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2021 ZiPS Postseason Game-By-Game Odds

These are a different from our traditional playoff odds. These use only ZiPS projections and account for individual game starting pitcher match-ups.

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Red Sox
48.7%
Rays
51.3%

Game By Game Match Up Projections

GameAway TeamHome TeamRed Sox StarterRays StarterRed Sox Win ProbRays Win Prob
1Red SoxRaysEduardo RodriguezShane McClanahan46.5%53.5%
2Red SoxRaysChris SaleShane Baz52.2%47.8%
3RaysRed SoxNathan EovaldiDrew Rasmussen48.7%51.3%
4RaysRed SoxTanner HouckRyan Yarbrough52.7%47.3%
5Red SoxRaysEduardo RodriguezShane McClanahan46.5%53.5%
GameAway TeamHome TeamRed Sox StarterRays StarterRed Sox Win ProbRays Win Prob
1Red SoxRaysEduardo RodriguezShane McClanahan46.5%53.5%
2Red SoxRaysChris SaleShane Baz52.2%47.8%
3RaysRed SoxNathan EovaldiDrew Rasmussen48.7%51.3%
4RaysRed SoxTanner HouckRyan Yarbrough52.7%47.3%
5Red SoxRaysEduardo RodriguezShane McClanahan46.5%53.5%

Series Outcome Projection

OutcomeProb
Rays win in 3 Games13.1%
Rays win in 4 Games18.1%
Rays win in 5 Games20.1%
Rays Total51.3%
Red Sox win in 3 Games11.8%
Red Sox win in 4 Games19.4%
Red Sox win in 5 Games17.5%
Red Sox Total48.7%
OutcomeProb
Rays win in 3 Games13.1%
Rays win in 4 Games18.1%
Rays win in 5 Games20.1%
Rays Total51.3%
Red Sox win in 3 Games11.8%
Red Sox win in 4 Games19.4%
Red Sox win in 5 Games17.5%
Red Sox Total48.7%