MLB Playoff Odds
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AL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| RaysRays41-34 | 41 | 34 | .547 | +2.5 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .520 | .499 | 14.5% | 10.8% | 53.8% | 68.2% | 4.1% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays40-34 | 40 | 34 | .541 | +2.0 | 85.3 | 76.7 | .515 | .498 | 11.0% | 7.9% | 49.9% | 61.0% | 3.0% |
| Red SoxRed Sox39-37 | 39 | 37 | .513 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .489 | .503 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 22.5% | 25.0% | 0.8% |
| MarinersMariners37-36 | 37 | 36 | .507 | 0.5 | 85.0 | 77.0 | .539 | .503 | 26.4% | 10.7% | 33.6% | 60.0% | 5.4% |
| GuardiansGuardians37-36 | 37 | 36 | .507 | 0.5 | 79.0 | 83.0 | .471 | .495 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 0.3% |
| TwinsTwins37-37 | 37 | 37 | .500 | 1.0 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .520 | .493 | 8.4% | 4.2% | 30.8% | 39.2% | 1.8% |
| RoyalsRoyals37-38 | 37 | 38 | .493 | 1.5 | 80.5 | 81.5 | .500 | .499 | 2.9% | 1.3% | 20.4% | 23.3% | 0.9% |
| AngelsAngels36-38 | 36 | 38 | .486 | 2.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .459 | .507 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| RangersRangers36-39 | 36 | 39 | .480 | 2.5 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .502 | .506 | 5.4% | 1.5% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 0.8% |
| OriolesOrioles32-42 | 32 | 42 | .432 | 6.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .505 | .511 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics31-46 | 31 | 46 | .403 | 8.5 | 70.8 | 91.2 | .469 | .505 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox23-52 | 23 | 52 | .307 | 15.5 | 57.9 | 104.1 | .401 | .508 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| RaysRays41-34 | 41 | 34 | .547 | +2.5 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .520 | .499 | 14.5% | 10.8% | 53.8% | 68.2% | 4.1% |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays40-34 | 40 | 34 | .541 | +2.0 | 85.3 | 76.7 | .515 | .498 | 11.0% | 7.9% | 49.9% | 61.0% | 3.0% |
| Red SoxRed Sox39-37 | 39 | 37 | .513 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .489 | .503 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 22.5% | 25.0% | 0.8% |
| MarinersMariners37-36 | 37 | 36 | .507 | 0.5 | 85.0 | 77.0 | .539 | .503 | 26.4% | 10.7% | 33.6% | 60.0% | 5.4% |
| GuardiansGuardians37-36 | 37 | 36 | .507 | 0.5 | 79.0 | 83.0 | .471 | .495 | 2.2% | 0.8% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 0.3% |
| TwinsTwins37-37 | 37 | 37 | .500 | 1.0 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .520 | .493 | 8.4% | 4.2% | 30.8% | 39.2% | 1.8% |
| RoyalsRoyals37-38 | 37 | 38 | .493 | 1.5 | 80.5 | 81.5 | .500 | .499 | 2.9% | 1.3% | 20.4% | 23.3% | 0.9% |
| AngelsAngels36-38 | 36 | 38 | .486 | 2.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .459 | .507 | 1.5% | 0.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 0.1% |
| RangersRangers36-39 | 36 | 39 | .480 | 2.5 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .502 | .506 | 5.4% | 1.5% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 0.8% |
| OriolesOrioles32-42 | 32 | 42 | .432 | 6.0 | 76.4 | 85.6 | .505 | .511 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| AthleticsAthletics31-46 | 31 | 46 | .403 | 8.5 | 70.8 | 91.2 | .469 | .505 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox23-52 | 23 | 52 | .307 | 15.5 | 57.9 | 104.1 | .401 | .508 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| MetsMets45-30 | 45 | 30 | .600 | +4.5 | 92.5 | 69.5 | .546 | .503 | 51.5% | 41.8% | 40.6% | 92.1% | 9.5% |
| PhilliesPhillies45-30 | 45 | 30 | .600 | +4.5 | 91.8 | 70.2 | .537 | .504 | 40.6% | 33.2% | 49.1% | 89.7% | 8.0% |
| GiantsGiants42-33 | 42 | 33 | .560 | +1.5 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .501 | .502 | 3.7% | 2.9% | 44.9% | 48.6% | 1.7% |
| PadresPadres40-34 | 40 | 34 | .541 | 0.0 | 84.1 | 77.9 | .501 | .496 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 34.9% | 36.7% | 1.1% |
| CardinalsCardinals40-35 | 40 | 35 | .533 | 0.5 | 83.7 | 78.3 | .502 | .491 | 14.4% | 2.2% | 19.9% | 34.3% | 1.0% |
| BrewersBrewers40-35 | 40 | 35 | .533 | 0.5 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .492 | .499 | 10.1% | 1.7% | 16.7% | 26.8% | 0.7% |
| RedsReds39-36 | 39 | 36 | .520 | 1.5 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .466 | .505 | 2.6% | 0.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 0.2% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs37-37 | 37 | 37 | .500 | 3.0 | 83.2 | 78.8 | .525 | .488 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 27.7% | 28.9% | 1.1% |
| BravesBraves34-39 | 34 | 39 | .466 | 5.5 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .581 | .494 | 7.9% | 5.2% | 41.2% | 49.2% | 5.4% |
| NationalsNationals31-44 | 31 | 44 | .413 | 9.5 | 68.7 | 93.3 | .433 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MarlinsMarlins29-44 | 29 | 44 | .397 | 10.5 | 66.9 | 95.1 | .426 | .509 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PiratesPirates30-46 | 30 | 46 | .395 | 11.0 | 71.3 | 90.7 | .480 | .495 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-58 | 17 | 58 | .227 | 23.5 | 52.2 | 109.8 | .405 | .505 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| MetsMets45-30 | 45 | 30 | .600 | +4.5 | 92.5 | 69.5 | .546 | .503 | 51.5% | 41.8% | 40.6% | 92.1% | 9.5% |
| PhilliesPhillies45-30 | 45 | 30 | .600 | +4.5 | 91.8 | 70.2 | .537 | .504 | 40.6% | 33.2% | 49.1% | 89.7% | 8.0% |
| GiantsGiants42-33 | 42 | 33 | .560 | +1.5 | 85.6 | 76.4 | .501 | .502 | 3.7% | 2.9% | 44.9% | 48.6% | 1.7% |
| PadresPadres40-34 | 40 | 34 | .541 | 0.0 | 84.1 | 77.9 | .501 | .496 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 34.9% | 36.7% | 1.1% |
| CardinalsCardinals40-35 | 40 | 35 | .533 | 0.5 | 83.7 | 78.3 | .502 | .491 | 14.4% | 2.2% | 19.9% | 34.3% | 1.0% |
| BrewersBrewers40-35 | 40 | 35 | .533 | 0.5 | 82.8 | 79.2 | .492 | .499 | 10.1% | 1.7% | 16.7% | 26.8% | 0.7% |
| RedsReds39-36 | 39 | 36 | .520 | 1.5 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .466 | .505 | 2.6% | 0.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 0.2% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs37-37 | 37 | 37 | .500 | 3.0 | 83.2 | 78.8 | .525 | .488 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 27.7% | 28.9% | 1.1% |
| BravesBraves34-39 | 34 | 39 | .466 | 5.5 | 85.7 | 76.3 | .581 | .494 | 7.9% | 5.2% | 41.2% | 49.2% | 5.4% |
| NationalsNationals31-44 | 31 | 44 | .413 | 9.5 | 68.7 | 93.3 | .433 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MarlinsMarlins29-44 | 29 | 44 | .397 | 10.5 | 66.9 | 95.1 | .426 | .509 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| PiratesPirates30-46 | 30 | 46 | .395 | 11.0 | 71.3 | 90.7 | .480 | .495 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies17-58 | 17 | 58 | .227 | 23.5 | 52.2 | 109.8 | .405 | .505 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |

