MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 100.6 +2.4 | 61.4 -2.4 | .620 +.013 | .495 +.012 | 80.6% +30.2% | 60.3% +22.1% | 14.3% -12.1% | 94.9% +18.1% | 12.7% +2.4% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 106.9 +17.0 | 55.1 -17.0 | .635 +.080 | .504 +.004 | 75.8% +47.7% | 70.3% +50.7% | 23.0% -7.1% | 98.8% +40.6% | 18.2% +12.8% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 94.7 +1.4 | 67.3 -1.4 | .586 +.011 | .476 -.016 | 69.1% +25.8% | 32.8% +4.1% | 15.5% -7.2% | 84.6% +18.6% | 5.6% -2.0% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 104.9 +30.1 | 57.1 -30.1 | .632 +.171 | .516 +.006 | 67.6% +61.0% | 65.7% +61.5% | 29.6% +11.6% | 97.3% +72.6% | 18.2% +17.0% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 100.8 +22.7 | 61.2 -22.7 | .601 +.120 | .501 +.008 | 54.8% +38.9% | 52.5% +45.1% | 38.2% +21.1% | 93.0% +60.0% | 10.1% +8.7% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 83.3 -6.9 | 78.7 +6.9 | .512 -.045 | .466 -.023 | 43.4% +11.2% | 4.9% -18.0% | 6.0% -22.0% | 49.4% -10.8% | 1.0% -4.3% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 97.6 +26.7 | 64.4 -26.7 | .588 +.149 | .515 +.022 | 38.9% +30.9% | 37.0% +33.8% | 48.8% +37.9% | 87.6% +68.8% | 8.8% +8.3% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 96.6 +4.6 | 65.4 -4.6 | .580 +.012 | .508 +.013 | 27.4% -5.4% | 26.4% +0.8% | 57.6% +26.4% | 85.0% +21.0% | 6.3% -0.4% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 79.3 -11.9 | 82.7 +11.9 | .507 -.056 | .483 -.007 | 26.3% -8.2% | 1.8% -22.9% | 7.0% -21.2% | 33.3% -29.4% | 0.9% -5.0% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 95.8 -0.6 | 66.2 +0.6 | .586 -.009 | .482 -.009 | 23.2% -22.8% | 20.2% -14.2% | 62.7% +36.2% | 85.9% +13.5% | 5.4% -4.0% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 77.6 -10.7 | 84.4 +10.7 | .487 -.058 | .495 +.004 | 20.1% -7.3% | 1.5% -17.8% | 6.1% -22.1% | 26.2% -29.4% | 0.5% -3.8% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 82.4 -6.7 | 79.6 +6.7 | .499 -.051 | .496 -.001 | 16.7% -14.4% | 4.4% -15.1% | 24.8% -0.5% | 41.5% -14.9% | 1.2% -3.6% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 83.6 -8.3 | 78.4 +8.3 | .524 -.044 | .489 -.009 | 8.9% -22.9% | 4.2% -18.5% | 37.8% +6.6% | 46.7% -16.3% | 1.6% -5.0% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 70.7 +0.9 | 91.3 -0.9 | .456 +.026 | .490 -.012 | 7.9% +3.0% | 0.2% -2.2% | 2.1% -9.7% | 10.0% -6.7% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 76.7 -2.0 | 85.3 +2.0 | .502 +.016 | .481 -.018 | 7.4% -5.3% | 1.2% -5.6% | 15.2% -3.6% | 22.6% -8.9% | 0.6% -0.8% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 81.3 +2.8 | 80.7 -2.8 | .517 +.032 | .493 -.010 | 7.0% -3.5% | 3.5% -2.6% | 30.8% +10.1% | 37.8% +6.6% | 1.4% 0.0% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 84.4 -9.5 | 77.6 +9.5 | .512 -.067 | .491 +.006 | 5.3% -48.4% | 4.8% -29.2% | 37.0% +20.4% | 42.4% -28.1% | 1.3% -6.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 84.8 +7.7 | 77.2 -7.7 | .530 +.054 | .517 +.012 | 4.6% -3.9% | 4.2% -1.4% | 39.1% +18.0% | 43.8% +14.1% | 3.1% +1.6% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 74.6 +0.7 | 87.4 -0.7 | .460 +.004 | .503 +.004 | 4.5% -3.3% | 0.8% -2.8% | 12.0% -2.0% | 16.5% -5.3% | 0.4% -0.3% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 78.2 +5.2 | 83.8 -5.2 | .474 +.024 | .505 -.003 | 3.4% -2.2% | 1.5% -1.3% | 22.9% +8.2% | 26.3% +6.1% | 0.6% -0.1% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 65.4 +6.4 | 96.6 -6.4 | .407 +.043 | .481 -.028 | 2.3% +1.3% | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.7% -2.9% | 3.0% -1.6% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 71.2 +1.1 | 90.8 -1.1 | .426 -.006 | .510 +.007 | 2.3% -2.7% | 0.3% -1.7% | 7.8% -2.9% | 10.1% -5.6% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 77.1 -3.3 | 84.9 +3.3 | .478 -.018 | .512 +.022 | 1.0% -18.5% | 0.8% -9.1% | 16.3% -2.3% | 17.4% -20.8% | 0.6% -1.1% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 75.5 +6.3 | 86.5 -6.3 | .473 +.046 | .498 -.011 | 0.6% -3.0% | 0.3% -1.3% | 18.6% +7.5% | 19.2% +4.5% | 0.5% +0.1% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 73.6 -7.9 | 88.4 +7.9 | .469 -.033 | .500 -.002 | 0.4% -13.3% | 0.2% -8.4% | 13.3% -10.2% | 13.7% -23.5% | 0.3% -1.8% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 71.5 -14.8 | 90.5 +14.8 | .433 -.100 | .515 +.011 | 0.2% -20.4% | 0.1% -15.0% | 6.8% -23.1% | 7.1% -43.6% | 0.1% -3.7% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 69.6 -21.9 | 92.4 +21.9 | .406 -.159 | .539 +.043 | 0.1% -31.3% | 0.1% -24.4% | 4.6% -27.0% | 4.7% -58.2% | 0.1% -6.3% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 60.8 -3.1 | 101.2 +3.1 | .391 -.003 | .522 +.015 | 0.1% -1.6% | 0.0% -0.6% | 0.8% -5.4% | 0.9% -7.1% | 0.0% -0.1% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 60.0 -16.5 | 102.0 +16.5 | .382 -.090 | .518 +.014 | 0.0% -8.6% | 0.0% -4.8% | 0.5% -17.7% | 0.5% -26.3% | 0.0% -1.2% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 50.8 -11.9 | 111.2 +11.9 | .325 -.061 | .507 +.001 | 0.0% -2.9% | 0.0% -0.7% | 0.0% -5.1% | 0.0% -8.0% | 0.0% -0.2% |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 100.6 +2.4 | 61.4 -2.4 | .620 +.013 | .495 +.012 | 80.6% +30.2% | 60.3% +22.1% | 14.3% -12.1% | 94.9% +18.1% | 12.7% +2.4% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 106.9 +17.0 | 55.1 -17.0 | .635 +.080 | .504 +.004 | 75.8% +47.7% | 70.3% +50.7% | 23.0% -7.1% | 98.8% +40.6% | 18.2% +12.8% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 94.7 +1.4 | 67.3 -1.4 | .586 +.011 | .476 -.016 | 69.1% +25.8% | 32.8% +4.1% | 15.5% -7.2% | 84.6% +18.6% | 5.6% -2.0% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 104.9 +30.1 | 57.1 -30.1 | .632 +.171 | .516 +.006 | 67.6% +61.0% | 65.7% +61.5% | 29.6% +11.6% | 97.3% +72.6% | 18.2% +17.0% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 100.8 +22.7 | 61.2 -22.7 | .601 +.120 | .501 +.008 | 54.8% +38.9% | 52.5% +45.1% | 38.2% +21.1% | 93.0% +60.0% | 10.1% +8.7% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 83.3 -6.9 | 78.7 +6.9 | .512 -.045 | .466 -.023 | 43.4% +11.2% | 4.9% -18.0% | 6.0% -22.0% | 49.4% -10.8% | 1.0% -4.3% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 97.6 +26.7 | 64.4 -26.7 | .588 +.149 | .515 +.022 | 38.9% +30.9% | 37.0% +33.8% | 48.8% +37.9% | 87.6% +68.8% | 8.8% +8.3% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 96.6 +4.6 | 65.4 -4.6 | .580 +.012 | .508 +.013 | 27.4% -5.4% | 26.4% +0.8% | 57.6% +26.4% | 85.0% +21.0% | 6.3% -0.4% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 79.3 -11.9 | 82.7 +11.9 | .507 -.056 | .483 -.007 | 26.3% -8.2% | 1.8% -22.9% | 7.0% -21.2% | 33.3% -29.4% | 0.9% -5.0% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 95.8 -0.6 | 66.2 +0.6 | .586 -.009 | .482 -.009 | 23.2% -22.8% | 20.2% -14.2% | 62.7% +36.2% | 85.9% +13.5% | 5.4% -4.0% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 77.6 -10.7 | 84.4 +10.7 | .487 -.058 | .495 +.004 | 20.1% -7.3% | 1.5% -17.8% | 6.1% -22.1% | 26.2% -29.4% | 0.5% -3.8% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 82.4 -6.7 | 79.6 +6.7 | .499 -.051 | .496 -.001 | 16.7% -14.4% | 4.4% -15.1% | 24.8% -0.5% | 41.5% -14.9% | 1.2% -3.6% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 83.6 -8.3 | 78.4 +8.3 | .524 -.044 | .489 -.009 | 8.9% -22.9% | 4.2% -18.5% | 37.8% +6.6% | 46.7% -16.3% | 1.6% -5.0% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 70.7 +0.9 | 91.3 -0.9 | .456 +.026 | .490 -.012 | 7.9% +3.0% | 0.2% -2.2% | 2.1% -9.7% | 10.0% -6.7% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 76.7 -2.0 | 85.3 +2.0 | .502 +.016 | .481 -.018 | 7.4% -5.3% | 1.2% -5.6% | 15.2% -3.6% | 22.6% -8.9% | 0.6% -0.8% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 81.3 +2.8 | 80.7 -2.8 | .517 +.032 | .493 -.010 | 7.0% -3.5% | 3.5% -2.6% | 30.8% +10.1% | 37.8% +6.6% | 1.4% 0.0% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 84.4 -9.5 | 77.6 +9.5 | .512 -.067 | .491 +.006 | 5.3% -48.4% | 4.8% -29.2% | 37.0% +20.4% | 42.4% -28.1% | 1.3% -6.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 84.8 +7.7 | 77.2 -7.7 | .530 +.054 | .517 +.012 | 4.6% -3.9% | 4.2% -1.4% | 39.1% +18.0% | 43.8% +14.1% | 3.1% +1.6% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 74.6 +0.7 | 87.4 -0.7 | .460 +.004 | .503 +.004 | 4.5% -3.3% | 0.8% -2.8% | 12.0% -2.0% | 16.5% -5.3% | 0.4% -0.3% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 78.2 +5.2 | 83.8 -5.2 | .474 +.024 | .505 -.003 | 3.4% -2.2% | 1.5% -1.3% | 22.9% +8.2% | 26.3% +6.1% | 0.6% -0.1% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 65.4 +6.4 | 96.6 -6.4 | .407 +.043 | .481 -.028 | 2.3% +1.3% | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.7% -2.9% | 3.0% -1.6% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 71.2 +1.1 | 90.8 -1.1 | .426 -.006 | .510 +.007 | 2.3% -2.7% | 0.3% -1.7% | 7.8% -2.9% | 10.1% -5.6% | 0.2% -0.2% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 77.1 -3.3 | 84.9 +3.3 | .478 -.018 | .512 +.022 | 1.0% -18.5% | 0.8% -9.1% | 16.3% -2.3% | 17.4% -20.8% | 0.6% -1.1% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 75.5 +6.3 | 86.5 -6.3 | .473 +.046 | .498 -.011 | 0.6% -3.0% | 0.3% -1.3% | 18.6% +7.5% | 19.2% +4.5% | 0.5% +0.1% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 73.6 -7.9 | 88.4 +7.9 | .469 -.033 | .500 -.002 | 0.4% -13.3% | 0.2% -8.4% | 13.3% -10.2% | 13.7% -23.5% | 0.3% -1.8% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 71.5 -14.8 | 90.5 +14.8 | .433 -.100 | .515 +.011 | 0.2% -20.4% | 0.1% -15.0% | 6.8% -23.1% | 7.1% -43.6% | 0.1% -3.7% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 69.6 -21.9 | 92.4 +21.9 | .406 -.159 | .539 +.043 | 0.1% -31.3% | 0.1% -24.4% | 4.6% -27.0% | 4.7% -58.2% | 0.1% -6.3% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 60.8 -3.1 | 101.2 +3.1 | .391 -.003 | .522 +.015 | 0.1% -1.6% | 0.0% -0.6% | 0.8% -5.4% | 0.9% -7.1% | 0.0% -0.1% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 60.0 -16.5 | 102.0 +16.5 | .382 -.090 | .518 +.014 | 0.0% -8.6% | 0.0% -4.8% | 0.5% -17.7% | 0.5% -26.3% | 0.0% -1.2% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 50.8 -11.9 | 111.2 +11.9 | .325 -.061 | .507 +.001 | 0.0% -2.9% | 0.0% -0.7% | 0.0% -5.1% | 0.0% -8.0% | 0.0% -0.2% |
