MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers88-57 | 88 | 57 | .607 | 99.3 | 62.7 | .664 | .467 | [98, 101] | |
| BrewersBrewers90-56 | 90 | 56 | .616 | 99.1 | 62.9 | .572 | .506 | [98, 100] | |
| BravesBraves85-60 | 85 | 60 | .586 | 93.5 | 68.5 | .502 | .507 | [92, 95] | |
| RaysRays86-58 | 86 | 58 | .597 | 95.6 | 66.4 | .531 | .516 | [94, 97] | |
| AstrosAstros74-71 | 74 | 71 | .510 | 82.2 | 79.8 | .484 | .492 | [81, 84] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox75-69 | 75 | 69 | .521 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .459 | .474 | [82, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians74-72 | 74 | 72 | .507 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .500 | .474 | [81, 83] | |
| RangersRangers72-73 | 72 | 73 | .497 | 79.9 | 82.1 | .466 | .513 | [79, 81] | |
| PhilliesPhillies81-64 | 81 | 64 | .559 | 90.7 | 71.3 | .568 | .520 | [89, 92] | |
| YankeesYankees82-62 | 82 | 62 | .569 | 92.2 | 69.8 | .569 | .504 | [91, 94] | |
| MarinersMariners67-78 | 67 | 78 | .462 | 77.6 | 84.4 | .621 | .441 | [76, 79] | |
| TwinsTwins69-76 | 69 | 76 | .476 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .475 | .489 | [76, 78] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox80-66 | 80 | 66 | .548 | 87.8 | 74.2 | .491 | .508 | [87, 89] | |
| TigersTigers66-79 | 66 | 79 | .455 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .537 | .474 | [74, 76] | |
| CubsCubs81-65 | 81 | 65 | .555 | 88.9 | 73.1 | .492 | .507 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs78-68 | 78 | 68 | .534 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .484 | .490 | [84, 87] | |
| PadresPadres77-68 | 77 | 68 | .531 | 86.3 | 75.7 | .547 | .486 | [85, 88] | |
| RoyalsRoyals64-82 | 64 | 82 | .438 | 71.9 | 90.1 | .494 | .508 | [71, 73] | |
| MarlinsMarlins72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 78.6 | 83.4 | .411 | .538 | [77, 80] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays73-73 | 73 | 73 | .500 | 80.6 | 81.4 | .476 | .492 | [79, 82] | |
| AthleticsAthletics58-88 | 58 | 88 | .397 | 65.1 | 96.9 | .442 | .506 | [64, 66] | |
| OriolesOrioles70-76 | 70 | 76 | .479 | 78.2 | 83.8 | .510 | .525 | [77, 79] | |
| PiratesPirates72-73 | 72 | 73 | .497 | 81.6 | 80.4 | .564 | .500 | [80, 83] | |
| MetsMets67-78 | 67 | 78 | .462 | 76.1 | 85.9 | .533 | .520 | [75, 77] | |
| CardinalsCardinals72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .455 | .491 | [78, 81] | |
| AngelsAngels55-90 | 55 | 90 | .379 | 63.0 | 99.0 | .471 | .498 | [62, 64] | |
| NationalsNationals67-80 | 67 | 80 | .456 | 73.6 | 88.4 | .442 | .491 | [72, 75] | |
| RedsReds69-76 | 69 | 76 | .476 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .386 | .550 | [74, 77] | |
| GiantsGiants61-85 | 61 | 85 | .418 | 68.2 | 93.8 | .452 | .539 | [67, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies55-89 | 55 | 89 | .382 | 61.9 | 100.1 | .386 | .502 | [61, 63] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers88-57 | 88 | 57 | .607 | 99.3 | 62.7 | .664 | .467 | [98, 101] | |
| BrewersBrewers90-56 | 90 | 56 | .616 | 99.1 | 62.9 | .572 | .506 | [98, 100] | |
| BravesBraves85-60 | 85 | 60 | .586 | 93.5 | 68.5 | .502 | .507 | [92, 95] | |
| RaysRays86-58 | 86 | 58 | .597 | 95.6 | 66.4 | .531 | .516 | [94, 97] | |
| AstrosAstros74-71 | 74 | 71 | .510 | 82.2 | 79.8 | .484 | .492 | [81, 84] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox75-69 | 75 | 69 | .521 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .459 | .474 | [82, 85] | |
| GuardiansGuardians74-72 | 74 | 72 | .507 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .500 | .474 | [81, 83] | |
| RangersRangers72-73 | 72 | 73 | .497 | 79.9 | 82.1 | .466 | .513 | [79, 81] | |
| PhilliesPhillies81-64 | 81 | 64 | .559 | 90.7 | 71.3 | .568 | .520 | [89, 92] | |
| YankeesYankees82-62 | 82 | 62 | .569 | 92.2 | 69.8 | .569 | .504 | [91, 94] | |
| MarinersMariners67-78 | 67 | 78 | .462 | 77.6 | 84.4 | .621 | .441 | [76, 79] | |
| TwinsTwins69-76 | 69 | 76 | .476 | 77.1 | 84.9 | .475 | .489 | [76, 78] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox80-66 | 80 | 66 | .548 | 87.8 | 74.2 | .491 | .508 | [87, 89] | |
| TigersTigers66-79 | 66 | 79 | .455 | 75.1 | 86.9 | .537 | .474 | [74, 76] | |
| CubsCubs81-65 | 81 | 65 | .555 | 88.9 | 73.1 | .492 | .507 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs78-68 | 78 | 68 | .534 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .484 | .490 | [84, 87] | |
| PadresPadres77-68 | 77 | 68 | .531 | 86.3 | 75.7 | .547 | .486 | [85, 88] | |
| RoyalsRoyals64-82 | 64 | 82 | .438 | 71.9 | 90.1 | .494 | .508 | [71, 73] | |
| MarlinsMarlins72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 78.6 | 83.4 | .411 | .538 | [77, 80] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays73-73 | 73 | 73 | .500 | 80.6 | 81.4 | .476 | .492 | [79, 82] | |
| AthleticsAthletics58-88 | 58 | 88 | .397 | 65.1 | 96.9 | .442 | .506 | [64, 66] | |
| OriolesOrioles70-76 | 70 | 76 | .479 | 78.2 | 83.8 | .510 | .525 | [77, 79] | |
| PiratesPirates72-73 | 72 | 73 | .497 | 81.6 | 80.4 | .564 | .500 | [80, 83] | |
| MetsMets67-78 | 67 | 78 | .462 | 76.1 | 85.9 | .533 | .520 | [75, 77] | |
| CardinalsCardinals72-74 | 72 | 74 | .493 | 79.3 | 82.7 | .455 | .491 | [78, 81] | |
| AngelsAngels55-90 | 55 | 90 | .379 | 63.0 | 99.0 | .471 | .498 | [62, 64] | |
| NationalsNationals67-80 | 67 | 80 | .456 | 73.6 | 88.4 | .442 | .491 | [72, 75] | |
| RedsReds69-76 | 69 | 76 | .476 | 75.6 | 86.4 | .386 | .550 | [74, 77] | |
| GiantsGiants61-85 | 61 | 85 | .418 | 68.2 | 93.8 | .452 | .539 | [67, 70] | |
| RockiesRockies55-89 | 55 | 89 | .382 | 61.9 | 100.1 | .386 | .502 | [61, 63] | |

