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2019 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

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Twins
48.6%
Yankees
51.4%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamTwins StarterYankees StarterTwins Win ProbYankees Win Prob
1TwinsYankeesJosé BerríosJames Paxton48.9%51.1%
2TwinsYankeesJake OdorizziLuis Severino41.9%58.1%
3YankeesTwinsRandy DobnakMasahiro Tanaka49.8%50.2%
4YankeesTwinsKyle GibsonJ.A. Happ56.8%43.2%
5TwinsYankeesJosé BerríosJames Paxton48.9%51.1%
GameAway TeamHome TeamTwins StarterYankees StarterTwins Win ProbYankees Win Prob
1TwinsYankeesJosé BerríosJames Paxton48.9%51.1%
2TwinsYankeesJake OdorizziLuis Severino41.9%58.1%
3YankeesTwinsRandy DobnakMasahiro Tanaka49.8%50.2%
4YankeesTwinsKyle GibsonJ.A. Happ56.8%43.2%
5TwinsYankeesJosé BerríosJames Paxton48.9%51.1%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Yankees win in 3 Games14.9%
Yankees win in 4 Games17.2%
Yankees win in 5 Games19.3%
Yankees Total51.4%
Twins win in 3 Games10.2%
Twins win in 4 Games19.9%
Twins win in 5 Games18.5%
Twins Total48.6%
OutcomeProb
Yankees win in 3 Games14.9%
Yankees win in 4 Games17.2%
Yankees win in 5 Games19.3%
Yankees Total51.4%
Twins win in 3 Games10.2%
Twins win in 4 Games19.9%
Twins win in 5 Games18.5%
Twins Total48.6%