MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers89-57 | 89 | 57 | .610 | 99.0 | 63.0 | .626 | .467 | [98, 100] | |
| BrewersBrewers91-56 | 91 | 56 | .619 | 98.8 | 63.2 | .522 | .510 | [98, 100] | |
| BravesBraves86-61 | 86 | 61 | .585 | 93.8 | 68.2 | .523 | .505 | [93, 95] | |
| AstrosAstros75-72 | 75 | 72 | .510 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .519 | .490 | [81, 84] | |
| RaysRays87-59 | 87 | 59 | .596 | 95.0 | 67.0 | .498 | .516 | [94, 96] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox75-70 | 75 | 70 | .517 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .491 | .478 | [82, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians74-73 | 74 | 73 | .503 | 81.9 | 80.1 | .525 | .475 | [81, 83] | |
| YankeesYankees83-62 | 83 | 62 | .572 | 92.3 | 69.7 | .547 | .504 | [91, 94] | |
| RangersRangers72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 79.8 | 82.2 | .487 | .510 | [78, 81] | |
| PhilliesPhillies82-65 | 82 | 65 | .558 | 90.2 | 71.8 | .548 | .516 | [89, 92] | |
| MarinersMariners68-78 | 68 | 78 | .466 | 77.9 | 84.1 | .621 | .449 | [77, 79] | |
| TwinsTwins69-77 | 69 | 77 | .473 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .505 | .489 | [76, 78] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox80-67 | 80 | 67 | .544 | 87.8 | 74.2 | .519 | .499 | [86, 89] | |
| TigersTigers67-79 | 67 | 79 | .459 | 75.4 | 86.6 | .525 | .476 | [74, 77] | |
| CubsCubs81-66 | 81 | 66 | .551 | 88.5 | 73.5 | .503 | .505 | [87, 90] | |
| RoyalsRoyals65-82 | 65 | 82 | .442 | 72.0 | 90.0 | .464 | .506 | [71, 73] | |
| PadresPadres78-68 | 78 | 68 | .534 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .514 | .483 | [85, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs78-69 | 78 | 69 | .531 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .504 | .490 | [84, 87] | |
| MarlinsMarlins72-75 | 72 | 75 | .490 | 78.9 | 83.1 | .461 | .523 | [78, 80] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays73-74 | 73 | 74 | .497 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .492 | .498 | [79, 82] | |
| AthleticsAthletics59-88 | 59 | 88 | .401 | 65.0 | 97.0 | .403 | .513 | [64, 66] | |
| OriolesOrioles71-76 | 71 | 76 | .483 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .496 | .520 | [77, 80] | |
| MetsMets68-78 | 68 | 78 | .466 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .502 | .523 | [75, 77] | |
| PiratesPirates73-73 | 73 | 73 | .500 | 81.6 | 80.4 | .538 | .496 | [80, 83] | |
| AngelsAngels56-90 | 56 | 90 | .384 | 63.0 | 99.0 | .439 | .514 | [62, 64] | |
| CardinalsCardinals72-75 | 72 | 75 | .490 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .489 | .490 | [78, 81] | |
| NationalsNationals67-81 | 67 | 81 | .453 | 73.6 | 88.4 | .472 | .499 | [72, 75] | |
| RedsReds69-77 | 69 | 77 | .473 | 75.9 | 86.1 | .432 | .535 | [75, 77] | |
| GiantsGiants62-85 | 62 | 85 | .422 | 68.3 | 93.7 | .419 | .532 | [67, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies55-90 | 55 | 90 | .379 | 61.9 | 100.1 | .409 | .509 | [61, 63] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers89-57 | 89 | 57 | .610 | 99.0 | 63.0 | .626 | .467 | [98, 100] | |
| BrewersBrewers91-56 | 91 | 56 | .619 | 98.8 | 63.2 | .522 | .510 | [98, 100] | |
| BravesBraves86-61 | 86 | 61 | .585 | 93.8 | 68.2 | .523 | .505 | [93, 95] | |
| AstrosAstros75-72 | 75 | 72 | .510 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .519 | .490 | [81, 84] | |
| RaysRays87-59 | 87 | 59 | .596 | 95.0 | 67.0 | .498 | .516 | [94, 96] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox75-70 | 75 | 70 | .517 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .491 | .478 | [82, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians74-73 | 74 | 73 | .503 | 81.9 | 80.1 | .525 | .475 | [81, 83] | |
| YankeesYankees83-62 | 83 | 62 | .572 | 92.3 | 69.7 | .547 | .504 | [91, 94] | |
| RangersRangers72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 79.8 | 82.2 | .487 | .510 | [78, 81] | |
| PhilliesPhillies82-65 | 82 | 65 | .558 | 90.2 | 71.8 | .548 | .516 | [89, 92] | |
| MarinersMariners68-78 | 68 | 78 | .466 | 77.9 | 84.1 | .621 | .449 | [77, 79] | |
| TwinsTwins69-77 | 69 | 77 | .473 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .505 | .489 | [76, 78] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox80-67 | 80 | 67 | .544 | 87.8 | 74.2 | .519 | .499 | [86, 89] | |
| TigersTigers67-79 | 67 | 79 | .459 | 75.4 | 86.6 | .525 | .476 | [74, 77] | |
| CubsCubs81-66 | 81 | 66 | .551 | 88.5 | 73.5 | .503 | .505 | [87, 90] | |
| RoyalsRoyals65-82 | 65 | 82 | .442 | 72.0 | 90.0 | .464 | .506 | [71, 73] | |
| PadresPadres78-68 | 78 | 68 | .534 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .514 | .483 | [85, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs78-69 | 78 | 69 | .531 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .504 | .490 | [84, 87] | |
| MarlinsMarlins72-75 | 72 | 75 | .490 | 78.9 | 83.1 | .461 | .523 | [78, 80] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays73-74 | 73 | 74 | .497 | 80.4 | 81.6 | .492 | .498 | [79, 82] | |
| AthleticsAthletics59-88 | 59 | 88 | .401 | 65.0 | 97.0 | .403 | .513 | [64, 66] | |
| OriolesOrioles71-76 | 71 | 76 | .483 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .496 | .520 | [77, 80] | |
| MetsMets68-78 | 68 | 78 | .466 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .502 | .523 | [75, 77] | |
| PiratesPirates73-73 | 73 | 73 | .500 | 81.6 | 80.4 | .538 | .496 | [80, 83] | |
| AngelsAngels56-90 | 56 | 90 | .384 | 63.0 | 99.0 | .439 | .514 | [62, 64] | |
| CardinalsCardinals72-75 | 72 | 75 | .490 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .489 | .490 | [78, 81] | |
| NationalsNationals67-81 | 67 | 81 | .453 | 73.6 | 88.4 | .472 | .499 | [72, 75] | |
| RedsReds69-77 | 69 | 77 | .473 | 75.9 | 86.1 | .432 | .535 | [75, 77] | |
| GiantsGiants62-85 | 62 | 85 | .422 | 68.3 | 93.7 | .419 | .532 | [67, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies55-90 | 55 | 90 | .379 | 61.9 | 100.1 | .409 | .509 | [61, 63] | |

