MLB Playoff Odds
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MLB
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 98.9 +0.3 | 63.1 -0.3 | .604 -.005 | .493 .000 | 96.0% +4.4% | 91.2% +3.7% | 3.8% -3.6% | 99.8% +0.7% | 23.5% +0.1% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 96.4 +7.6 | 65.6 -7.6 | .554 +.006 | .498 -.002 | 79.3% +38.2% | 77.7% +41.4% | 19.6% -16.0% | 98.9% +22.3% | 14.0% +6.4% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 98.0 -2.3 | 64.0 +2.3 | .606 -.014 | .487 -.006 | 64.2% -25.7% | 62.6% -25.1% | 35.5% +25.9% | 99.7% +0.2% | 19.8% -6.0% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 86.3 +4.5 | 75.7 -4.5 | .511 +.007 | .495 -.003 | 54.5% +23.8% | 6.0% +3.0% | 19.0% +4.8% | 73.5% +28.6% | 2.4% +1.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 86.9 +6.6 | 75.1 -6.6 | .477 -.019 | .497 +.003 | 45.6% +18.8% | 30.7% +23.9% | 24.7% +16.2% | 70.3% +35.0% | 2.1% +1.1% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.5 -6.6 | 77.5 +6.6 | .554 -.008 | .496 .000 | 40.0% -20.8% | 16.1% -38.5% | 16.8% -8.8% | 56.8% -29.6% | 5.4% -5.6% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 84.4 +0.4 | 77.6 -0.4 | .522 +.003 | .498 -.001 | 39.4% +23.4% | 15.2% +1.8% | 16.3% -17.3% | 55.7% +6.1% | 3.2% +0.8% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 95.5 +7.5 | 66.5 -7.5 | .531 -.011 | .505 +.007 | 35.7% +27.1% | 34.6% +26.6% | 63.2% -5.5% | 98.9% +21.6% | 6.9% +3.1% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 85.3 +1.9 | 76.7 -1.9 | .521 +.006 | .494 +.001 | 30.2% -18.8% | 20.0% +4.6% | 28.8% +20.6% | 59.0% +1.9% | 3.6% +1.3% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 83.5 +1.9 | 78.5 -1.9 | .509 +.005 | .488 -.008 | 30.1% +0.8% | 2.0% -0.9% | 22.6% +8.6% | 52.8% +9.4% | 1.3% +0.3% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 83.8 +10.0 | 78.2 -10.0 | .462 +.007 | .499 +.001 | 21.1% +15.5% | 12.9% +12.1% | 26.3% +23.7% | 47.4% +39.2% | 1.0% +0.9% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 81.7 -3.3 | 80.3 +3.3 | .524 .000 | .502 +.004 | 19.0% +0.3% | 6.2% -9.6% | 14.9% -21.6% | 33.9% -21.3% | 2.0% -1.1% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 89.0 +4.3 | 73.0 -4.3 | .513 -.009 | .510 +.008 | 16.6% -1.3% | 15.9% +0.7% | 65.1% +29.7% | 81.7% +28.3% | 5.0% +1.8% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 79.9 -0.6 | 82.1 +0.6 | .504 +.007 | .495 -.002 | 11.1% -12.1% | 0.4% -1.5% | 15.6% +2.3% | 26.7% -9.7% | 0.6% -0.3% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 77.4 -0.8 | 84.6 +0.8 | .481 -.001 | .496 +.001 | 3.2% -13.9% | 1.4% -2.4% | 7.3% +1.0% | 10.5% -12.8% | 0.2% -0.3% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.5 +1.2 | 77.5 -1.2 | .532 +.018 | .495 -.005 | 2.6% -1.6% | 2.1% -1.4% | 58.0% +11.4% | 60.6% +9.7% | 2.5% +0.9% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 75.2 -0.6 | 86.8 +0.6 | .466 -.002 | .504 +.004 | 2.4% -5.2% | 0.0% -0.3% | 4.5% -1.9% | 6.9% -7.1% | 0.1% -0.1% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 82.5 -3.1 | 79.5 +3.1 | .523 -.006 | .507 +.005 | 2.1% -19.7% | 1.9% -16.9% | 34.4% -3.0% | 36.4% -22.7% | 2.0% -1.8% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 73.9 -2.5 | 88.1 +2.5 | .476 +.005 | .494 -.006 | 1.8% -7.4% | 0.0% -0.5% | 2.5% -4.6% | 4.3% -12.0% | 0.0% -0.2% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 73.3 -5.7 | 88.7 +5.7 | .480 -.008 | .502 .000 | 1.5% -2.8% | 0.2% -3.0% | 1.2% -15.6% | 2.7% -18.4% | 0.1% -0.5% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 81.4 -1.7 | 80.6 +1.7 | .522 +.009 | .503 -.001 | 1.4% -11.5% | 1.2% -9.4% | 27.9% -2.7% | 29.3% -14.1% | 1.4% -0.8% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 81.7 +2.8 | 80.3 -2.8 | .507 +.020 | .504 +.001 | 0.8% -0.3% | 0.6% -0.3% | 38.0% +15.0% | 38.8% +14.7% | 1.2% +0.7% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 79.4 -1.1 | 82.6 +1.1 | .481 -.016 | .511 +.006 | 0.7% -5.8% | 0.5% -4.6% | 16.6% -4.7% | 17.3% -10.5% | 0.4% -0.6% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 80.5 -1.5 | 81.5 +1.5 | .509 +.003 | .500 -.002 | 0.6% -2.4% | 0.4% -2.2% | 29.1% -10.7% | 29.7% -13.2% | 0.9% -0.4% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 66.7 -1.9 | 95.3 +1.9 | .419 -.004 | .512 +.006 | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.8% | 0.1% -0.9% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 75.2 -1.8 | 86.8 +1.8 | .484 +.009 | .497 -.007 | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% -0.2% | 6.5% -9.5% | 6.5% -9.7% | 0.1% -0.2% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 71.2 -9.6 | 90.8 +9.6 | .483 -.015 | .500 -.001 | 0.0% -1.2% | 0.0% -1.0% | 1.4% -31.6% | 1.4% -32.8% | 0.0% -0.7% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 62.8 -7.0 | 99.2 +7.0 | .434 +.003 | .500 .000 | 0.0% -1.7% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.7% | 0.0% -2.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 67.4 +4.0 | 94.6 -4.0 | .402 +.010 | .505 -.004 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.3% +0.1% | 0.3% +0.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 63.0 -3.0 | 99.0 +3.0 | .410 +.003 | .508 .000 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Results | 2024 Projections | |||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| DodgersDodgers33-20 | 33 | 20 | .623 | 98.9 +0.3 | 63.1 -0.3 | .604 -.005 | .493 .000 | 96.0% +4.4% | 91.2% +3.7% | 3.8% -3.6% | 99.8% +0.7% | 23.5% +0.1% |
| YankeesYankees36-17 | 36 | 17 | .679 | 96.4 +7.6 | 65.6 -7.6 | .554 +.006 | .498 -.002 | 79.3% +38.2% | 77.7% +41.4% | 19.6% -16.0% | 98.9% +22.3% | 14.0% +6.4% |
| BravesBraves29-19 | 29 | 19 | .604 | 98.0 -2.3 | 64.0 +2.3 | .606 -.014 | .487 -.006 | 64.2% -25.7% | 62.6% -25.1% | 35.5% +25.9% | 99.7% +0.2% | 19.8% -6.0% |
| BrewersBrewers29-21 | 29 | 21 | .580 | 86.3 +4.5 | 75.7 -4.5 | .511 +.007 | .495 -.003 | 54.5% +23.8% | 6.0% +3.0% | 19.0% +4.8% | 73.5% +28.6% | 2.4% +1.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians34-17 | 34 | 17 | .667 | 86.9 +6.6 | 75.1 -6.6 | .477 -.019 | .497 +.003 | 45.6% +18.8% | 30.7% +23.9% | 24.7% +16.2% | 70.3% +35.0% | 2.1% +1.1% |
| AstrosAstros23-28 | 23 | 28 | .451 | 84.5 -6.6 | 77.5 +6.6 | .554 -.008 | .496 .000 | 40.0% -20.8% | 16.1% -38.5% | 16.8% -8.8% | 56.8% -29.6% | 5.4% -5.6% |
| MarinersMariners27-25 | 27 | 25 | .519 | 84.4 +0.4 | 77.6 -0.4 | .522 +.003 | .498 -.001 | 39.4% +23.4% | 15.2% +1.8% | 16.3% -17.3% | 55.7% +6.1% | 3.2% +0.8% |
| PhilliesPhillies37-15 | 37 | 15 | .712 | 95.5 +7.5 | 66.5 -7.5 | .531 -.011 | .505 +.007 | 35.7% +27.1% | 34.6% +26.6% | 63.2% -5.5% | 98.9% +21.6% | 6.9% +3.1% |
| TwinsTwins27-23 | 27 | 23 | .540 | 85.3 +1.9 | 76.7 -1.9 | .521 +.006 | .494 +.001 | 30.2% -18.8% | 20.0% +4.6% | 28.8% +20.6% | 59.0% +1.9% | 3.6% +1.3% |
| CubsCubs27-24 | 27 | 24 | .529 | 83.5 +1.9 | 78.5 -1.9 | .509 +.005 | .488 -.008 | 30.1% +0.8% | 2.0% -0.9% | 22.6% +8.6% | 52.8% +9.4% | 1.3% +0.3% |
| RoyalsRoyals33-19 | 33 | 19 | .635 | 83.8 +10.0 | 78.2 -10.0 | .462 +.007 | .499 +.001 | 21.1% +15.5% | 12.9% +12.1% | 26.3% +23.7% | 47.4% +39.2% | 1.0% +0.9% |
| RangersRangers24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 81.7 -3.3 | 80.3 +3.3 | .524 .000 | .502 +.004 | 19.0% +0.3% | 6.2% -9.6% | 14.9% -21.6% | 33.9% -21.3% | 2.0% -1.1% |
| OriolesOrioles31-18 | 31 | 18 | .633 | 89.0 +4.3 | 73.0 -4.3 | .513 -.009 | .510 +.008 | 16.6% -1.3% | 15.9% +0.7% | 65.1% +29.7% | 81.7% +28.3% | 5.0% +1.8% |
| CardinalsCardinals23-26 | 23 | 26 | .469 | 79.9 -0.6 | 82.1 +0.6 | .504 +.007 | .495 -.002 | 11.1% -12.1% | 0.4% -1.5% | 15.6% +2.3% | 26.7% -9.7% | 0.6% -0.3% |
| TigersTigers24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 77.4 -0.8 | 84.6 +0.8 | .481 -.001 | .496 +.001 | 3.2% -13.9% | 1.4% -2.4% | 7.3% +1.0% | 10.5% -12.8% | 0.2% -0.3% |
| PadresPadres27-27 | 27 | 27 | .500 | 84.5 +1.2 | 77.5 -1.2 | .532 +.018 | .495 -.005 | 2.6% -1.6% | 2.1% -1.4% | 58.0% +11.4% | 60.6% +9.7% | 2.5% +0.9% |
| PiratesPirates24-28 | 24 | 28 | .462 | 75.2 -0.6 | 86.8 +0.6 | .466 -.002 | .504 +.004 | 2.4% -5.2% | 0.0% -0.3% | 4.5% -1.9% | 6.9% -7.1% | 0.1% -0.1% |
| RaysRays25-27 | 25 | 27 | .481 | 82.5 -3.1 | 79.5 +3.1 | .523 -.006 | .507 +.005 | 2.1% -19.7% | 1.9% -16.9% | 34.4% -3.0% | 36.4% -22.7% | 2.0% -1.8% |
| RedsReds21-30 | 21 | 30 | .412 | 73.9 -2.5 | 88.1 +2.5 | .476 +.005 | .494 -.006 | 1.8% -7.4% | 0.0% -0.5% | 2.5% -4.6% | 4.3% -12.0% | 0.0% -0.2% |
| AngelsAngels20-31 | 20 | 31 | .392 | 73.3 -5.7 | 88.7 +5.7 | .480 -.008 | .502 .000 | 1.5% -2.8% | 0.2% -3.0% | 1.2% -15.6% | 2.7% -18.4% | 0.1% -0.5% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays23-27 | 23 | 27 | .460 | 81.4 -1.7 | 80.6 +1.7 | .522 +.009 | .503 -.001 | 1.4% -11.5% | 1.2% -9.4% | 27.9% -2.7% | 29.3% -14.1% | 1.4% -0.8% |
| GiantsGiants26-26 | 26 | 26 | .500 | 81.7 +2.8 | 80.3 -2.8 | .507 +.020 | .504 +.001 | 0.8% -0.3% | 0.6% -0.3% | 38.0% +15.0% | 38.8% +14.7% | 1.2% +0.7% |
| Red SoxRed Sox26-25 | 26 | 25 | .510 | 79.4 -1.1 | 82.6 +1.1 | .481 -.016 | .511 +.006 | 0.7% -5.8% | 0.5% -4.6% | 16.6% -4.7% | 17.3% -10.5% | 0.4% -0.6% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs24-27 | 24 | 27 | .471 | 80.5 -1.5 | 81.5 +1.5 | .509 +.003 | .500 -.002 | 0.6% -2.4% | 0.4% -2.2% | 29.1% -10.7% | 29.7% -13.2% | 0.9% -0.4% |
| AthleticsAthletics21-32 | 21 | 32 | .396 | 66.7 -1.9 | 95.3 +1.9 | .419 -.004 | .512 +.006 | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.8% | 0.1% -0.9% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| MetsMets21-29 | 21 | 29 | .420 | 75.2 -1.8 | 86.8 +1.8 | .484 +.009 | .497 -.007 | 0.0% -0.3% | 0.0% -0.2% | 6.5% -9.5% | 6.5% -9.7% | 0.1% -0.2% |
| MarlinsMarlins18-34 | 18 | 34 | .346 | 71.2 -9.6 | 90.8 +9.6 | .483 -.015 | .500 -.001 | 0.0% -1.2% | 0.0% -1.0% | 1.4% -31.6% | 1.4% -32.8% | 0.0% -0.7% |
| White SoxWhite Sox15-37 | 15 | 37 | .288 | 62.8 -7.0 | 99.2 +7.0 | .434 +.003 | .500 .000 | 0.0% -1.7% | 0.0% -0.1% | 0.0% -0.7% | 0.0% -2.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals22-27 | 22 | 27 | .449 | 67.4 +4.0 | 94.6 -4.0 | .402 +.010 | .505 -.004 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.3% +0.1% | 0.3% +0.1% | 0.0% 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-33 | 17 | 33 | .340 | 63.0 -3.0 | 99.0 +3.0 | .410 +.003 | .508 .000 | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% 0.0% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% -0.5% | 0.0% 0.0% |

