MLB Playoff Odds
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AL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees50-41 | 50 | 41 | .549 | +2.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .549 | .497 | 41.8% | 23.4% | 46.3% | 88.1% | 8.3% |
| RaysRays49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | +0.5 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .510 | .498 | 11.8% | 4.3% | 44.0% | 55.9% | 2.4% |
| MarinersMariners48-43 | 48 | 43 | .527 | 0.0 | 85.9 | 76.1 | .534 | .499 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 51.2% | 69.5% | 5.1% |
| Red SoxRed Sox48-45 | 48 | 45 | .516 | 1.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .496 | .509 | 4.2% | 1.3% | 28.5% | 32.8% | 1.3% |
| RangersRangers45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 3.5 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .503 | .504 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 0.6% |
| TwinsTwins44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .522 | .493 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 1.2% |
| RoyalsRoyals45-48 | 45 | 48 | .484 | 4.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .503 | .492 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 0.5% |
| AngelsAngels44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .462 | .505 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| GuardiansGuardians42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 5.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .498 | .487 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 0.2% |
| OriolesOrioles40-50 | 40 | 50 | .444 | 7.5 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .500 | .504 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| AthleticsAthletics38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 11.0 | 69.8 | 92.2 | .461 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox30-62 | 30 | 62 | .326 | 18.5 | 56.6 | 105.4 | .380 | .510 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees50-41 | 50 | 41 | .549 | +2.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .549 | .497 | 41.8% | 23.4% | 46.3% | 88.1% | 8.3% |
| RaysRays49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | +0.5 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .510 | .498 | 11.8% | 4.3% | 44.0% | 55.9% | 2.4% |
| MarinersMariners48-43 | 48 | 43 | .527 | 0.0 | 85.9 | 76.1 | .534 | .499 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 51.2% | 69.5% | 5.1% |
| Red SoxRed Sox48-45 | 48 | 45 | .516 | 1.0 | 82.3 | 79.7 | .496 | .509 | 4.2% | 1.3% | 28.5% | 32.8% | 1.3% |
| RangersRangers45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 3.5 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .503 | .504 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 0.6% |
| TwinsTwins44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .522 | .493 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 1.2% |
| RoyalsRoyals45-48 | 45 | 48 | .484 | 4.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .503 | .492 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 0.5% |
| AngelsAngels44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .462 | .505 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| GuardiansGuardians42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 5.5 | 77.8 | 84.2 | .498 | .487 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 0.2% |
| OriolesOrioles40-50 | 40 | 50 | .444 | 7.5 | 76.0 | 86.0 | .500 | .504 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| AthleticsAthletics38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 11.0 | 69.8 | 92.2 | .461 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox30-62 | 30 | 62 | .326 | 18.5 | 56.6 | 105.4 | .380 | .510 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| PhilliesPhillies53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.7 | 70.3 | .553 | .500 | 56.2% | 37.6% | 36.6% | 92.8% | 10.0% |
| MetsMets53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 90.5 | 71.5 | .536 | .500 | 43.5% | 26.3% | 45.6% | 89.1% | 7.3% |
| BrewersBrewers52-40 | 52 | 40 | .565 | +1.5 | 86.4 | 75.6 | .491 | .506 | 17.6% | 6.5% | 40.5% | 58.1% | 1.9% |
| GiantsGiants51-42 | 51 | 42 | .548 | 0.0 | 86.3 | 75.7 | .512 | .511 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 55.3% | 58.5% | 2.8% |
| PadresPadres49-42 | 49 | 42 | .538 | 1.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .503 | .499 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 1.5% |
| CardinalsCardinals49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | 1.5 | 84.5 | 77.5 | .507 | .494 | 8.6% | 2.6% | 31.4% | 40.0% | 1.2% |
| RedsReds46-46 | 46 | 46 | .500 | 4.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .474 | .506 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 0.1% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 5.5 | 80.9 | 81.1 | .513 | .501 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 0.5% |
| MarlinsMarlins42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 7.5 | 72.5 | 89.5 | .424 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BravesBraves39-51 | 39 | 51 | .433 | 10.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .547 | .495 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| PiratesPirates38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 13.0 | 71.8 | 90.2 | .490 | .494 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals37-54 | 37 | 54 | .407 | 13.0 | 69.8 | 92.2 | .462 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies21-71 | 21 | 71 | .228 | 29.5 | 48.4 | 113.6 | .391 | .510 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| PhilliesPhillies53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.7 | 70.3 | .553 | .500 | 56.2% | 37.6% | 36.6% | 92.8% | 10.0% |
| MetsMets53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 90.5 | 71.5 | .536 | .500 | 43.5% | 26.3% | 45.6% | 89.1% | 7.3% |
| BrewersBrewers52-40 | 52 | 40 | .565 | +1.5 | 86.4 | 75.6 | .491 | .506 | 17.6% | 6.5% | 40.5% | 58.1% | 1.9% |
| GiantsGiants51-42 | 51 | 42 | .548 | 0.0 | 86.3 | 75.7 | .512 | .511 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 55.3% | 58.5% | 2.8% |
| PadresPadres49-42 | 49 | 42 | .538 | 1.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .503 | .499 | 1.2% | 0.8% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 1.5% |
| CardinalsCardinals49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | 1.5 | 84.5 | 77.5 | .507 | .494 | 8.6% | 2.6% | 31.4% | 40.0% | 1.2% |
| RedsReds46-46 | 46 | 46 | .500 | 4.5 | 79.2 | 82.8 | .474 | .506 | 0.9% | 0.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 0.1% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 5.5 | 80.9 | 81.1 | .513 | .501 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 0.5% |
| MarlinsMarlins42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 7.5 | 72.5 | 89.5 | .424 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| BravesBraves39-51 | 39 | 51 | .433 | 10.5 | 78.4 | 83.6 | .547 | .495 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| PiratesPirates38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 13.0 | 71.8 | 90.2 | .490 | .494 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals37-54 | 37 | 54 | .407 | 13.0 | 69.8 | 92.2 | .462 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies21-71 | 21 | 71 | .228 | 29.5 | 48.4 | 113.6 | .391 | .510 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |

