MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays96-63 | 96 | 63 | .604 | 97.5 | 64.5 | .492 | .537 | [97, 98] | |
| BravesBraves93-66 | 93 | 66 | .585 | 94.7 | 67.3 | .566 | .458 | [94, 95] | |
| DodgersDodgers97-62 | 97 | 62 | .610 | 99.2 | 62.8 | .740 | .373 | [99, 100] | |
| BrewersBrewers100-59 | 100 | 59 | .629 | 101.7 | 60.3 | .579 | .466 | [101, 102] | |
| AstrosAstros79-80 | 79 | 80 | .497 | 80.7 | 81.3 | .580 | .422 | [80, 81] | |
| GuardiansGuardians83-76 | 83 | 76 | .522 | 84.6 | 77.4 | .539 | .486 | [84, 85] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox82-77 | 82 | 77 | .516 | 83.7 | 78.3 | .580 | .406 | [83, 84] | |
| RangersRangers79-80 | 79 | 80 | .497 | 80.6 | 81.4 | .532 | .487 | [80, 81] | |
| YankeesYankees92-67 | 92 | 67 | .579 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .562 | .495 | [93, 94] | |
| MarinersMariners74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.9 | 86.1 | .623 | .434 | [75, 76] | |
| PhilliesPhillies87-72 | 87 | 72 | .547 | 88.5 | 73.5 | .508 | .528 | [88, 89] | |
| TwinsTwins75-84 | 75 | 84 | .472 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .468 | .520 | [76, 77] | |
| PadresPadres89-70 | 89 | 70 | .560 | 90.5 | 71.5 | .500 | .528 | [90, 91] | |
| TigersTigers74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .488 | .508 | [75, 76] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox85-74 | 85 | 74 | .535 | 86.5 | 75.5 | .505 | .549 | [86, 87] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs85-74 | 85 | 74 | .535 | 86.5 | 75.5 | .500 | .527 | [86, 87] | |
| CubsCubs88-71 | 88 | 71 | .553 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .495 | .555 | [89, 90] | |
| RoyalsRoyals68-91 | 68 | 91 | .428 | 69.4 | 92.6 | .461 | .525 | [69, 70] | |
| MarlinsMarlins78-81 | 78 | 81 | .491 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .434 | .525 | [79, 80] | |
| AthleticsAthletics63-96 | 63 | 96 | .396 | 64.3 | 97.7 | .420 | .506 | [64, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels61-98 | 61 | 98 | .384 | 62.1 | 99.9 | .377 | .554 | [62, 63] | |
| OriolesOrioles78-81 | 78 | 81 | .491 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .438 | .553 | [79, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals75-84 | 75 | 84 | .472 | 76.3 | 85.7 | .435 | .509 | [76, 77] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays77-82 | 77 | 82 | .484 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .560 | .443 | [78, 79] | |
| PiratesPirates81-78 | 81 | 78 | .509 | 82.5 | 79.5 | .512 | .497 | [82, 83] | |
| MetsMets73-86 | 73 | 86 | .459 | 74.7 | 87.3 | .565 | .445 | [74, 75] | |
| CardinalsCardinals77-82 | 77 | 82 | .484 | 78.3 | 83.7 | .421 | .544 | [78, 79] | |
| RedsReds74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.3 | 86.7 | .440 | .505 | [75, 76] | |
| GiantsGiants65-94 | 65 | 94 | .409 | 65.8 | 96.2 | .260 | .627 | [65, 66] | |
| RockiesRockies57-102 | 57 | 102 | .358 | 58.3 | 103.7 | .420 | .487 | [58, 59] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays96-63 | 96 | 63 | .604 | 97.5 | 64.5 | .492 | .537 | [97, 98] | |
| BravesBraves93-66 | 93 | 66 | .585 | 94.7 | 67.3 | .566 | .458 | [94, 95] | |
| DodgersDodgers97-62 | 97 | 62 | .610 | 99.2 | 62.8 | .740 | .373 | [99, 100] | |
| BrewersBrewers100-59 | 100 | 59 | .629 | 101.7 | 60.3 | .579 | .466 | [101, 102] | |
| AstrosAstros79-80 | 79 | 80 | .497 | 80.7 | 81.3 | .580 | .422 | [80, 81] | |
| GuardiansGuardians83-76 | 83 | 76 | .522 | 84.6 | 77.4 | .539 | .486 | [84, 85] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox82-77 | 82 | 77 | .516 | 83.7 | 78.3 | .580 | .406 | [83, 84] | |
| RangersRangers79-80 | 79 | 80 | .497 | 80.6 | 81.4 | .532 | .487 | [80, 81] | |
| YankeesYankees92-67 | 92 | 67 | .579 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .562 | .495 | [93, 94] | |
| MarinersMariners74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.9 | 86.1 | .623 | .434 | [75, 76] | |
| PhilliesPhillies87-72 | 87 | 72 | .547 | 88.5 | 73.5 | .508 | .528 | [88, 89] | |
| TwinsTwins75-84 | 75 | 84 | .472 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .468 | .520 | [76, 77] | |
| PadresPadres89-70 | 89 | 70 | .560 | 90.5 | 71.5 | .500 | .528 | [90, 91] | |
| TigersTigers74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .488 | .508 | [75, 76] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox85-74 | 85 | 74 | .535 | 86.5 | 75.5 | .505 | .549 | [86, 87] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs85-74 | 85 | 74 | .535 | 86.5 | 75.5 | .500 | .527 | [86, 87] | |
| CubsCubs88-71 | 88 | 71 | .553 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .495 | .555 | [89, 90] | |
| RoyalsRoyals68-91 | 68 | 91 | .428 | 69.4 | 92.6 | .461 | .525 | [69, 70] | |
| MarlinsMarlins78-81 | 78 | 81 | .491 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .434 | .525 | [79, 80] | |
| AthleticsAthletics63-96 | 63 | 96 | .396 | 64.3 | 97.7 | .420 | .506 | [64, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels61-98 | 61 | 98 | .384 | 62.1 | 99.9 | .377 | .554 | [62, 63] | |
| OriolesOrioles78-81 | 78 | 81 | .491 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .438 | .553 | [79, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals75-84 | 75 | 84 | .472 | 76.3 | 85.7 | .435 | .509 | [76, 77] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays77-82 | 77 | 82 | .484 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .560 | .443 | [78, 79] | |
| PiratesPirates81-78 | 81 | 78 | .509 | 82.5 | 79.5 | .512 | .497 | [82, 83] | |
| MetsMets73-86 | 73 | 86 | .459 | 74.7 | 87.3 | .565 | .445 | [74, 75] | |
| CardinalsCardinals77-82 | 77 | 82 | .484 | 78.3 | 83.7 | .421 | .544 | [78, 79] | |
| RedsReds74-85 | 74 | 85 | .465 | 75.3 | 86.7 | .440 | .505 | [75, 76] | |
| GiantsGiants65-94 | 65 | 94 | .409 | 65.8 | 96.2 | .260 | .627 | [65, 66] | |
| RockiesRockies57-102 | 57 | 102 | .358 | 58.3 | 103.7 | .420 | .487 | [58, 59] | |

