RosterResource - Team Payroll

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CHICAGO CUBS PLAYER PAYROLL▼

Estimated 2027 Payroll:$147MLegend:FREE AGENTClub OptionPlayer OptionMutual OptionVesting Option
Estimated Final 2026 Payroll:$252MEstimated Value|Money Owed to Team

Players With Guaranteed Salaries▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Alex Bregman32.69.0705 yr, $175M (2026-30); deferrals lower AAV$30,893,902$35,000,000$35,000,000$35,000,000$35,000,000FREE AGENT
Dansby Swanson32.79.0477 yr, $177M (2023-29)$25,285,714$28,000,000$27,000,000$26,000,000FREE AGENT
Nico Hoerner29.56.0146 yr, $141M (2027-32); deferrals lower AAV$22,855,474$23,833,333$23,833,333$23,333,333$23,333,333$23,333,333$23,333,333FREE AGENT
Pete Crow-Armstrong24.61.1706 yr, $115M (2027-32)$19,166,667$10,833,333$10,833,333$10,833,333$20,833,333$30,833,333$30,833,333FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey31.96.0471 yr, $6M (2026)$8,000,000$8,000,000
Colin Rea36.36.0571 yr, $6.5M (2026)$7,500,000$7,500,000
Phil Maton33.68.0472 yr, $14.5M (2026-27), 2028 club option$7,250,000$6,000,000$8,500,000
Caleb Thielbar39.87.1311 yr, $4.5M (2026)$6,000,000$6,000,000
Javier Assad29.33.0271 yr, $1.8M (2026)$3,300,000$3,300,000FREE AGENT
Jacob Webb33.25.0461 yr, $1.5M (2026)$2,500,000$2,500,000
Shelby Miller36.110.0162 yr, $2.5M (2026-27), 2028 club option$1,250,000$1,250,000$2,500,000
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Alex Bregman32.69.0705 yr, $175M (2026-30); deferrals lower AAV$30,893,902$35,000,000$35,000,000$35,000,000$35,000,000FREE AGENT
Dansby Swanson32.79.0477 yr, $177M (2023-29)$25,285,714$28,000,000$27,000,000$26,000,000FREE AGENT
Nico Hoerner29.56.0146 yr, $141M (2027-32); deferrals lower AAV$22,855,474$23,833,333$23,833,333$23,333,333$23,333,333$23,333,333$23,333,333FREE AGENT
Pete Crow-Armstrong24.61.1706 yr, $115M (2027-32)$19,166,667$10,833,333$10,833,333$10,833,333$20,833,333$30,833,333$30,833,333FREE AGENT
Hunter Harvey31.96.0471 yr, $6M (2026)$8,000,000$8,000,000
Colin Rea36.36.0571 yr, $6.5M (2026)$7,500,000$7,500,000
Phil Maton33.68.0472 yr, $14.5M (2026-27), 2028 club option$7,250,000$6,000,000$8,500,000
Caleb Thielbar39.87.1311 yr, $4.5M (2026)$6,000,000$6,000,000
Javier Assad29.33.0271 yr, $1.8M (2026)$3,300,000$3,300,000FREE AGENT
Jacob Webb33.25.0461 yr, $1.5M (2026)$2,500,000$2,500,000
Shelby Miller36.110.0162 yr, $2.5M (2026-27), 2028 club option$1,250,000$1,250,000$2,500,000
Service time is updated through 2025.
Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2027 are courtesy of MLBTradeRumors,
which uses a model created by Matt Swartz.
Legend:Estimated Arb

Players Eligible For Arbitration▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Justin Steele31.34.1431 yr, TBD (2027)$6,800,000FREE AGENT
Edward Cabrera28.63.1471 yr, TBD (2027)$4,800,000ARB 4FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett29.23.1681 yr, TBD (2027)$1,600,000ARB 4FREE AGENT
Javier Assad29.33.0271 yr, TBD (2027)$2,300,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Tyler Austin35.22.1511 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Amaya27.62.1301 yr, TBD (2027)$1,700,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabriel Arias26.72.1241 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rolison29.32.1141 yr, TBD (2027)$1,100,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Roberts29.32.1311 yr, TBD (2027)$800,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Busch29.02.0451 yr, TBD (2027)$5,400,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Brown27.11.1691 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palencia26.71.1541 yr, TBD (2027)$1,200,000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Justin Steele31.34.1431 yr, TBD (2027)$6,800,000FREE AGENT
Edward Cabrera28.63.1471 yr, TBD (2027)$4,800,000ARB 4FREE AGENT
Braxton Garrett29.23.1681 yr, TBD (2027)$1,600,000ARB 4FREE AGENT
Javier Assad29.33.0271 yr, TBD (2027)$2,300,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Tyler Austin35.22.1511 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Miguel Amaya27.62.1301 yr, TBD (2027)$1,700,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Gabriel Arias26.72.1241 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Rolison29.32.1141 yr, TBD (2027)$1,100,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ethan Roberts29.32.1311 yr, TBD (2027)$800,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Michael Busch29.02.0451 yr, TBD (2027)$5,400,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ben Brown27.11.1691 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Daniel Palencia26.71.1541 yr, TBD (2027)$1,200,000ARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Notable Players Not Yet Eligible For Arbitration▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Cade Horton25.21.0001 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Porter Hodge25.71.1171 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Zeferjahn28.71.0381 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Shaw25.00.1621 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Pedro Ramírez22.60.0001 yr, TBD (2027)TBDPre-ARBPre-ARBARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Estimated salaries for other pre-arbitration players$8,800,000
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Cade Horton25.21.0001 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Porter Hodge25.71.1171 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Ryan Zeferjahn28.71.0381 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Matt Shaw25.00.1621 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Pedro Ramírez22.60.0001 yr, TBD (2027)TBDPre-ARBPre-ARBARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Estimated salaries for other pre-arbitration players$8,800,000

Other Payments▼

Description2027202820292030203120322033
$ due for buyout of Matthew Boyd$2,000,000
$ due for buyout of Carson Kelly$1,500,000
$ due for potential buyout of Colin Rea$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Hunter Harvey$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Caleb Thielbar$500,000
$ due for potential buyout of Phil Maton$3,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Shelby Miller$250,000
Estimated Payroll$146,816,667$99,916,667$95,166,667$79,166,667$54,166,667$54,166,667
Description2027202820292030203120322033
$ due for buyout of Matthew Boyd$2,000,000
$ due for buyout of Carson Kelly$1,500,000
$ due for potential buyout of Colin Rea$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Hunter Harvey$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Caleb Thielbar$500,000
$ due for potential buyout of Phil Maton$3,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Shelby Miller$250,000
Estimated Payroll$146,816,667$99,916,667$95,166,667$79,166,667$54,166,667$54,166,667
Totals for estimated payrolls include potential buyouts and earned buyout escalators — but not option total or earned option escalator — for pending options

Luxury Tax Payroll Estimate▼

Description2027202820292030203120322033
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts (does not include players no longer on 40-man roster)$106,701,757$98,201,757$98,201,757$72,916,043$42,022,141$42,022,141
Salaries for players eligible for arbitration$29,600,000
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts no longer on the 40-man roster
Earned incentives and escalators
Sum of Other Payments (does not include potential buyouts)
Estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration and other players with non-guaranteed contracts$8,800,000
Estimated salaries for 40-man roster players in minor leagues$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000
Estimated player benefits to be paid$18,500,000$19,000,000$19,500,000$20,000,000$20,500,000$21,000,000
Payment into $50M pre-arbitration bonus pool$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667
Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll$167,768,424$121,368,424$121,868,424$97,082,710$66,688,808$67,188,808
Description2027202820292030203120322033
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts (does not include players no longer on 40-man roster)$106,701,757$98,201,757$98,201,757$72,916,043$42,022,141$42,022,141
Salaries for players eligible for arbitration$29,600,000
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts no longer on the 40-man roster
Earned incentives and escalators
Sum of Other Payments (does not include potential buyouts)
Estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration and other players with non-guaranteed contracts$8,800,000
Estimated salaries for 40-man roster players in minor leagues$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000
Estimated player benefits to be paid$18,500,000$19,000,000$19,500,000$20,000,000$20,500,000$21,000,000
Payment into $50M pre-arbitration bonus pool$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667
Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll$167,768,424$121,368,424$121,868,424$97,082,710$66,688,808$67,188,808
Totals for estimated luxury tax payrolls include potential buyouts and earned buyout escalators — but not option total or earned option escalators — for pending options

LUXURY TAX EXPLANATION AND OTHER PAYROLL NOTES

  1. With the Collective Bargaining Agreement expiring on December 1, 2026, it is currently unclear if the luxury tax will remain in place for 2027 and beyond, or if it will be replaced by another mechanism. However, we are currently operating under the assumption that the calculation for team payrolls will remain the same.
  2. The average annual value (AAV) of guaranteed contracts is included, not what the player is actually being paid that year. The AAV of contracts with deferrals is lower due to the payout structure and is based on the inflation rate stated in the contract, but unless the exact AAV as calculated by the league is publicly reported, the AAV is calculated as it would be without deferrals.
  3. Other payments, such as money to and from other teams, are included. Buyouts of contract options are included in the initial AAV. If a contract option is exercised, the team is credited the value of the buyout on their CBT calculation for the option year.
  4. Players no longer on the 40-man roster are included in all cases, regardless of whether they were optioned or released.
  5. Salaries for all players on the 40-man roster, even salaries earned while in the minor leagues, are included.
  6. Player benefits include health insurance, transportation, meal money, and other non-salary payments for all 40-man roster players. A new CBA may increase our estimated benefits for 2027 and beyond; we are currently increasing them by $500k over 2026, as we have each prior season.
  7. The "estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration" figure (which is included in luxury tax and "actual" payroll) presumes that, when factoring IL time, each team will need to pay for at least 34 player-seasons over the course of the regular season. This number is calculated by subtracting the number of guaranteed and arbitration-year contracts from 34 (the number of player-seasons) and then multiplying the number that remains (typically around 10-15) by the league minimum salary.
  8. The league minimum salary for 2027 has not yet been determined; we are currently operating under the assumption that it will be $800k, but the new CBA may have a higher number.
  9. For a player acquired during the current season, the AAV factored into the luxury tax is based on the amount of time left in the current season at the time of acquisition. AAVs for contracts with multiple years remaining are recalculated; the AAV calculation for the new team is based on the remaining money to be paid (less signing bonuses, always paid by the original first team) divided by the remaining years. If the original team ends up effectively paying less AAV than the original contract called for, they will be credited the difference, prorated over the remaining years of the contract.