 | [65, 65] | |
| RockiesRockies58-104 | 58 | 104 | .358 | 42.0 | 58.0 | 104.0 | .000 | [58, 58] | |

