MLB Playoff Odds
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AL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays93-60 | 93 | 60 | .608 | 0.0 | 97.4 | 64.6 | .488 | [96, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees89-64 | 89 | 64 | .582 | 4.0 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .518 | [93, 95] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox84-70 | 84 | 70 | .545 | 9.5 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .502 | [87, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 17.5 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .522 | [79, 81] | |
| OriolesOrioles75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 18.5 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .464 | [78, 80] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| RaysRays93-60 | 93 | 60 | .608 | 0.0 | 97.4 | 64.6 | .488 | [96, 98] | |
| YankeesYankees89-64 | 89 | 64 | .582 | 4.0 | 93.7 | 68.3 | .518 | [93, 95] | |
| Red SoxRed Sox84-70 | 84 | 70 | .545 | 9.5 | 88.0 | 74.0 | .502 | [87, 89] | |
| Blue JaysBlue Jays76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 17.5 | 80.2 | 81.8 | .522 | [79, 81] | |
| OriolesOrioles75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 18.5 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .464 | [78, 80] | |
AL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| GuardiansGuardians79-75 | 79 | 75 | .513 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .534 | [82, 84] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox78-76 | 78 | 76 | .506 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .497 | [81, 83] | |
| TigersTigers73-81 | 73 | 81 | .474 | 6.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .501 | [76, 78] | |
| TwinsTwins72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 7.0 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .523 | [75, 77] | |
| RoyalsRoyals67-87 | 67 | 87 | .435 | 12.0 | 70.7 | 91.3 | .466 | [70, 72] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| GuardiansGuardians79-75 | 79 | 75 | .513 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 78.7 | .534 | [82, 84] | |
| White SoxWhite Sox78-76 | 78 | 76 | .506 | 1.0 | 82.0 | 80.0 | .497 | [81, 83] | |
| TigersTigers73-81 | 73 | 81 | .474 | 6.0 | 77.0 | 85.0 | .501 | [76, 78] | |
| TwinsTwins72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 7.0 | 76.2 | 85.8 | .523 | [75, 77] | |
| RoyalsRoyals67-87 | 67 | 87 | .435 | 12.0 | 70.7 | 91.3 | .466 | [70, 72] | |
AL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .530 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .509 | [80, 82] | |
| MarinersMariners72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 5.0 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .596 | [76, 78] | |
| AthleticsAthletics61-93 | 61 | 93 | .396 | 16.0 | 64.4 | 97.6 | .425 | [63, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels59-95 | 59 | 95 | .383 | 18.0 | 62.5 | 99.5 | .437 | [62, 63] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| AstrosAstros77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.2 | 80.8 | .530 | [80, 82] | |
| RangersRangers77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 0.0 | 81.1 | 80.9 | .509 | [80, 82] | |
| MarinersMariners72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 5.0 | 76.8 | 85.2 | .596 | [76, 78] | |
| AthleticsAthletics61-93 | 61 | 93 | .396 | 16.0 | 64.4 | 97.6 | .425 | [63, 65] | |
| AngelsAngels59-95 | 59 | 95 | .383 | 18.0 | 62.5 | 99.5 | .437 | [62, 63] | |
NL East
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves90-64 | 90 | 64 | .584 | 0.0 | 94.5 | 67.5 | .562 | [94, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .505 | [88, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 14.0 | 79.6 | 82.4 | .444 | [79, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 18.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .472 | [75, 77] | |
| MetsMets70-84 | 70 | 84 | .455 | 20.0 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .520 | [73, 75] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BravesBraves90-64 | 90 | 64 | .584 | 0.0 | 94.5 | 67.5 | .562 | [94, 95] | |
| PhilliesPhillies85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 73.0 | .505 | [88, 90] | |
| MarlinsMarlins76-78 | 76 | 78 | .494 | 14.0 | 79.6 | 82.4 | .444 | [79, 80] | |
| NationalsNationals72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 18.0 | 75.8 | 86.2 | .472 | [75, 77] | |
| MetsMets70-84 | 70 | 84 | .455 | 20.0 | 74.2 | 87.8 | .520 | [73, 75] | |
NL Central
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers96-58 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 0.0 | 100.4 | 61.6 | .552 | [99, 101] | |
| CubsCubs85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 11.0 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .556 | [89, 90] | |
| PiratesPirates77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 19.0 | 81.3 | 80.7 | .538 | [80, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 21.0 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .467 | [78, 80] | |
| RedsReds72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 24.0 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .435 | [75, 76] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| BrewersBrewers96-58 | 96 | 58 | .623 | 0.0 | 100.4 | 61.6 | .552 | [99, 101] | |
| CubsCubs85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 11.0 | 89.5 | 72.5 | .556 | [89, 90] | |
| PiratesPirates77-77 | 77 | 77 | .500 | 19.0 | 81.3 | 80.7 | .538 | [80, 82] | |
| CardinalsCardinals75-79 | 75 | 79 | .487 | 21.0 | 78.7 | 83.3 | .467 | [78, 80] | |
| RedsReds72-82 | 72 | 82 | .468 | 24.0 | 75.5 | 86.5 | .435 | [75, 76] | |
NL West
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers94-60 | 94 | 60 | .610 | 0.0 | 99.1 | 62.9 | .632 | [98, 100] | |
| PadresPadres85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 9.0 | 88.8 | 73.2 | .474 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs80-74 | 80 | 74 | .519 | 14.0 | 84.4 | 77.6 | .546 | [83, 85] | |
| GiantsGiants64-90 | 64 | 90 | .416 | 30.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | .370 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies56-98 | 56 | 98 | .364 | 38.0 | 59.3 | 102.7 | .416 | [58, 60] | |
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Results | 2026 Projections | ||||||||
| Team | W | L | W% | GB | Proj W | Proj L | ROS W% | Distribution of Wins | Percentile [25th, 75th] |
| DodgersDodgers94-60 | 94 | 60 | .610 | 0.0 | 99.1 | 62.9 | .632 | [98, 100] | |
| PadresPadres85-69 | 85 | 69 | .552 | 9.0 | 88.8 | 73.2 | .474 | [88, 90] | |
| DiamondbacksD-backs80-74 | 80 | 74 | .519 | 14.0 | 84.4 | 77.6 | .546 | [83, 85] | |
| GiantsGiants64-90 | 64 | 90 | .416 | 30.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | .370 | [66, 68] | |
| RockiesRockies56-98 | 56 | 98 | .364 | 38.0 | 59.3 | 102.7 | .416 | [58, 60] | |

