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CINCINNATI REDS PLAYER PAYROLL▼

Estimated 2027 Payroll:$88MLegend:FREE AGENTClub OptionPlayer OptionMutual OptionVesting Option
Estimated Final 2026 Payroll:$128MEstimated Value|Money Owed to Team

Players With Guaranteed Salaries▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Eugenio Suárez35.311.0611 yr, $15M (2026)$16,000,000$16,000,000
Chase Burns23.80.0977 yr, $105M (2027-33)$15,000,000$2,785,714$8,285,714$12,785,714$15,285,714$17,285,714$23,285,714$25,285,714
Emilio Pagán35.58.0912 yr, $20M (2026-27)$10,000,000$10,000,000
Ke'Bryan Hayes29.85.0758 yr, $70M (2022-29), 2030 club option$8,850,746$7,000,000$8,000,000$8,000,000$12,000,000
Hunter Greene27.24.0006 yr, $53M (2023-28), 2029 club option$8,833,333$15,333,333$16,333,333$21,000,000
Pierce Johnson35.56.1371 yr, $6.5M (2026)$8,000,000$8,000,000
Jose Trevino33.96.0633 yr, $14.925M (2025-27), 2028 club option$4,975,000$5,250,000$6,500,000
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Eugenio Suárez35.311.0611 yr, $15M (2026)$16,000,000$16,000,000
Chase Burns23.80.0977 yr, $105M (2027-33)$15,000,000$2,785,714$8,285,714$12,785,714$15,285,714$17,285,714$23,285,714$25,285,714
Emilio Pagán35.58.0912 yr, $20M (2026-27)$10,000,000$10,000,000
Ke'Bryan Hayes29.85.0758 yr, $70M (2022-29), 2030 club option$8,850,746$7,000,000$8,000,000$8,000,000$12,000,000
Hunter Greene27.24.0006 yr, $53M (2023-28), 2029 club option$8,833,333$15,333,333$16,333,333$21,000,000
Pierce Johnson35.56.1371 yr, $6.5M (2026)$8,000,000$8,000,000
Jose Trevino33.96.0633 yr, $14.925M (2025-27), 2028 club option$4,975,000$5,250,000$6,500,000
Service time is updated through 2025.
Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2027 are courtesy of MLBTradeRumors,
which uses a model created by Matt Swartz.
Legend:Estimated Arb

Players Eligible For Arbitration▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Tejay Antone32.95.0001 yr, TBD (2027)$1,500,000FREE AGENT
Nick Lodolo28.74.0001 yr, TBD (2027)$5,700,000FREE AGENT
Graham Ashcraft28.73.1301 yr, TBD (2027)$2,200,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Santillan29.53.0991 yr, TBD (2027)$2,500,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Steer28.93.0351 yr, TBD (2027)$5,700,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday29.03.0291 yr, TBD (2027)$4,800,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Cabrera27.73.0501 yr, $1M (2027)$1,000,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Matt McLain27.22.1401 yr, TBD (2027)$4,000,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Brandon Williamson28.62.1391 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Abbott27.42.1191 yr, TBD (2027)$4,500,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elly De La Cruz24.82.1181 yr, TBD (2027)$7,900,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Myers30.62.0371 yr, TBD (2027)$1,500,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Tejay Antone32.95.0001 yr, TBD (2027)$1,500,000FREE AGENT
Nick Lodolo28.74.0001 yr, TBD (2027)$5,700,000FREE AGENT
Graham Ashcraft28.73.1301 yr, TBD (2027)$2,200,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Tony Santillan29.53.0991 yr, TBD (2027)$2,500,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Spencer Steer28.93.0351 yr, TBD (2027)$5,700,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
JJ Bleday29.03.0291 yr, TBD (2027)$4,800,000ARB 3FREE AGENT
Oswaldo Cabrera27.73.0501 yr, $1M (2027)$1,000,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Matt McLain27.22.1401 yr, TBD (2027)$4,000,000ARB 3ARB 4FREE AGENT
Brandon Williamson28.62.1391 yr, TBD (2027)$1,300,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Andrew Abbott27.42.1191 yr, TBD (2027)$4,500,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Elly De La Cruz24.82.1181 yr, TBD (2027)$7,900,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Dane Myers30.62.0371 yr, TBD (2027)$1,500,000ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT

Notable Players Not Yet Eligible For Arbitration▼

PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Rhett Lowder24.61.0311 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Stewart22.90.0281 yr, TBD (2027)TBDPre-ARBARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Estimated salaries for other pre-arbitration players$12,000,000
PlayerAgeService TimeContractInfoAAV2027202820292030203120322033
Rhett Lowder24.61.0311 yr, TBD (2027)TBDARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Sal Stewart22.90.0281 yr, TBD (2027)TBDPre-ARBARB 1ARB 2ARB 3FREE AGENT
Estimated salaries for other pre-arbitration players$12,000,000

Incentives▼

Description2027202820292030203120322033
Incentives earned by Hunter Greene (option escalator)$700,000
Description2027202820292030203120322033
Incentives earned by Hunter Greene (option escalator)$700,000

Other Payments▼

Description2027202820292030203120322033
$ due for buyout of Jeimer Candelario$3,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Pierce Johnson$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Jose Trevino$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Hunter Greene$2,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Ke'Bryan Hayes$6,000,000
Estimated Payroll$87,969,048$33,619,048$22,785,714$21,285,714$17,285,714$23,285,714$25,285,714
Description2027202820292030203120322033
$ due for buyout of Jeimer Candelario$3,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Pierce Johnson$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Jose Trevino$1,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Hunter Greene$2,000,000
$ due for potential buyout of Ke'Bryan Hayes$6,000,000
Estimated Payroll$87,969,048$33,619,048$22,785,714$21,285,714$17,285,714$23,285,714$25,285,714
Totals for estimated payrolls include potential buyouts and earned buyout escalators — but not option total or earned option escalator — for pending options

Luxury Tax Payroll Estimate▼

Description2027202820292030203120322033
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts (does not include players no longer on 40-man roster)$37,659,079$32,684,079$23,850,746$15,000,000$15,000,000$15,000,000$15,000,000
Salaries for players eligible for arbitration$42,600,000
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts no longer on the 40-man roster
Earned incentives and escalators
Sum of Other Payments (does not include potential buyouts)
Estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration and other players with non-guaranteed contracts$12,000,000
Estimated salaries for 40-man roster players in minor leagues$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000
Estimated player benefits to be paid$18,500,000$19,000,000$19,500,000$20,000,000$20,500,000$21,000,000$21,500,000
Payment into $50M pre-arbitration bonus pool$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667
Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll$114,925,746$55,850,746$47,517,413$39,166,667$39,666,667$40,166,667$40,666,667
Description2027202820292030203120322033
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts (does not include players no longer on 40-man roster)$37,659,079$32,684,079$23,850,746$15,000,000$15,000,000$15,000,000$15,000,000
Salaries for players eligible for arbitration$42,600,000
AAVs for players with guaranteed contracts no longer on the 40-man roster
Earned incentives and escalators
Sum of Other Payments (does not include potential buyouts)
Estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration and other players with non-guaranteed contracts$12,000,000
Estimated salaries for 40-man roster players in minor leagues$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000$2,500,000
Estimated player benefits to be paid$18,500,000$19,000,000$19,500,000$20,000,000$20,500,000$21,000,000$21,500,000
Payment into $50M pre-arbitration bonus pool$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667$1,666,667
Estimated Luxury Tax Payroll$114,925,746$55,850,746$47,517,413$39,166,667$39,666,667$40,166,667$40,666,667
Totals for estimated luxury tax payrolls include potential buyouts and earned buyout escalators — but not option total or earned option escalators — for pending options

LUXURY TAX EXPLANATION AND OTHER PAYROLL NOTES

  1. With the Collective Bargaining Agreement expiring on December 1, 2026, it is currently unclear if the luxury tax will remain in place for 2027 and beyond, or if it will be replaced by another mechanism. However, we are currently operating under the assumption that the calculation for team payrolls will remain the same.
  2. The average annual value (AAV) of guaranteed contracts is included, not what the player is actually being paid that year. The AAV of contracts with deferrals is lower due to the payout structure and is based on the inflation rate stated in the contract, but unless the exact AAV as calculated by the league is publicly reported, the AAV is calculated as it would be without deferrals.
  3. Other payments, such as money to and from other teams, are included. Buyouts of contract options are included in the initial AAV. If a contract option is exercised, the team is credited the value of the buyout on their CBT calculation for the option year.
  4. Players no longer on the 40-man roster are included in all cases, regardless of whether they were optioned or released.
  5. Salaries for all players on the 40-man roster, even salaries earned while in the minor leagues, are included.
  6. Player benefits include health insurance, transportation, meal money, and other non-salary payments for all 40-man roster players. A new CBA may increase our estimated benefits for 2027 and beyond; we are currently increasing them by $500k over 2026, as we have each prior season.
  7. The "estimated salaries for players not yet eligible for arbitration" figure (which is included in luxury tax and "actual" payroll) presumes that, when factoring IL time, each team will need to pay for at least 34 player-seasons over the course of the regular season. This number is calculated by subtracting the number of guaranteed and arbitration-year contracts from 34 (the number of player-seasons) and then multiplying the number that remains (typically around 10-15) by the league minimum salary.
  8. The league minimum salary for 2027 has not yet been determined; we are currently operating under the assumption that it will be $800k, but the new CBA may have a higher number.
  9. For a player acquired during the current season, the AAV factored into the luxury tax is based on the amount of time left in the current season at the time of acquisition. AAVs for contracts with multiple years remaining are recalculated; the AAV calculation for the new team is based on the remaining money to be paid (less signing bonuses, always paid by the original first team) divided by the remaining years. If the original team ends up effectively paying less AAV than the original contract called for, they will be credited the difference, prorated over the remaining years of the contract.