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2024 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

Season:
2024
202420232022202120202019

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ALWCSTigers-Astros
ALWCSRoyals-Orioles
NLWCSMets-Brewers
NLWCSBraves-Padres
ALDSRoyals-Yankees
ALDSTigers-Guardians
NLDSPadres-Dodgers
NLDSMets-Phillies
ALCS 
NLCS 
WS 
Mets
65.5%
Phillies
34.5%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamMets StarterPhillies StarterMets Win ProbPhillies Win Prob
1MetsPhilliesKodai SengaZack Wheeler100.0%0.0%
2MetsPhilliesLuis SeverinoCristopher Sánchez0.0%100.0%
3PhilliesMetsSean ManaeaAaron Nola100.0%0.0%
4PhilliesMetsJose QuintanaRanger Suárez43.3%56.7%
5MetsPhilliesKodai SengaZack Wheeler39.1%60.9%
GameAway TeamHome TeamMets StarterPhillies StarterMets Win ProbPhillies Win Prob
1MetsPhilliesKodai SengaZack Wheeler100.0%0.0%
2MetsPhilliesLuis SeverinoCristopher Sánchez0.0%100.0%
3PhilliesMetsSean ManaeaAaron Nola100.0%0.0%
4PhilliesMetsJose QuintanaRanger Suárez43.3%56.7%
5MetsPhilliesKodai SengaZack Wheeler39.1%60.9%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Phillies win in 3 Games0.0%
Phillies win in 4 Games0.0%
Phillies win in 5 Games34.5%
Phillies Total34.5%
Mets win in 3 Games0.0%
Mets win in 4 Games43.3%
Mets win in 5 Games22.2%
Mets Total65.5%
OutcomeProb
Phillies win in 3 Games0.0%
Phillies win in 4 Games0.0%
Phillies win in 5 Games34.5%
Phillies Total34.5%
Mets win in 3 Games0.0%
Mets win in 4 Games43.3%
Mets win in 5 Games22.2%
Mets Total65.5%