MLB Playoff Odds
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AL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays90-59 | 90 | 59 | .604 | 0.0 | 96.4 | 65.6 | .494 | [95, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees86-63 | 86 | 63 | .577 | 4.0 | 93.2 | 68.8 | .552 | [92, 94] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox81-68 | 81 | 68 | .544 | 9.0 | 87.7 | 74.3 | .517 | [87, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays75-75 | 75 | 75 | .500 | 15.5 | 80.9 | 81.1 | .495 | [80, 82] | |
| OriolesOrioles72-78 | 72 | 78 | .480 | 18.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .482 | [77, 79] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays90-59 | 90 | 59 | .604 | 0.0 | 96.4 | 65.6 | .494 | [95, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees86-63 | 86 | 63 | .577 | 4.0 | 93.2 | 68.8 | .552 | [92, 94] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox81-68 | 81 | 68 | .544 | 9.0 | 87.7 | 74.3 | .517 | [87, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays75-75 | 75 | 75 | .500 | 15.5 | 80.9 | 81.1 | .495 | [80, 82] | |
| OriolesOrioles72-78 | 72 | 78 | .480 | 18.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .482 | [77, 79] | |
AL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox76-72 | 76 | 72 | .514 | 0.0 | 82.9 | 79.1 | .494 | [82, 84] | |
| GuardiansGuardians75-74 | 75 | 74 | .503 | 1.5 | 81.8 | 80.2 | .521 | [81, 83] | |
| TwinsTwins70-78 | 70 | 78 | .473 | 6.0 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .507 | [76, 78] | |
| TigersTigers70-79 | 70 | 79 | .470 | 6.5 | 76.7 | 85.3 | .515 | [75, 78] | |
| RoyalsRoyals66-83 | 66 | 83 | .443 | 10.5 | 72.1 | 89.9 | .467 | [71, 73] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| White SoxWhite Sox76-72 | 76 | 72 | .514 | 0.0 | 82.9 | 79.1 | .494 | [82, 84] | |
| GuardiansGuardians75-74 | 75 | 74 | .503 | 1.5 | 81.8 | 80.2 | .521 | [81, 83] | |
| TwinsTwins70-78 | 70 | 78 | .473 | 6.0 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .507 | [76, 78] | |
| TigersTigers70-79 | 70 | 79 | .470 | 6.5 | 76.7 | 85.3 | .515 | [75, 78] | |
| RoyalsRoyals66-83 | 66 | 83 | .443 | 10.5 | 72.1 | 89.9 | .467 | [71, 73] | |
AL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros75-75 | 75 | 75 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .520 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 1.5 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .487 | [78, 81] | |
| MarinersMariners70-79 | 70 | 79 | .470 | 4.5 | 78.0 | 84.0 | .616 | [77, 79] | |
| AthleticsAthletics60-89 | 60 | 89 | .403 | 14.5 | 65.6 | 96.4 | .430 | [64, 67] | |
| AngelsAngels56-93 | 56 | 93 | .376 | 18.5 | 61.6 | 100.4 | .428 | [60, 63] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros75-75 | 75 | 75 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .520 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 1.5 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .487 | [78, 81] | |
| MarinersMariners70-79 | 70 | 79 | .470 | 4.5 | 78.0 | 84.0 | .616 | [77, 79] | |
| AthleticsAthletics60-89 | 60 | 89 | .403 | 14.5 | 65.6 | 96.4 | .430 | [64, 67] | |
| AngelsAngels56-93 | 56 | 93 | .376 | 18.5 | 61.6 | 100.4 | .428 | [60, 63] | |
NL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves88-62 | 88 | 62 | .587 | 0.0 | 94.9 | 67.1 | .576 | [94, 96] | |
| PhilliesPhillies83-67 | 83 | 67 | .553 | 5.0 | 89.1 | 72.9 | .508 | [88, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 14.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .475 | [78, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals70-81 | 70 | 81 | .464 | 18.5 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .462 | [74, 76] | |
| MetsMets69-80 | 69 | 80 | .463 | 18.5 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .507 | [74, 77] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves88-62 | 88 | 62 | .587 | 0.0 | 94.9 | 67.1 | .576 | [94, 96] | |
| PhilliesPhillies83-67 | 83 | 67 | .553 | 5.0 | 89.1 | 72.9 | .508 | [88, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 14.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .475 | [78, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals70-81 | 70 | 81 | .464 | 18.5 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .462 | [74, 76] | |
| MetsMets69-80 | 69 | 80 | .463 | 18.5 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .507 | [74, 77] | |
NL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers93-56 | 93 | 56 | .624 | 0.0 | 99.8 | 62.2 | .525 | [99, 101] | |
| CubsCubs83-66 | 83 | 66 | .557 | 10.0 | 89.7 | 72.3 | .512 | [88, 91] | |
| PiratesPirates74-75 | 74 | 75 | .497 | 19.0 | 80.8 | 81.2 | .523 | [80, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 20.0 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .495 | [78, 81] | |
| RedsReds69-79 | 69 | 79 | .466 | 23.5 | 75.0 | 87.0 | .426 | [74, 76] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers93-56 | 93 | 56 | .624 | 0.0 | 99.8 | 62.2 | .525 | [99, 101] | |
| CubsCubs83-66 | 83 | 66 | .557 | 10.0 | 89.7 | 72.3 | .512 | [88, 91] | |
| PiratesPirates74-75 | 74 | 75 | .497 | 19.0 | 80.8 | 81.2 | .523 | [80, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals73-76 | 73 | 76 | .490 | 20.0 | 79.4 | 82.6 | .495 | [78, 81] | |
| RedsReds69-79 | 69 | 79 | .466 | 23.5 | 75.0 | 87.0 | .426 | [74, 76] | |
NL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers90-58 | 90 | 58 | .608 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 63.0 | .642 | [98, 100] | |
| PadresPadres80-68 | 80 | 68 | .541 | 10.0 | 87.1 | 74.9 | .510 | [86, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs79-70 | 79 | 70 | .530 | 11.5 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .509 | [84, 87] | |
| GiantsGiants62-87 | 62 | 87 | .416 | 28.5 | 67.1 | 94.9 | .394 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies55-94 | 55 | 94 | .369 | 35.5 | 60.3 | 101.7 | .407 | [59, 61] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers90-58 | 90 | 58 | .608 | 0.0 | 99.0 | 63.0 | .642 | [98, 100] | |
| PadresPadres80-68 | 80 | 68 | .541 | 10.0 | 87.1 | 74.9 | .510 | [86, 88] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs79-70 | 79 | 70 | .530 | 11.5 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .509 | [84, 87] | |
| GiantsGiants62-87 | 62 | 87 | .416 | 28.5 | 67.1 | 94.9 | .394 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies55-94 | 55 | 94 | .369 | 35.5 | 60.3 | 101.7 | .407 | [59, 61] | |

