MLB Playoff Odds
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AL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees50-41 | 50 | 41 | .549 | +2.0 | 90.0 | 72.0 | .563 | .500 | 42.9% | 28.9% | 48.8% | 91.8% | 12.4% |
| RaysRays49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | +0.5 | 85.9 | 76.1 | .527 | .498 | 13.2% | 6.6% | 52.2% | 65.5% | 3.9% |
| MarinersMariners48-43 | 48 | 43 | .527 | 0.0 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .538 | .502 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 51.4% | 71.0% | 5.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox48-45 | 48 | 45 | .516 | 1.0 | 81.4 | 80.6 | .484 | .512 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 0.8% |
| RangersRangers45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 3.5 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .501 | .507 | 1.9% | 0.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 0.6% |
| TwinsTwins44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .521 | .491 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 1.0% |
| RoyalsRoyals45-48 | 45 | 48 | .484 | 4.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .502 | .493 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 0.4% |
| AngelsAngels44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 77.2 | 84.8 | .467 | .507 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 5.5 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .475 | .493 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| OriolesOrioles40-50 | 40 | 50 | .444 | 7.5 | 76.5 | 85.5 | .507 | .506 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| AthleticsAthletics38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 11.0 | 70.9 | 91.1 | .477 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox30-62 | 30 | 62 | .326 | 18.5 | 58.3 | 103.7 | .405 | .508 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| YankeesYankees50-41 | 50 | 41 | .549 | +2.0 | 90.0 | 72.0 | .563 | .500 | 42.9% | 28.9% | 48.8% | 91.8% | 12.4% |
| RaysRays49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | +0.5 | 85.9 | 76.1 | .527 | .498 | 13.2% | 6.6% | 52.2% | 65.5% | 3.9% |
| MarinersMariners48-43 | 48 | 43 | .527 | 0.0 | 86.2 | 75.8 | .538 | .502 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 51.4% | 71.0% | 5.5% |
| Red SoxRed Sox48-45 | 48 | 45 | .516 | 1.0 | 81.4 | 80.6 | .484 | .512 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 0.8% |
| RangersRangers45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 3.5 | 80.0 | 82.0 | .501 | .507 | 1.9% | 0.5% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 0.6% |
| TwinsTwins44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 81.0 | 81.0 | .521 | .491 | 1.6% | 0.6% | 19.5% | 21.1% | 1.0% |
| RoyalsRoyals45-48 | 45 | 48 | .484 | 4.0 | 79.7 | 82.3 | .502 | .493 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 0.4% |
| AngelsAngels44-47 | 44 | 47 | .484 | 4.0 | 77.2 | 84.8 | .467 | .507 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| GuardiansGuardians42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 5.5 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .475 | .493 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| OriolesOrioles40-50 | 40 | 50 | .444 | 7.5 | 76.5 | 85.5 | .507 | .506 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| AthleticsAthletics38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 11.0 | 70.9 | 91.1 | .477 | .503 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| White SoxWhite Sox30-62 | 30 | 62 | .326 | 18.5 | 58.3 | 103.7 | .405 | .508 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NL
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| MetsMets53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.6 | 70.4 | .552 | .497 | 52.6% | 37.7% | 41.1% | 93.7% | 9.6% |
| PhilliesPhillies53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.5 | 70.5 | .550 | .501 | 46.9% | 34.3% | 45.9% | 92.7% | 10.1% |
| BrewersBrewers52-40 | 52 | 40 | .565 | +1.5 | 86.6 | 75.4 | .495 | .502 | 22.2% | 7.8% | 40.3% | 62.5% | 2.3% |
| GiantsGiants51-42 | 51 | 42 | .548 | 0.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .489 | .508 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 41.7% | 44.4% | 1.4% |
| PadresPadres49-42 | 49 | 42 | .538 | 1.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .503 | .496 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 43.1% | 45.4% | 1.4% |
| CardinalsCardinals49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | 1.5 | 84.1 | 77.9 | .501 | .492 | 9.0% | 2.3% | 29.0% | 38.1% | 1.1% |
| RedsReds46-46 | 46 | 46 | .500 | 4.5 | 79.1 | 82.9 | .472 | .504 | 1.0% | 0.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 5.5 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .518 | .495 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 0.7% |
| MarlinsMarlins42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 7.5 | 73.2 | 88.8 | .433 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| BravesBraves39-51 | 39 | 51 | .433 | 10.5 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .563 | .493 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 0.6% |
| PiratesPirates38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 13.0 | 71.3 | 90.7 | .483 | .490 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals37-54 | 37 | 54 | .407 | 13.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | .436 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies21-71 | 21 | 71 | .228 | 29.5 | 48.7 | 113.3 | .395 | .504 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Results | 2025 Projections | ||||||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | WCGB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Strength of Sched | Win Div | Clinch Bye | Clinch Wild Card | Make Playoffs | Win WS |
| MetsMets53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.6 | 70.4 | .552 | .497 | 52.6% | 37.7% | 41.1% | 93.7% | 9.6% |
| PhilliesPhillies53-39 | 53 | 39 | .576 | +2.5 | 91.5 | 70.5 | .550 | .501 | 46.9% | 34.3% | 45.9% | 92.7% | 10.1% |
| BrewersBrewers52-40 | 52 | 40 | .565 | +1.5 | 86.6 | 75.4 | .495 | .502 | 22.2% | 7.8% | 40.3% | 62.5% | 2.3% |
| GiantsGiants51-42 | 51 | 42 | .548 | 0.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .489 | .508 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 41.7% | 44.4% | 1.4% |
| PadresPadres49-42 | 49 | 42 | .538 | 1.0 | 84.7 | 77.3 | .503 | .496 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 43.1% | 45.4% | 1.4% |
| CardinalsCardinals49-43 | 49 | 43 | .533 | 1.5 | 84.1 | 77.9 | .501 | .492 | 9.0% | 2.3% | 29.0% | 38.1% | 1.1% |
| RedsReds46-46 | 46 | 46 | .500 | 4.5 | 79.1 | 82.9 | .472 | .504 | 1.0% | 0.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 0.2% |
| DiamondbacksD-backs45-47 | 45 | 47 | .489 | 5.5 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .518 | .495 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 0.7% |
| MarlinsMarlins42-48 | 42 | 48 | .467 | 7.5 | 73.2 | 88.8 | .433 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| BravesBraves39-51 | 39 | 51 | .433 | 10.5 | 79.5 | 82.5 | .563 | .493 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 0.6% |
| PiratesPirates38-55 | 38 | 55 | .409 | 13.0 | 71.3 | 90.7 | .483 | .490 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| NationalsNationals37-54 | 37 | 54 | .407 | 13.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | .436 | .507 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| RockiesRockies21-71 | 21 | 71 | .228 | 29.5 | 48.7 | 113.3 | .395 | .504 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |

