Cy Young Award Projections
About the Cy Young Award Projections:
These Cy Young Award Projections utilize a simple model created by Tangotiger. The original Cy Young Points model predicts the top two vote getters with high accuracy through 2020. The FIP Adjusted model may be a better predictor of more recent voting behavior. (The report is limited to pitchers with at least 50 projected IP.)
- Cy Young Points (CYP): IP/2 - ER + SO/10 + W
- FIP Adjusted Cy Young Points (FIP CYP): (IP/2 - ER) + (IP/2 - FIP Runs) + SO/10 + W
Data Export [Members Only]
American League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 140.2 | 11 | 3 | 34.0% | 3.6% | 2.18 | 1.95 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 65.4 | 105.3 | 199.2 | 15 | 5 | 33.0% | 3.9% | 2.30 | 2.15 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 89.1 | 141.3 |
| 2 | Garrett Crochet | 141.1 | 12 | 4 | 31.0% | 6.7% | 2.23 | 2.54 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 65.2 | 95.9 | 192.1 | 16 | 6 | 31.0% | 6.9% | 2.43 | 2.60 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 84.1 | 124.6 |
| 3 | Hunter Brown | 131.0 | 9 | 5 | 30.4% | 7.6% | 2.47 | 2.94 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 54.0 | 76.7 | 184.0 | 13 | 8 | 29.2% | 7.8% | 2.79 | 3.16 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 69.4 | 96.9 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | 103.0 | 9 | 3 | 26.5% | 5.1% | 1.49 | 2.43 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 54.0 | 77.7 | 156.0 | 12 | 6 | 25.4% | 5.4% | 2.19 | 2.85 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 67.6 | 96.2 |
| 5 | Max Fried | 139.0 | 12 | 4 | 23.3% | 6.2% | 2.78 | 3.05 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 51.7 | 74.1 | 198.0 | 16 | 7 | 23.1% | 6.3% | 2.95 | 3.17 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 68.7 | 97.9 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 140.0 | 11 | 5 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 2.83 | 2.89 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 51.4 | 76.5 | 202.0 | 16 | 8 | 24.7% | 7.9% | 2.94 | 3.08 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 71.4 | 103.2 |
| 7 | Jacob deGrom | 128.2 | 10 | 4 | 27.1% | 5.8% | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 47.8 | 60.0 | 175.2 | 13 | 6 | 27.6% | 5.7% | 2.97 | 3.57 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 61.8 | 80.0 |
| 8 | Joe Ryan | 127.1 | 10 | 5 | 28.3% | 5.0% | 2.83 | 3.15 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 47.8 | 66.9 | 182.1 | 14 | 8 | 27.9% | 5.1% | 3.06 | 3.34 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 63.4 | 86.8 |
| 9 | Kris Bubic | 116.1 | 8 | 7 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 2.55 | 2.87 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 44.8 | 65.9 | 116.1 | 8 | 7 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 2.55 | 2.93 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 44.8 | 65.1 |
| 10 | Carlos Rodón | 134.2 | 11 | 7 | 28.5% | 9.5% | 3.34 | 3.87 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 43.9 | 53.3 | 190.2 | 15 | 10 | 28.2% | 9.2% | 3.54 | 3.93 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 57.3 | 69.5 |
| 11 | Bryan Woo | 133.0 | 8 | 6 | 24.2% | 4.8% | 3.11 | 3.78 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 41.2 | 51.8 | 185.0 | 11 | 9 | 24.0% | 4.9% | 3.31 | 3.82 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 53.2 | 67.3 |
| 12 | Seth Lugo | 123.1 | 8 | 5 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 3.06 | 4.47 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 38.4 | 38.8 | 179.1 | 11 | 8 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.41 | 4.38 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 48.3 | 50.6 |
| 13 | Luis Castillo | 131.1 | 8 | 6 | 21.0% | 6.8% | 3.22 | 3.63 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 38.2 | 50.9 | 185.1 | 11 | 9 | 21.5% | 6.8% | 3.35 | 3.75 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 51.4 | 66.7 |
| 14 | Drew Rasmussen | 105.2 | 9 | 5 | 22.6% | 6.1% | 2.81 | 3.40 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 38.1 | 51.0 | 148.2 | 12 | 7 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 2.97 | 3.41 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 50.6 | 68.7 |
| 15 | Yusei Kikuchi | 134.0 | 5 | 7 | 24.1% | 9.7% | 3.22 | 3.98 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 37.9 | 45.6 | 185.0 | 8 | 10 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 3.45 | 4.00 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 48.9 | 59.1 |
| 16 | Brayan Bello | 116.0 | 8 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 3.03 | 4.23 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 35.8 | 39.3 | 165.0 | 11 | 8 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.38 | 4.20 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 44.5 | 49.9 |
| 17 | Gavin Williams | 116.1 | 6 | 4 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 3.33 | 4.42 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 32.9 | 33.9 | 162.1 | 9 | 7 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 3.55 | 4.44 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 42.6 | 43.7 |
| 18 | Eric Lauer | 80.0 | 7 | 2 | 25.2% | 5.7% | 2.59 | 3.18 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 31.9 | 43.6 | 112.0 | 9 | 4 | 24.0% | 6.2% | 3.05 | 3.58 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 37.8 | 49.3 |
| 19 | José Soriano | 133.0 | 7 | 8 | 20.3% | 10.6% | 3.65 | 3.51 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 31.0 | 45.7 | 184.0 | 10 | 11 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 3.67 | 3.63 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 43.2 | 60.9 |
| 20 | Zack Littell | 133.1 | 8 | 8 | 16.6% | 3.9% | 3.58 | 4.89 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 30.6 | 24.7 | 177.1 | 10 | 11 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 3.86 | 4.89 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 35.1 | 27.5 |
| 21 | Michael Wacha | 125.1 | 5 | 9 | 18.3% | 6.8% | 3.38 | 3.75 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 30.2 | 40.7 | 178.1 | 8 | 12 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 3.63 | 3.93 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 39.1 | 50.3 |
| 22 | Tyler Mahle | 77.0 | 6 | 3 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.34 | 3.38 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 30.1 | 39.7 | 80.0 | 6 | 3 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.36 | 3.42 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 30.8 | 40.4 |
| 23 | Casey Mize | 100.1 | 10 | 4 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 3.50 | 4.13 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 30.0 | 34.0 | 146.1 | 12 | 7 | 20.4% | 6.3% | 3.75 | 4.19 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 36.8 | 41.8 |
| 24 | Noah Cameron | 87.1 | 5 | 5 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 2.68 | 3.69 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 29.9 | 37.7 | 123.1 | 7 | 7 | 20.6% | 7.0% | 3.14 | 3.79 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 36.0 | 45.7 |
| 25 | Chris Bassitt | 129.0 | 11 | 5 | 22.7% | 5.9% | 4.12 | 3.99 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 29.1 | 36.4 | 181.0 | 14 | 8 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 4.08 | 4.10 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 39.9 | 47.9 |
| 26 | Ryan Pepiot | 130.1 | 6 | 9 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.80 | 4.59 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 29.0 | 27.7 | 180.1 | 9 | 12 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.89 | 4.60 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 39.1 | 37.1 |
| 27 | Trevor Rogers | 56.1 | 4 | 2 | 22.9% | 6.2% | 1.44 | 2.61 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 39.8 | 103.1 | 7 | 5 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 36.5 | 49.1 |
| 28 | José Berríos | 131.1 | 7 | 4 | 20.4% | 8.1% | 3.84 | 4.42 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 27.8 | 29.0 | 187.1 | 10 | 7 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 3.99 | 4.45 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 36.6 | 37.7 |
| 29 | Jeffrey Springs | 126.0 | 10 | 7 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 4.00 | 4.66 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 27.2 | 25.0 | 173.0 | 13 | 10 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 4.11 | 4.61 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 34.9 | 32.8 |
| 30 | Adrian Houser | 74.1 | 6 | 3 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 2.54 | 3.47 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 27.2 | 35.7 | 123.1 | 8 | 6 | 16.2% | 7.9% | 3.36 | 3.85 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 32.1 | 41.0 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | 140.2 | 11 | 3 | 34.0% | 3.6% | 2.18 | 1.95 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 65.4 | 105.3 | 199.2 | 15 | 5 | 33.0% | 3.9% | 2.30 | 2.15 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 89.1 | 141.3 |
| 2 | Garrett Crochet | 141.1 | 12 | 4 | 31.0% | 6.7% | 2.23 | 2.54 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 65.2 | 95.9 | 192.1 | 16 | 6 | 31.0% | 6.9% | 2.43 | 2.60 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 84.1 | 124.6 |
| 3 | Hunter Brown | 131.0 | 9 | 5 | 30.4% | 7.6% | 2.47 | 2.94 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 54.0 | 76.7 | 184.0 | 13 | 8 | 29.2% | 7.8% | 2.79 | 3.16 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 69.4 | 96.9 |
| 4 | Nathan Eovaldi | 103.0 | 9 | 3 | 26.5% | 5.1% | 1.49 | 2.43 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 54.0 | 77.7 | 156.0 | 12 | 6 | 25.4% | 5.4% | 2.19 | 2.85 | 4.4 | 5.8 | 67.6 | 96.2 |
| 5 | Max Fried | 139.0 | 12 | 4 | 23.3% | 6.2% | 2.78 | 3.05 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 51.7 | 74.1 | 198.0 | 16 | 7 | 23.1% | 6.3% | 2.95 | 3.17 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 68.7 | 97.9 |
| 6 | Framber Valdez | 140.0 | 11 | 5 | 25.4% | 7.9% | 2.83 | 2.89 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 51.4 | 76.5 | 202.0 | 16 | 8 | 24.7% | 7.9% | 2.94 | 3.08 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 71.4 | 103.2 |
| 7 | Jacob deGrom | 128.2 | 10 | 4 | 27.1% | 5.8% | 2.80 | 3.65 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 47.8 | 60.0 | 175.2 | 13 | 6 | 27.6% | 5.7% | 2.97 | 3.57 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 61.8 | 80.0 |
| 8 | Joe Ryan | 127.1 | 10 | 5 | 28.3% | 5.0% | 2.83 | 3.15 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 47.8 | 66.9 | 182.1 | 14 | 8 | 27.9% | 5.1% | 3.06 | 3.34 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 63.4 | 86.8 |
| 9 | Kris Bubic | 116.1 | 8 | 7 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 2.55 | 2.87 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 44.8 | 65.9 | 116.1 | 8 | 7 | 24.4% | 8.2% | 2.55 | 2.93 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 44.8 | 65.1 |
| 10 | Carlos Rodón | 134.2 | 11 | 7 | 28.5% | 9.5% | 3.34 | 3.87 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 43.9 | 53.3 | 190.2 | 15 | 10 | 28.2% | 9.2% | 3.54 | 3.93 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 57.3 | 69.5 |
| 11 | Bryan Woo | 133.0 | 8 | 6 | 24.2% | 4.8% | 3.11 | 3.78 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 41.2 | 51.8 | 185.0 | 11 | 9 | 24.0% | 4.9% | 3.31 | 3.82 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 53.2 | 67.3 |
| 12 | Seth Lugo | 123.1 | 8 | 5 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 3.06 | 4.47 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 38.4 | 38.8 | 179.1 | 11 | 8 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.41 | 4.38 | 1.8 | 4.2 | 48.3 | 50.6 |
| 13 | Luis Castillo | 131.1 | 8 | 6 | 21.0% | 6.8% | 3.22 | 3.63 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 38.2 | 50.9 | 185.1 | 11 | 9 | 21.5% | 6.8% | 3.35 | 3.75 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 51.4 | 66.7 |
| 14 | Drew Rasmussen | 105.2 | 9 | 5 | 22.6% | 6.1% | 2.81 | 3.40 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 38.1 | 51.0 | 148.2 | 12 | 7 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 2.97 | 3.41 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 50.6 | 68.7 |
| 15 | Yusei Kikuchi | 134.0 | 5 | 7 | 24.1% | 9.7% | 3.22 | 3.98 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 37.9 | 45.6 | 185.0 | 8 | 10 | 24.4% | 9.3% | 3.45 | 4.00 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 48.9 | 59.1 |
| 16 | Brayan Bello | 116.0 | 8 | 5 | 18.0% | 8.6% | 3.03 | 4.23 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 35.8 | 39.3 | 165.0 | 11 | 8 | 18.6% | 8.6% | 3.38 | 4.20 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 44.5 | 49.9 |
| 17 | Gavin Williams | 116.1 | 6 | 4 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 3.33 | 4.42 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 32.9 | 33.9 | 162.1 | 9 | 7 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 3.55 | 4.44 | 1.5 | 2.7 | 42.6 | 43.7 |
| 18 | Eric Lauer | 80.0 | 7 | 2 | 25.2% | 5.7% | 2.59 | 3.18 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 31.9 | 43.6 | 112.0 | 9 | 4 | 24.0% | 6.2% | 3.05 | 3.58 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 37.8 | 49.3 |
| 19 | José Soriano | 133.0 | 7 | 8 | 20.3% | 10.6% | 3.65 | 3.51 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 31.0 | 45.7 | 184.0 | 10 | 11 | 20.7% | 10.5% | 3.67 | 3.63 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 43.2 | 60.9 |
| 20 | Zack Littell | 133.1 | 8 | 8 | 16.6% | 3.9% | 3.58 | 4.89 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 30.6 | 24.7 | 177.1 | 10 | 11 | 17.1% | 4.1% | 3.86 | 4.89 | 1.2 | 3.4 | 35.1 | 27.5 |
| 21 | Michael Wacha | 125.1 | 5 | 9 | 18.3% | 6.8% | 3.38 | 3.75 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 30.2 | 40.7 | 178.1 | 8 | 12 | 18.7% | 6.9% | 3.63 | 3.93 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 39.1 | 50.3 |
| 22 | Tyler Mahle | 77.0 | 6 | 3 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.34 | 3.38 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 30.1 | 39.7 | 80.0 | 6 | 3 | 18.2% | 8.8% | 2.36 | 3.42 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 30.8 | 40.4 |
| 23 | Casey Mize | 100.1 | 10 | 4 | 20.7% | 6.1% | 3.50 | 4.13 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 30.0 | 34.0 | 146.1 | 12 | 7 | 20.4% | 6.3% | 3.75 | 4.19 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 36.8 | 41.8 |
| 24 | Noah Cameron | 87.1 | 5 | 5 | 20.7% | 6.9% | 2.68 | 3.69 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 29.9 | 37.7 | 123.1 | 7 | 7 | 20.6% | 7.0% | 3.14 | 3.79 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 36.0 | 45.7 |
| 25 | Chris Bassitt | 129.0 | 11 | 5 | 22.7% | 5.9% | 4.12 | 3.99 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 29.1 | 36.4 | 181.0 | 14 | 8 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 4.08 | 4.10 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 39.9 | 47.9 |
| 26 | Ryan Pepiot | 130.1 | 6 | 9 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.80 | 4.59 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 29.0 | 27.7 | 180.1 | 9 | 12 | 24.1% | 8.5% | 3.89 | 4.60 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 39.1 | 37.1 |
| 27 | Trevor Rogers | 56.1 | 4 | 2 | 22.9% | 6.2% | 1.44 | 2.61 | 1.8 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 39.8 | 103.1 | 7 | 5 | 21.3% | 7.0% | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 36.5 | 49.1 |
| 28 | José Berríos | 131.1 | 7 | 4 | 20.4% | 8.1% | 3.84 | 4.42 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 27.8 | 29.0 | 187.1 | 10 | 7 | 20.3% | 7.8% | 3.99 | 4.45 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 36.6 | 37.7 |
| 29 | Jeffrey Springs | 126.0 | 10 | 7 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 4.00 | 4.66 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 27.2 | 25.0 | 173.0 | 13 | 10 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 4.11 | 4.61 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 34.9 | 32.8 |
| 30 | Adrian Houser | 74.1 | 6 | 3 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 2.54 | 3.47 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 27.2 | 35.7 | 123.1 | 8 | 6 | 16.2% | 7.9% | 3.36 | 3.85 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 32.1 | 41.0 |
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National League
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Paul Skenes | 138.0 | 6 | 8 | 28.7% | 6.3% | 2.02 | 2.41 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 59.4 | 91.5 | 191.0 | 9 | 10 | 28.8% | 6.5% | 2.31 | 2.61 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 77.2 | 117.4 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 138.2 | 10 | 3 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 2.40 | 2.82 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 56.8 | 82.7 | 195.2 | 14 | 5 | 25.1% | 6.2% | 2.67 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 73.7 | 106.3 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 139.2 | 9 | 5 | 33.5% | 5.1% | 2.64 | 2.86 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 56.0 | 81.5 | 201.2 | 13 | 7 | 31.9% | 5.4% | 2.81 | 3.00 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 76.2 | 109.9 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 130.2 | 11 | 4 | 23.0% | 5.6% | 2.34 | 3.18 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 54.1 | 73.3 | 183.2 | 15 | 7 | 23.1% | 6.0% | 2.74 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 67.7 | 90.9 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 122.0 | 10 | 7 | 28.5% | 8.0% | 2.51 | 2.90 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 50.9 | 72.5 | 176.0 | 14 | 9 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 2.76 | 3.08 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 67.7 | 95.4 |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | 128.2 | 11 | 3 | 27.0% | 6.3% | 2.73 | 3.20 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 49.9 | 68.5 | 184.2 | 15 | 6 | 27.2% | 6.7% | 3.02 | 3.41 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 65.3 | 87.7 |
| 7 | Robbie Ray | 136.0 | 9 | 5 | 25.4% | 9.6% | 2.85 | 3.79 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 48.0 | 58.7 | 188.0 | 12 | 8 | 25.4% | 9.2% | 3.16 | 3.87 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 59.6 | 72.8 |
| 8 | Andrew Abbott | 108.2 | 8 | 1 | 21.7% | 7.5% | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 45.9 | 56.8 | 157.2 | 11 | 4 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 2.85 | 3.92 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 54.0 | 64.2 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 125.2 | 12 | 5 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 3.08 | 3.82 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 45.2 | 54.8 | 178.2 | 15 | 8 | 25.9% | 8.9% | 3.27 | 3.91 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 58.5 | 70.2 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 141.1 | 9 | 8 | 26.3% | 5.8% | 3.31 | 2.64 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 43.2 | 72.4 | 202.1 | 13 | 11 | 25.2% | 5.7% | 3.29 | 2.84 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 61.4 | 98.8 |
| 11 | Nick Lodolo | 129.2 | 8 | 6 | 23.6% | 4.6% | 3.05 | 3.71 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 41.2 | 52.6 | 175.2 | 11 | 9 | 23.8% | 5.2% | 3.38 | 3.83 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 49.9 | 63.1 |
| 12 | David Peterson | 127.0 | 7 | 4 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 2.83 | 3.33 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 57.5 | 177.0 | 10 | 6 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 3.10 | 3.54 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 52.5 | 71.4 |
| 13 | Ranger Suárez | 100.2 | 8 | 4 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 2.68 | 3.02 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 37.8 | 54.4 | 153.2 | 12 | 7 | 22.9% | 6.8% | 2.93 | 3.24 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 53.2 | 74.7 |
| 14 | Quinn Priester | 114.1 | 11 | 2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 3.15 | 4.01 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 37.5 | 43.7 | 169.1 | 15 | 5 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 3.35 | 4.06 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 50.6 | 58.8 |
| 15 | Kodai Senga | 89.2 | 7 | 3 | 23.2% | 11.9% | 2.31 | 3.89 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 37.4 | 43.5 | 136.2 | 10 | 5 | 23.5% | 11.4% | 2.77 | 3.93 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 49.7 | 58.3 |
| 16 | Chris Sale | 89.1 | 5 | 4 | 30.8% | 7.0% | 2.52 | 2.68 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 36.1 | 54.1 | 104.1 | 6 | 5 | 30.6% | 7.0% | 2.59 | 2.73 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 41.4 | 61.9 |
| 17 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 110.2 | 7 | 4 | 24.9% | 4.1% | 3.09 | 3.23 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 35.1 | 50.8 | 110.2 | 7 | 4 | 24.9% | 4.1% | 3.09 | 3.28 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 35.1 | 50.1 |
| 18 | Landen Roupp | 101.1 | 7 | 6 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 3.11 | 3.59 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 32.2 | 42.4 | 129.1 | 9 | 8 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.27 | 3.72 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 38.8 | 49.9 |
| 19 | Clay Holmes | 117.1 | 9 | 6 | 18.2% | 9.2% | 3.45 | 4.29 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 31.8 | 34.5 | 160.1 | 12 | 9 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.59 | 4.23 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 41.0 | 45.7 |
| 20 | Edward Cabrera | 100.0 | 5 | 5 | 24.8% | 8.2% | 3.24 | 3.68 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 29.3 | 38.4 | 145.0 | 7 | 8 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 3.54 | 3.83 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 37.4 | 48.2 |
| 21 | MacKenzie Gore | 123.0 | 4 | 11 | 28.7% | 8.7% | 3.80 | 3.48 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 28.3 | 42.2 | 176.0 | 7 | 14 | 27.9% | 8.8% | 3.78 | 3.58 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 41.7 | 59.8 |
| 22 | Sonny Gray | 128.1 | 10 | 5 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 4.21 | 3.09 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 28.3 | 48.3 | 181.1 | 14 | 8 | 26.6% | 4.6% | 3.97 | 3.22 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 70.2 |
| 23 | Ryne Nelson | 95.2 | 6 | 3 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 3.20 | 3.78 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 27.9 | 35.6 | 145.2 | 9 | 6 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 3.58 | 4.02 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 36.0 | 43.8 |
| 24 | Jason Adam | 53.1 | 6 | 3 | 25.1% | 10.3% | 1.86 | 3.15 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 27.3 | 35.3 | 72.1 | 7 | 4 | 25.6% | 10.0% | 2.24 | 3.30 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 32.9 | 42.5 |
| 25 | Jesús Luzardo | 127.0 | 10 | 5 | 27.2% | 8.1% | 4.32 | 3.08 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 27.2 | 47.2 | 178.0 | 13 | 8 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 4.20 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 39.1 | 61.7 |
| 26 | Edwin Díaz | 44.2 | 5 | 1 | 37.9% | 9.6% | 1.41 | 2.30 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 37.9 | 63.2 | 7 | 2 | 37.3% | 9.4% | 1.84 | 2.55 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 35.3 | 49.1 |
| 27 | Adrian Morejon | 49.2 | 8 | 4 | 25.8% | 5.2% | 2.17 | 1.96 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 25.8 | 39.8 | 68.2 | 10 | 5 | 25.5% | 5.8% | 2.49 | 2.39 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 32.3 | 48.4 |
| 28 | Shota Imanaga | 83.0 | 8 | 4 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 3.25 | 4.75 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 25.8 | 23.5 | 137.0 | 11 | 7 | 20.4% | 5.2% | 3.55 | 4.58 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 36.9 | 35.8 |
| 29 | Randy Rodríguez | 46.2 | 3 | 3 | 35.4% | 6.1% | 1.54 | 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 24.7 | 37.2 | 65.2 | 4 | 4 | 33.0% | 7.3% | 2.06 | 2.59 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 30.4 | 44.4 |
| 30 | Mitch Keller | 132.0 | 5 | 10 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 3.89 | 3.70 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 24.4 | 36.1 | 189.0 | 8 | 14 | 19.2% | 6.4% | 3.95 | 3.86 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 34.8 | 48.2 |
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Stats | Projected Stats | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| # | Name | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP | IP | W | L | K% | BB% | ERA | FIP | WAR | RA9- WAR | CYP | FIP CYP |
| 1 | Paul Skenes | 138.0 | 6 | 8 | 28.7% | 6.3% | 2.02 | 2.41 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 59.4 | 91.5 | 191.0 | 9 | 10 | 28.8% | 6.5% | 2.31 | 2.61 | 6.1 | 7.4 | 77.2 | 117.4 |
| 2 | Cristopher Sánchez | 138.2 | 10 | 3 | 26.0% | 6.1% | 2.40 | 2.82 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 56.8 | 82.7 | 195.2 | 14 | 5 | 25.1% | 6.2% | 2.67 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 6.8 | 73.7 | 106.3 |
| 3 | Zack Wheeler | 139.2 | 9 | 5 | 33.5% | 5.1% | 2.64 | 2.86 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 56.0 | 81.5 | 201.2 | 13 | 7 | 31.9% | 5.4% | 2.81 | 3.00 | 5.5 | 6.4 | 76.2 | 109.9 |
| 4 | Matthew Boyd | 130.2 | 11 | 4 | 23.0% | 5.6% | 2.34 | 3.18 | 3.2 | 4.5 | 54.1 | 73.3 | 183.2 | 15 | 7 | 23.1% | 6.0% | 2.74 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 5.5 | 67.7 | 90.9 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 122.0 | 10 | 7 | 28.5% | 8.0% | 2.51 | 2.90 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 50.9 | 72.5 | 176.0 | 14 | 9 | 27.9% | 7.6% | 2.76 | 3.08 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 67.7 | 95.4 |
| 6 | Nick Pivetta | 128.2 | 11 | 3 | 27.0% | 6.3% | 2.73 | 3.20 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 49.9 | 68.5 | 184.2 | 15 | 6 | 27.2% | 6.7% | 3.02 | 3.41 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 65.3 | 87.7 |
| 7 | Robbie Ray | 136.0 | 9 | 5 | 25.4% | 9.6% | 2.85 | 3.79 | 1.7 | 3.8 | 48.0 | 58.7 | 188.0 | 12 | 8 | 25.4% | 9.2% | 3.16 | 3.87 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 59.6 | 72.8 |
| 8 | Andrew Abbott | 108.2 | 8 | 1 | 21.7% | 7.5% | 2.15 | 3.60 | 2.6 | 4.1 | 45.9 | 56.8 | 157.2 | 11 | 4 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 2.85 | 3.92 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 54.0 | 64.2 |
| 9 | Freddy Peralta | 125.2 | 12 | 5 | 25.7% | 8.8% | 3.08 | 3.82 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 45.2 | 54.8 | 178.2 | 15 | 8 | 25.9% | 8.9% | 3.27 | 3.91 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 58.5 | 70.2 |
| 10 | Logan Webb | 141.1 | 9 | 8 | 26.3% | 5.8% | 3.31 | 2.64 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 43.2 | 72.4 | 202.1 | 13 | 11 | 25.2% | 5.7% | 3.29 | 2.84 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 61.4 | 98.8 |
| 11 | Nick Lodolo | 129.2 | 8 | 6 | 23.6% | 4.6% | 3.05 | 3.71 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 41.2 | 52.6 | 175.2 | 11 | 9 | 23.8% | 5.2% | 3.38 | 3.83 | 3.1 | 4.4 | 49.9 | 63.1 |
| 12 | David Peterson | 127.0 | 7 | 4 | 19.9% | 8.2% | 2.83 | 3.33 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 41.0 | 57.5 | 177.0 | 10 | 6 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 3.10 | 3.54 | 3.2 | 4.1 | 52.5 | 71.4 |
| 13 | Ranger Suárez | 100.2 | 8 | 4 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 2.68 | 3.02 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 37.8 | 54.4 | 153.2 | 12 | 7 | 22.9% | 6.8% | 2.93 | 3.24 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 53.2 | 74.7 |
| 14 | Quinn Priester | 114.1 | 11 | 2 | 19.7% | 8.1% | 3.15 | 4.01 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 37.5 | 43.7 | 169.1 | 15 | 5 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 3.35 | 4.06 | 1.7 | 3.4 | 50.6 | 58.8 |
| 15 | Kodai Senga | 89.2 | 7 | 3 | 23.2% | 11.9% | 2.31 | 3.89 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 37.4 | 43.5 | 136.2 | 10 | 5 | 23.5% | 11.4% | 2.77 | 3.93 | 2.0 | 3.8 | 49.7 | 58.3 |
| 16 | Chris Sale | 89.1 | 5 | 4 | 30.8% | 7.0% | 2.52 | 2.68 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 36.1 | 54.1 | 104.1 | 6 | 5 | 30.6% | 7.0% | 2.59 | 2.73 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 41.4 | 61.9 |
| 17 | Spencer Schwellenbach | 110.2 | 7 | 4 | 24.9% | 4.1% | 3.09 | 3.23 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 35.1 | 50.8 | 110.2 | 7 | 4 | 24.9% | 4.1% | 3.09 | 3.28 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 35.1 | 50.1 |
| 18 | Landen Roupp | 101.1 | 7 | 6 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 3.11 | 3.59 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 32.2 | 42.4 | 129.1 | 9 | 8 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 3.27 | 3.72 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 38.8 | 49.9 |
| 19 | Clay Holmes | 117.1 | 9 | 6 | 18.2% | 9.2% | 3.45 | 4.29 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 31.8 | 34.5 | 160.1 | 12 | 9 | 18.6% | 9.0% | 3.59 | 4.23 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 41.0 | 45.7 |
| 20 | Edward Cabrera | 100.0 | 5 | 5 | 24.8% | 8.2% | 3.24 | 3.68 | 1.5 | 2.4 | 29.3 | 38.4 | 145.0 | 7 | 8 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 3.54 | 3.83 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 37.4 | 48.2 |
| 21 | MacKenzie Gore | 123.0 | 4 | 11 | 28.7% | 8.7% | 3.80 | 3.48 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 28.3 | 42.2 | 176.0 | 7 | 14 | 27.9% | 8.8% | 3.78 | 3.58 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 41.7 | 59.8 |
| 22 | Sonny Gray | 128.1 | 10 | 5 | 26.8% | 4.0% | 4.21 | 3.09 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 28.3 | 48.3 | 181.1 | 14 | 8 | 26.6% | 4.6% | 3.97 | 3.22 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 44.4 | 70.2 |
| 23 | Ryne Nelson | 95.2 | 6 | 3 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 3.20 | 3.78 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 27.9 | 35.6 | 145.2 | 9 | 6 | 20.4% | 7.2% | 3.58 | 4.02 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 36.0 | 43.8 |
| 24 | Jason Adam | 53.1 | 6 | 3 | 25.1% | 10.3% | 1.86 | 3.15 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 27.3 | 35.3 | 72.1 | 7 | 4 | 25.6% | 10.0% | 2.24 | 3.30 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 32.9 | 42.5 |
| 25 | Jesús Luzardo | 127.0 | 10 | 5 | 27.2% | 8.1% | 4.32 | 3.08 | 3.2 | 1.6 | 27.2 | 47.2 | 178.0 | 13 | 8 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 4.20 | 3.36 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 39.1 | 61.7 |
| 26 | Edwin Díaz | 44.2 | 5 | 1 | 37.9% | 9.6% | 1.41 | 2.30 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 37.9 | 63.2 | 7 | 2 | 37.3% | 9.4% | 1.84 | 2.55 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 35.3 | 49.1 |
| 27 | Adrian Morejon | 49.2 | 8 | 4 | 25.8% | 5.2% | 2.17 | 1.96 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 25.8 | 39.8 | 68.2 | 10 | 5 | 25.5% | 5.8% | 2.49 | 2.39 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 32.3 | 48.4 |
| 28 | Shota Imanaga | 83.0 | 8 | 4 | 19.0% | 5.1% | 3.25 | 4.75 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 25.8 | 23.5 | 137.0 | 11 | 7 | 20.4% | 5.2% | 3.55 | 4.58 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 36.9 | 35.8 |
| 29 | Randy Rodríguez | 46.2 | 3 | 3 | 35.4% | 6.1% | 1.54 | 2.10 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 24.7 | 37.2 | 65.2 | 4 | 4 | 33.0% | 7.3% | 2.06 | 2.59 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 30.4 | 44.4 |
| 30 | Mitch Keller | 132.0 | 5 | 10 | 18.7% | 6.1% | 3.89 | 3.70 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 24.4 | 36.1 | 189.0 | 8 | 14 | 19.2% | 6.4% | 3.95 | 3.86 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 34.8 | 48.2 |
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